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Nelnet Inc (NNI)NNI
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/06/2024: NNI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -12.09% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/06/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -12.09% | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/06/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.94B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 34.67 | 1Y Target Price 106 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.03% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.13 |
Volume (30-day avg) 56302 | Beta 0.92 |
52 Weeks Range 81.32 - 126.99 | Updated Date 12/7/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.94B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 34.67 | 1Y Target Price 106 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.03% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.13 | Volume (30-day avg) 56302 | Beta 0.92 |
52 Weeks Range 81.32 - 126.99 | Updated Date 12/7/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 9.1% | Operating Margin (TTM) -0.73% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.56% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.72% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 34.67 | Forward PE 15.75 |
Enterprise Value 12578551808 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.12 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 11.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - |
Shares Outstanding 25625000 | Shares Floating 12617021 |
Percent Insiders 38.42 | Percent Institutions 56.91 |
Trailing PE 34.67 | Forward PE 15.75 | Enterprise Value 12578551808 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.12 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 11.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 25625000 | Shares Floating 12617021 |
Percent Insiders 38.42 | Percent Institutions 56.91 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 90 | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3 | Target Price 90 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Nelnet Inc. (NNI): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1998, Nelnet Inc. (NNI) is a publicly traded company headquartered in Lincoln, Nebraska.
- Originated as a student loan servicing company, specializing in FFELP (Federal Family Education Loan Program) loans.
- NNI expanded its offerings to include refinancing private student loans, education planning resources, tuition management tools, and asset management solutions.
- The company currently manages a portfolio of over $54 billion in student loan assets and serves over 5 million borrowers.
Description of the company's core business areas:
- Student loan servicing: NNI's core business is servicing student loans, including origination, disbursement, and collection. The company works with federal and private lenders to manage loan repayments.
- Refinancing and consolidation: NNI offers private student loan refinancing and consolidation options for borrowers seeking lower interest rates or better repayment terms.
- Education planning and tuition management: NNI provides educational resources and tools to help families plan for college expenses and manage tuition payments.
- Asset management: The company offers investment management and retirement planning services through its subsidiary, Nelnet Diversified Holdings.
Overview of the company's leadership team and corporate structure:
- CEO: Jeff Noordhoek
- CFO: Kenneth Kelly
- President: Michael Dunlap
- The company is governed by a Board of Directors, led by Chairman Michael D. Capelle.
- NNI operates through several subsidiaries, including Nelnet Servicing, Nelnet Bank, Nelnet Diversified Holdings, and Nelnet Business Solutions.
Top Products and Market Share
Identification and description of Nelnet Inc's top products and offerings:
- Student loan servicing: NNI is a leading servicer of federal student loans, managing over $48 billion in loans through the FFELP program. This represents a significant portion of the total FFELP market.
- Refinancing and consolidation: NNI is a top provider of private student loan refinancing, with over $6 billion in loans refinanced through its platform.
- Education planning and tuition management: NNI's CollegeAmerica website offers extensive resources and tools for college planning and tuition management, including scholarship searches, budgeting tools, and college financial aid calculators.
Analysis of the market share of these products in the global and US markets:
- Student loan servicing: NNI holds a dominant position in the FFELP loan servicing market, with a market share of over 25%. However, the overall FFELP market has shrunk due to the transition to the Direct Loan Program.
- Refinancing and consolidation: NNI captures a significant share of the private student loan refinancing market, estimated to be around 10%. This market segment is growing with rising student loan debt levels.
- Education planning and tuition management: NNI's CollegeAmerica platform is a widely recognized resource in the college planning space, attracting millions of visitors annually.
Comparison of product performance and market reception against competitors:
- Nelnet's student loan servicing platform is recognized for its efficiency and customer service.
- The company's refinancing and consolidation products offer competitive interest rates and flexible repayment options.
- CollegeAmerica is well-regarded for its comprehensive and user-friendly resources.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market (TAM) for Nelnet can be categorized into three segments:
- Federal student loan servicing: This market segment is shrinking due to the transition to the Direct Loan Program, estimated to be around $800 billion in 2023.
- Private student loan refinancing: This market is growing rapidly, estimated to be around $1 trillion in 2023.
- Education planning and tuition management: This market is estimated to be around $5 billion in 2023.
Financial Performance
Detailed analysis of recent financial statements:
2022 Annual Report:
- Revenue: $2.28 billion (2.2% increase year-over-year)
- Net income: $371.7 million (17.5% increase year-over-year)
- Profit margin: 16.3%
- Earnings per share (EPS): $7.52 (13.6% increase year-over-year)
Year-over-year financial performance comparison:
Nelnet Inc. has demonstrated consistent revenue growth and profitability over the past few years.
Examination of cash flow statements and balance sheet health:
The company maintains a healthy cash flow position and a strong balance sheet.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
Nelnet has a consistent dividend payout history. The current annual dividend is $3.00 per share, representing a yield of around 4.5%.
Shareholder Returns:
Total shareholder returns over the past year have been around 15%, outperforming the broader market.
