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Upturn AI Summary - About
Natural Gas Services Group Inc(NGS)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NGS
11/09/2026: NGS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Natural Gas Services Group Inc is a specialized provider of natural gas compression equipment and services for the energy sector. The company primarily operates through its rental fleet, which provides a recurring revenue stream, complemented by equipment sales and aftermarket support. Its core investment story revolves around its ability to leverage cyclical demand in North American natural gas production to drive growth. However, the company faces risks from energy commodity price volatility, intense competition from larger players, and broader industry regulatory pressures. It may best suit value-oriented investors who understand the cyclical nature of energy infrastructure, while monitoring future developments in fleet utilization and commodity demand.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is tied to cyclical energy trends rather than consistent secular expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is highly conditional on positive shifts in natural gas commodity prices. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at valuations reflective of its tangible asset base and cyclical position. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not prioritize regular dividend payouts to shareholders. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The energy services sector is prone to high volatility and cyclical risk. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Energy prices directly impact client demand and service utilization. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The stock price is sensitive to cyclical energy sentiment. |
| Competition risk (Compression services) | Medium / high | Larger competitors with greater scale can put pricing pressure on the market. |
| Business quality | Medium | Recurring rental revenue provides stability, but the business remains capital-intensive. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors should not rely on NGS for income generation. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Managing a complex fleet of equipment requires high operational efficiency. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 59.9% | Avg. Invested days 63 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 356.25M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.16 | 1Y Target Price 56 |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.16 | 1Y Target Price 56 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 99.9K shares | Beta 0.44 | 52 Weeks Range 26.39 - 44.43 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 26.39 - 44.43 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.76% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.61 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Compression Rentals | Rental of natural gas compressors for midstream and production use. | This is the primary source of steady, recurring income for the company. |
| Equipment Sales & Service | Sale of compressor units and maintenance/repair services. | This segment provides episodic revenue that fluctuates with customer capital spending. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-09 | When After Market | Estimate 0.45 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 10.81% | Operating Margin (TTM) 19.3% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.39% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.31% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.16 | Forward PE 11.88 | Enterprise Value 685.45M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.88 |
Enterprise Value 685.45M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.88 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.62 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.31 | Shares Outstanding 12.90M | Shares Floating 12.59M |
Shares Outstanding 12.90M | Shares Floating 12.59M | ||
Percent Insiders 3.2 | Percent Institutions 94.36 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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