NBT Bancorp Inc logo

NBT Bancorp Inc(NBTB)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
2-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$51.57
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NBTB

09/25/2026: NBTB (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

NBT Bancorp Inc is a well-established regional banking institution known for its conservative management and consistent dividend history. The company benefits from a stable core deposit base and localized expertise in the Northeastern United States, which helps maintain strong customer loyalty. Its primary growth opportunity lies in strategic regional acquisitions and the expansion of its fee-based wealth management services. However, the company faces risks related to geographic concentration, interest rate sensitivity, and intensifying digital competition. NBT Bancorp may best suit dividend-oriented and risk-averse investors who prioritize capital stability and steady income, though stakeholders should monitor the effective integration of new market entries.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorWeak fitNBT Bancorp is a mature regional bank offering moderate growth rather than aggressive expansion.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock is generally stable and lacks the high volatility required for momentum strategies.
Value investorMixed fitValuation is often tied to interest rate cycles, making timing essential for value-focused investors.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company maintains a reliable track record of dividend payments for income-oriented shareholders.
Low-risk investorStrong fitNBT's conservative banking model and stable history make it suitable for risk-averse portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumThe stock price is sensitive to macroeconomic shifts and interest rate volatility.
Valuation riskMediumBank valuations are cyclically influenced, which may lead to periods of relative over- or under-pricing.
Competition risk (Banking)Medium / highIntense competition from larger regional banks and digital entrants threatens margins.
Business qualityMediumThe company has a solid reputation but lacks the scale of national industry leaders.
Dividend incomeLowDividends are well-supported by earnings, presenting relatively low risk to income stability.
Execution riskMediumSuccess depends on the effective integration of future acquisitions and digital platform adoption.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 11.3%
Avg. Invested days 41
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
NBTB receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, and solid quantitative characteristics. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
NBTB has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+20.3%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 25.2%) are partially offset by modest insider ownership of 2.83%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
NBTB's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (25.2% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is NBTB's strongest growth driver at +23.8% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). Revenue growth (+10.4%, solid) and earnings growth (+20.3%, solid) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 69.5% and approximately 98.1% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 2.83% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 14.24%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 6.69%
State Street Corp 4.79%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 4.63%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.34%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
NBTB generates approximately $721 of gross profit, $253 of operating income, and $252 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 22.88%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
NBTB has a high-quality, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.68B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.55
1Y Target Price 56.83
Price to earnings Ratio 12.55
1Y Target Price 56.83
Volume (30-day avg) 306.3K shares
Beta 0.48
52 Weeks Range 37.91 - 54.08
Updated Date 09/27/2026
52 Weeks Range 37.91 - 54.08
Updated Date 09/27/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 2.89%
Basic EPS (TTM) 4.11

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Net Interest IncomeInterest earned on commercial and retail loans minus interest paid on deposits.This is the primary way the bank makes money; it earns more from lending than it pays for deposits.
Non-Interest IncomeService fees, wealth management fees, and transaction charges.This provides a steady, fee-based revenue stream that is less dependent on interest rate changes.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 12.55
Forward PE 13.4
Enterprise Value 2.86B
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.7
Enterprise Value 2.86B
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.7
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.97
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 51.96M
Shares Floating 50.95M
Shares Outstanding 51.96M
Shares Floating 50.95M
Percent Insiders 2.83
Percent Institutions 69.47

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About NBT Bancorp Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters Norwich, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 1992-03-17
President, CEO & Director Mr. Scott A. Kingsley CPA
Sector Financial Services
Industry Banks - Regional
Full time employees 2303
Full time employees 2303

NBT Bancorp Inc., a financial holding company, provides personal and commercial banking, retail banking, and wealth management services in the United States. It operates through Banking, Retirement Plan Administration, and All Other segments. The company offers demand deposit, savings, interest-bearing checking, money market deposit, and certificate of deposit accounts; and indirect and direct consumer loans, home equity loans and lines of credit, residential mortgages, business banking loans, commercial and industrial loans, agricultural loans, commercial construction loans, commercial real estate loans, indirect auto loans, and other consumer loans, as well as agricultural lending, personal lines of credit, overdraft protection, and second mortgage loans. It also provides trust and investment services; financial planning and life insurance services; and retirement plan and health savings account recordkeeping and administration, and actuarial services. In addition, the company offers insurance products, such as personal property and casualty, business liability, and commercial insurance; and other products and services through a network of ATM locations and 24-hour online, mobile, and telephone channels that enable customers to check balances, make deposits, transfer funds, pay bills, access statements, apply for loans, and access various other products and services. Further, it operates as a property management and passive investment company, as well as investment advisor that provides investment management and financial consulting services. The company serves retail, commercial, and municipal customers. It operates in upstate New York, northeastern Pennsylvania, southern New Hampshire, western Massachusetts, Vermont, southern Maine, and central and northwestern Connecticut. NBT Bancorp Inc. was founded in 1856 and is headquartered in Norwich, New York.