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Transocean Ltd(RIG)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 2 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-16.12% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$5.24
11/06/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RIG

11/06/2026: RIG (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 2 days. Simulated Profits (-16.12%). Updated daily EoD!

Transocean Ltd is a prominent provider of offshore contract drilling services, specifically focused on high-specification ultra-deepwater and harsh-environment projects. The company's primary strength lies in its technologically advanced fleet, which secures significant contracts with major oil companies globally. Its growth story is rooted in the cyclical recovery of offshore exploration spending, balanced against risks like high debt levels and commodity price volatility. While Transocean offers potential for capital appreciation during industry upcycles, it is generally not suitable for conservative or income-focused investors due to the absence of dividends and inherent operational risks. Investors should monitor rig utilization rates, debt reduction progress, and global energy capital expenditure trends.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers growth potential through cyclical recovery, but is held back by structural debt constraints.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveMomentum investors may favor the stock during periods of rising oil prices and improving rig day rates.
Value investorMixed fitWhile assets may be undervalued relative to replacement costs, the debt profile complicates the value proposition.
Dividend investorWeak fitTransocean does not currently pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe company's high debt and exposure to volatile energy markets create substantial risk for conservative investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock price is highly sensitive to fluctuations in global oil prices and offshore exploration budgets.
Valuation riskMediumValuation is complex due to high debt levels and the cyclical nature of rig demand.
Competition risk (Offshore Drilling Services)MediumIntense competition for high-spec rig contracts can pressure day rates.
Business qualityMediumThe company has a strong asset base but faces significant financial headwinds from legacy debt.
Dividend incomeLow / noneNo dividend is currently paid, providing no income component.
Execution riskMedium / highSuccessful management of high-debt capital structure is required to ensure long-term solvency.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -2.69%
Avg. Invested days 27
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/06/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
RIG receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
RIG has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong cash generation (FCF margin 15.8%) and solid revenue growth (+12.5%) are partially offset by negative earnings growth (-469.3%), weak profitability (net margin -73.5%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
RIG's financial health is supported by moderate efficiency, including operating-expense and cost-of-revenue discipline (opex 65.6% of revenue). Overall financial-health metrics support a 3-star score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is RIG's strongest growth driver at +224.4% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+12.5%, solid) is also solid, while earnings growth (-469.3%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 96.9% and approximately 82.7% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 9.24% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 8.23%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 4.57%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.41%
Two Sigma Investments LLC 4.14%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.05%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
RIG generates approximately $834 of gross profit, $178 of operating income, and $158 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Solid margins and weak cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is weak.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 1.12%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
RIG has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.85B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.19
1Y Target Price 6.56
Price to earnings Ratio 12.19
1Y Target Price 6.56
Volume (30-day avg) 43.3M shares
Beta 1.42
52 Weeks Range 3.68 - 7.66
Updated Date 11/06/2026
52 Weeks Range 3.68 - 7.66
Updated Date 11/06/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.43

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Ultra-Deepwater DrillingDay-rate contracts for drillships and semisubmersibles.The company collects daily rent for its ships to drill in deep ocean waters.
GeographyGlobal operations with concentration in the Americas, North Sea, and West Africa.Global energy demand drives revenues across these major regions.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-02
When After Market
Estimate 0.03
Actual 0.06

Profitability

Profit Margin 7.25%
Operating Margin (TTM) 14.94%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 3.5%
Return on Equity (TTM) 3.53%

Valuation

Trailing PE 12.19
Forward PE 14.16
Enterprise Value 10.22B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.45
Enterprise Value 10.22B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.45
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.54
Shares Outstanding 1.12B
Shares Floating 923.65M
Shares Outstanding 1.12B
Shares Floating 923.65M
Percent Insiders 9.24
Percent Institutions 96.86

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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