NiSource Inc logo

NiSource Inc(NI)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
2-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$39.43
10/02/2026
(24-hour delay)

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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NI

10/02/2026: NI (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

NiSource Inc is a regulated utility holding company providing essential natural gas and electric services in the Midwestern United States. The company benefits from a stable, predictable business model centered on government-approved rates and ongoing infrastructure investment. Its primary growth opportunity lies in transitioning its electric generation fleet toward renewable energy while continuing to modernize its gas distribution network. Key risks include heavy capital expenditure needs, regulatory sensitivity, and the potential impact of interest rate changes on borrowing costs. This stock is well-suited for income-oriented investors seeking stable, long-term dividends, provided they monitor regulatory developments and infrastructure execution closely.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is moderate and tied to regulated rate base expansion rather than high-growth innovation.
Momentum investorWeak fitUtility stocks typically lack the high-volatility price momentum sought by this style.
Value investorMixed fitThe stock is often priced based on yield and regulatory stability rather than deep value discount.
Dividend investorStrong fitNiSource is well-suited for income-focused portfolios due to its regulated, recurring cash flow model.
Low-risk investorStrong fitRegulated utilities offer lower beta and more stable price characteristics compared to broader equities.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityLowThe regulated nature of the business limits exposure to sudden market price swings.
Valuation riskMediumValuations in the utility sector are highly sensitive to interest rate environments.
Competition risk (Regulatory Monopoly)LowAs a regulated utility, the company operates in territories with limited direct competition.
Business qualityStrongEssential services create a stable, long-term franchise quality.
Dividend incomeStrongPredictable cash flows support reliable dividend distributions.
Execution riskMediumSuccessfully managing large-scale infrastructure projects and regulatory filings is critical.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Very Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Very Smooth

The stock has followed a highly orderly price path with minimal short-term disruption.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 35.37%
Avg. Invested days 82
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/02/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
NI receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
NI has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+22.2%) and solid revenue growth (+21.8%) are partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -6.3%), very low insider ownership of 0.35%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
NI's financial health is supported by solid profitability, including gross margin of 50.4% and operating margin of 27.6%. Liquidity is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is NI's strongest growth driver at +51.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+21.8%, solid) and earnings growth (+22.2%, solid) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 98.1% and approximately 99.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.35%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 11.46%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.54%
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,Inc. 6.22%
State Street Corp 5.76%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.64%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
NI generates approximately $504 of gross profit, $276 of operating income, and $-63 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins and weak cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is soft.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 16.75%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
NI has a large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 18.94B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 20.79
1Y Target Price 49.13
Price to earnings Ratio 20.79
1Y Target Price 49.13
Volume (30-day avg) 5.5M shares
Beta 0.54
52 Weeks Range 38.42 - 48.88
Updated Date 10/02/2026
52 Weeks Range 38.42 - 48.88
Updated Date 10/02/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.49%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.9

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Regulated Gas DistributionDelivery of natural gas to residential and commercial customers across six states.Revenue comes from reliable monthly utility bills based on government-approved rates.
Regulated Electric OperationsGeneration and delivery of electricity in Indiana.Core earnings are backed by state-approved utility service contracts.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 20.79
Forward PE 17.36
Enterprise Value 36.16B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.75
Enterprise Value 36.16B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.75
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.25
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.29
Shares Outstanding 479.56M
Shares Floating 477.73M
Shares Outstanding 479.56M
Shares Floating 477.73M
Percent Insiders 0.35
Percent Institutions 98.08

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About NiSource Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Merrillville, IN, United States
IPO Launch date 1984-10-19
President, CEO & Director Mr. Lloyd M. Yates
Sector Utilities
Industry Utilities - Regulated Gas
Full time employees 7668
Full time employees 7668

NiSource Inc., an energy holding company, operates as a regulated natural gas and electric utility company in the United States. It operates in two segments, Columbia Operations and NIPSCO Operations. The company provides natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers through approximately 37,300 miles of distribution main pipeline and the associated individual customer service lines; and 310 miles of transmission main pipeline in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Kentucky, and Maryland. It also generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 0.5 million customers in various counties in the northern part of Indiana, as well as engages in wholesale electric and transmission transactions. It owns and operates steam coal generating stations in Wheatfield and Michigan City; combined cycle gas turbine in West Terre Haute; natural gas generating units in Wheatfield; hydro generating plants in Carroll County and White County; wind generating units in White County; and solar generating units in Sullivan County, Gibson County, Jasper County, and White County. The company was formerly known as NIPSCO Industries, Inc. and changed its name to NiSource Inc. in April 1999. NiSource Inc. was founded in 1847 and is headquartered in Merrillville, Indiana.