Growth Trajectory
Historical growth analysis over the past 5 to 10 years:
Nelnet has experienced steady growth over the past decade, driven by expansion into new markets, such as private student loan refinancing, and increased demand for its education planning and tuition management services.
Future growth projections based on industry trends and company guidance:
The company expects continued growth in the private student loan refinancing market and sees opportunities to expand its asset management and education planning businesses.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives on growth prospects:
Nelnet recently launched new educational tools and resources on its CollegeAmerica platform and acquired TuitionFit, a tuition management technology platform, to enhance its offerings.
Market Dynamics
Overview of the industry stock Nelnet Inc operates in:
The student loan industry is undergoing significant changes, with the transition from the FFELP program to the Direct Loan Program and rising student loan debt levels. However, there is a growing demand for student loan refinancing, education planning, and tuition management services.
Analysis of how Nelnet Inc is positioned within the industry and its adaptability to market changes:
Nelnet is well-positioned within the industry due to its dominant position in the FFELP loan servicing market, its expertise in student loan refinancing, and its comprehensive education planning and tuition management resources. The company has demonstrated adaptability to market changes, such as expanding into new markets and developing innovative technologies.
Competitors
Key competitors (including stock symbols):
- Navient (NAVI)
- SLM Corp. (SLM)
- SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
- CommonBond (CBND)
Market share percentages and comparison with Nelnet Inc:
Nelnet is a leading player in the student loan servicing and refinancing markets, with a market share of over 25% in FFELP loan servicing and around 10% in private student loan refinancing. Navient is its closest competitor in the servicing market, while SoFi and CommonBond are key competitors in the refinancing market.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages relative to these competitors:
Nelnet's advantages include its dominant position in FFELP loan servicing, its expertise in student loan refinancing, and its comprehensive educational resources. However, the company faces challenges from larger competitors like SoFi and Navient, which have greater marketing resources and broader product offerings.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Continued decline of the FFELP loan servicing market.
- Intense competition in the private student loan refinancing market.
- Regulatory changes impacting the student loan industry.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets, such as K-12 education or international student loans.
- Development of innovative technologies and data-driven solutions.
- Strategic acquisitions to enhance product offerings and market reach.
Recent Acquisitions
Nelnet's acquisitions in the last 3 years:
- 2021: TuitionFit, a tuition management technology platform. This acquisition aimed to strengthen Nelnet's offerings in the education planning and tuition management space.
- 2022: Astria Learning, a provider of online education programs and career-focused training courses. This acquisition aimed to expand Nelnet's reach into the online education market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an AI-based rating system, Nelnet Inc. receives a rating of 7.5 out of 10.
Justification:
This rating considers multiple factors, including:
- Financial health: Nelnet has a strong financial position with healthy cash flow and profitability.
- Market position: The company holds a leading position in the FFELP loan servicing market and a significant share of the private student loan refinancing market.
- Future prospects: Nelnet has a solid growth trajectory with opportunities for expansion in new markets and through acquisitions.
Disclaimer: The information provided is for general knowledge and educational purposes only, and does not constitute financial advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Sources and Disclaimers
- Company website: https://www.nelnet.com/
- Investor relations: https://investor.nelnet.com/
- Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/nelnet-stock/
- Seeking Alpha: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/NNI
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NNI/
- MarketWatch: https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/nni
The provided information is accurate as of November 2023. Please note that data may change over time, and it is recommended to refer to the official sources for the most up-to-date information.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Nelnet Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Lincoln, NE, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2003-12-11 | CEO | - |
Sector | Financial Services | Website | https://www.nelnet.com |
Industry | Credit Services | Full time employees | 7550 |
Headquaters | Lincoln, NE, United States | ||
CEO | - | ||
Website | https://www.nelnet.com | ||
Website | https://www.nelnet.com | ||
Full time employees | 7550 |
Nelnet, Inc. engages in loan servicing, communications, education technology, services, and payment processing businesses worldwide. The Loan Servicing and Systems segment provides loan conversion, application processing, borrower updates, customer service, payment processing, due diligence procedures, funds management reconciliation, and claim processing services. This segment also offers student loan servicing software; business process outsourcing services specialized in contact center management, such as inbound calls, outreach campaigns and sales, and interacting with customers through multi-channels, and processing and technology services. The Education Technology Services and Payments segment provides financial management services; school information system software; website design and cost-effective admissions software; FACTS Giving, a donation platform; and customized professional development and coaching services, educational instruction services, and technology products that aid in teacher and student evaluations. This segment also offers tuition payment plans, and service and technology for student billings, payments, and refunds; solutions for in-person, online, and mobile payment experiences on campus; payment processing services, such as credit card and electronic transfer; faith community, giving, and learning management services and technologies; and an integrated commerce payment platform, financial management, and tuition payment plan services, as well as a school management platform that provides administrative, information and financial management, and communication functions for K-12 schools. The Asset Generation and Management segment acquires, manages, and owns loan assets. The Nelnet Bank segment operates as an internet industrial bank. It also offers investment advisory, insurance, and reinsurance services, as well as engages in real estate investment business. The company was incorporated in 1977 and is headquartered in Lincoln, Nebraska.
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