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Nova Minerals Limited (NVA)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/05/2026: NVA (5-star) is a SELL. SELL since 3 days. Simulated Profits (139.22%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $10
1 Year Target Price $10
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 181% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 251.08M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1 | Beta 0.57 | 52 Weeks Range 1.68 - 16.28 | Updated Date 01/5/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 1.68 - 16.28 | Updated Date 01/5/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.31 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -93.48% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -2.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) -10.66% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 236128097 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 236128097 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 37585684 | Shares Floating 385541736 |
Shares Outstanding 37585684 | Shares Floating 385541736 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 7.92 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Nova Minerals Limited
Company Overview
History and Background
Nova Minerals Limited is an ASX-listed mineral exploration company focused on the development of its Estelle Gold Project in Alaska, USA. While the company has a history of exploration and resource definition, its significant milestones are primarily related to advancing the Estelle project towards production.
Core Business Areas
- Mineral Exploration and Development: Nova Minerals is primarily engaged in the exploration and development of its 100%-owned Estelle Gold Project located in the prolific Tintina Gold Province of Alaska, USA. The company is focused on defining and expanding its gold and associated metal resources.
Leadership and Structure
Nova Minerals Limited is led by a management team with expertise in mining and exploration. The organizational structure is typical of a junior exploration company, focused on technical, financial, and corporate governance functions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gold and Associated Metals (e.g., Copper, Silver): The primary product is gold, along with potential by-products such as copper and silver, extracted from the Estelle Gold Project. Market share data for individual resources from a specific project is not applicable in the traditional sense. Competitors for gold mining operations are numerous global and junior mining companies. Specific market share of Nova's potential future production is not yet defined.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The gold and base metals mining industry is cyclical, influenced by commodity prices, global economic conditions, geopolitical events, and regulatory environments. The exploration and development sector, in particular, is highly sensitive to capital availability and investor sentiment.
Positioning
Nova Minerals is positioned as a junior explorer with a large, prospective landholding in a proven gold-producing region. Its competitive advantages lie in the potential scale of the Estelle project and its location. However, as a development-stage company, it faces competition for capital and is subject to the inherent risks of resource development.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for gold and associated metals is substantial, driven by demand for investment, jewelry, and industrial applications. Nova Minerals is positioned to capture a portion of this market should it successfully bring its Estelle project into production. The company's current focus is on resource definition and economic feasibility, with its TAM contribution contingent on these outcomes.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Significant landholding at the Estelle Gold Project in Alaska.
- Potential for a large-scale gold deposit based on current resource estimates.
- Location in the Tintina Gold Province, a historically productive mining region.
Weaknesses
- Currently a development-stage company with no producing assets.
- Reliance on external financing for exploration and development activities.
- Significant capital required to advance the project to production.
- Exploration and development risks inherent in the mining industry.
Opportunities
- Further resource expansion and definition at Estelle.
- Positive movements in gold and copper prices.
- Partnerships or joint ventures to accelerate development.
- Technological advancements in mining and processing.
Threats
- Adverse movements in commodity prices.
- Changes in mining regulations and environmental policies.
- Difficulty in securing future funding.
- Competition for resources and talent in the mining sector.
- Geopolitical instability impacting global markets.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Contango ORE Inc. (US Stock Symbol: MCF)
- Nova Minerals Limited (ASX: NVA, OTC: NVAAF)
- Kinross Gold Corporation (US Stock Symbol: KGC)
- Barrick Gold Corporation (US Stock Symbol: GOLD)
Competitive Landscape
Nova Minerals competes for investment capital and talent with other junior and major mining companies. Its advantage lies in the potential scale and jurisdiction of its project, while larger, established producers have greater financial resources and operational experience.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth for Nova Minerals has been characterized by increasing resource estimates and the expansion of its landholdings at the Estelle project. Financial growth in terms of revenue is not a primary indicator at this stage.
Future Projections: Future projections are contingent on the successful advancement of the Estelle Gold Project through feasibility studies and towards production. Analyst estimates would focus on potential project economics and future resource potential.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include ongoing drilling programs, metallurgical testing, environmental studies, and efforts to secure project financing and partnerships for the Estelle Gold Project.
Summary
Nova Minerals Limited is a junior explorer with significant potential at its Estelle Gold Project in Alaska. Its strengths lie in its large landholding and the project's promising resource. However, it faces substantial risks due to its development stage, reliance on funding, and the inherent volatility of the mining industry. Continued progress in resource definition and successful project financing are crucial for its future success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Public Filings (ASX, OTC)
- Industry Analysis Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This JSON data is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Financial data and market share figures are estimates and subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Nova Minerals Limited
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Caulfield, VIC, Australia | ||
IPO Launch date 2024-07-24 | CEO & Executive Director Mr. Christopher Gerteisen | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Full time employees - | Website https://novaminerals.com.au |
Full time employees - | Website https://novaminerals.com.au | ||
Nova Minerals Limited engages in the exploration of mineral properties in Australia and the United States. The company explores for gold, antimony, and critical minerals. It owns 85% interest in the flagship Estelle Gold project comprising 803 mining claims covering an area of 514 square kilometers located in the State of Alaska. The company was formerly known as Quantum Resources Limited and changed its name to Nova Minerals Limited in December 2017. Nova Minerals Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Caulfield, Australia.

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