Noble Corporation plc(NE)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 1 day
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-13.99% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$41.12
11/09/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
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  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NE

11/09/2026: NE (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 1 day. Simulated Profits (-13.99%). Updated daily EoD!

Noble Corporation plc is a prominent offshore drilling contractor known for its high-specification drillship and jackup fleet. The company has a leading position in the deepwater market, bolstered by a significant contract backlog that provides solid revenue visibility. Its primary investment story centers on the recovery of offshore exploration budgets and its ability to maximize day rates through fleet quality. However, investors must consider high commodity price sensitivity, the cyclical nature of drilling, and inherent execution risks. The stock may suit investors seeking exposure to energy sector recovery, though monitoring global demand and capital allocation remains essential for risk management.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers growth through cycle recovery but remains dependent on commodity price volatility.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock can exhibit strong momentum when offshore day rates and oil prices are trending upward.
Value investorMixed fitValuation is often tied to cyclical net asset values which can be difficult to gauge precisely.
Dividend investorMixed fitDividends are present but may fluctuate based on the company's capital allocation and market conditions.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe offshore drilling sector is characterized by high volatility and industry-specific risks.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is highly sensitive to fluctuations in global oil and gas prices.
Valuation riskMedium / highMarket pricing often fluctuates significantly based on perceived future contract day rates.
Competition riskMediumIntense competition exists for limited high-spec drilling contracts from other major drillers.
Business qualityMediumThe business relies on capital-intensive assets that require consistent maintenance and utilization.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are subject to the company's ability to maintain cash flow in a cyclical environment.
Execution riskMediumOperating complex offshore rigs safely and efficiently is critical for contract renewals.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -25.79%
Avg. Invested days 30
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/09/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
NE receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
NE has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid cash generation (FCF margin 13.2%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-51.7%), moderate revenue growth (+7.4%), soft profitability (net margin 6.6%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
NE's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (13.2% of revenue). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is NE's strongest growth driver at +439.1% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (+7.4%, moderate) and earnings growth (-51.7%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 85.8% and approximately 99.0% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 20.67% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Robotti Robert 0.00%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
NE generates approximately $197 of gross profit, $157 of operating income, and $132 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Moderate margins and solid cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is soft.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 20.65%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
NE has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Small / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.53B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 123.85
1Y Target Price 47.17
Price to earnings Ratio 123.85
1Y Target Price 47.17
Volume (30-day avg) 1.3M shares
Beta 1.04
52 Weeks Range 26.79 - 53.83
Updated Date 11/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 26.79 - 53.83
Updated Date 11/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 5.02%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.33

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Drilling ServicesRevenues from drilling contracts utilizing drillships and jackups.The company gets paid daily to drill holes for oil companies; the more expensive the rig, the higher the daily pay.
GeographyOperations in North Sea, West Africa, South America, and Middle East.Revenue is spread globally, reducing risk from regional slowdowns.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-26
When After Market
Estimate 0.2
Actual -0.57

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.91%
Operating Margin (TTM) 8.41%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.73%
Return on Equity (TTM) 1.22%

Valuation

Trailing PE 123.85
Forward PE 20.96
Enterprise Value 8.08B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.32
Enterprise Value 8.08B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.32
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.69
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.74
Shares Outstanding 159.66M
Shares Floating 158.01M
Shares Outstanding 159.66M
Shares Floating 158.01M
Percent Insiders 20.67
Percent Institutions 85.84

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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