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NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2025: NVDA (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $253.02
1 Year Target Price $253.02
| 43 | Strong Buy |
| 12 | Buy |
| 7 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 248.42% | Avg. Invested days 51 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.41T USD | Price to earnings Ratio 44.8 | 1Y Target Price 253.02 |
Price to earnings Ratio 44.8 | 1Y Target Price 253.02 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 63 | Beta 2.28 | 52 Weeks Range 86.60 - 212.18 | Updated Date 12/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 86.60 - 212.18 | Updated Date 12/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.02% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.04 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 53.01% | Operating Margin (TTM) 63.17% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 53.53% | Return on Equity (TTM) 107.36% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 44.8 | Forward PE 23.7 | Enterprise Value 4348834950000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 23.55 |
Enterprise Value 4348834950000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 23.55 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 23.24 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 36.52 | Shares Outstanding 24305000000 | Shares Floating 23329944000 |
Shares Outstanding 24305000000 | Shares Floating 23329944000 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.33 | Percent Institutions 69.37 |
Upturn AI SWOT
NVIDIA Corporation

Company Overview
History and Background
NVIDIA Corporation was founded in 1993 by Jensen Huang, Chris Malachowsky, and Curtis Priem. Initially focused on graphics for PCs, NVIDIA pioneered the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) in 1999 with the GeForce 256. The company has since evolved to become a leader in AI computing, with its GPUs powering a wide range of applications from gaming and professional visualization to data centers and autonomous vehicles. Key milestones include the introduction of CUDA in 2006, enabling parallel computing on GPUs, and the increasing adoption of their chips in data centers for AI and machine learning workloads.
Core Business Areas
- Data Center: This segment focuses on GPUs and systems for AI, high-performance computing (HPC), and data analytics. Products include the NVIDIA DGX systems and A100/H100 GPUs. This segment is the primary driver of NVIDIA's recent growth.
- Gaming: This is NVIDIA's historical core business, providing GeForce GPUs for gaming PCs. This segment also includes related software and services like GeForce NOW.
- Professional Visualization: NVIDIA designs GPUs and solutions for professional use in fields like design, engineering, scientific research, and media & entertainment. Products include the Quadro and RTX lines.
- Automotive: This segment offers AI solutions and platforms for autonomous vehicles, infotainment systems, and driver assistance systems. NVIDIA DRIVE is a key platform in this area.
Leadership and Structure
NVIDIA is led by its co-founder and CEO Jensen Huang. The company operates with a functional organizational structure, with key leaders overseeing engineering, marketing, finance, and other critical departments. The emphasis is on innovation and deep technical expertise.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- NVIDIA H100/A100 Tensor Core GPUs: These are high-performance GPUs specifically designed for AI training and inference workloads in data centers. They represent a significant portion of NVIDIA's revenue and market dominance in AI hardware. Competitors include AMD (MI250X, MI300X), Intel (Gaudi accelerators), and cloud providers developing custom AI chips (e.g., Google TPUs, Amazon Inferent Chips).
- NVIDIA GeForce RTX Series: These GPUs are the industry standard for high-end gaming PCs, offering advanced graphics capabilities like ray tracing. Competitors include AMD (Radeon RX series) and Intel (Arc series).
- NVIDIA DRIVE Platform: A comprehensive suite of hardware and software for autonomous vehicles, enabling features like advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and full self-driving capabilities. Competitors include Qualcomm, Mobileye (an Intel company), and other automotive semiconductor suppliers.
- NVIDIA DGX Systems: Integrated AI supercomputing platforms designed for enterprise-level AI development and deployment. These systems combine NVIDIA GPUs, networking, and software. Competitors include cloud providers offering managed AI services and companies building their own custom AI infrastructure.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
NVIDIA operates within the rapidly evolving semiconductor industry, particularly in the high-growth areas of AI, data centers, and gaming. The demand for advanced computing power for AI training and inference is surging, driven by advancements in machine learning, large language models, and widespread AI adoption across industries. The gaming market remains robust, while the automotive sector is transitioning towards software-defined vehicles and autonomous driving.
Positioning
NVIDIA holds a dominant position in the AI chip market, particularly for training complex AI models, due to its superior GPU architecture, mature CUDA software ecosystem, and strong brand recognition. The company is also a leader in the discrete GPU market for gaming. Its competitive advantages lie in its deep technological expertise, integrated hardware and software solutions, and strong partnerships with cloud providers and enterprise customers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for AI infrastructure and GPUs is vast and projected to grow significantly. Estimates vary, but the AI semiconductor market alone is projected to reach hundreds of billions of dollars in the coming years. NVIDIA is exceptionally well-positioned to capture a substantial portion of this TAM, particularly in data center AI accelerators, where it currently holds a near-monopoly for cutting-edge workloads. The gaming GPU market is also a substantial TAM, though more mature.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Dominant market share in AI accelerators and data center GPUs.
- Proprietary CUDA software ecosystem, creating a strong lock-in effect.
- Industry-leading GPU architecture and performance.
- Strong brand recognition and reputation for innovation.
- Diversified revenue streams across gaming, data center, professional visualization, and automotive.
- Long-standing partnerships with major cloud providers and OEMs.
Weaknesses
- High dependency on a few key customers (e.g., cloud providers) for data center revenue.
- Potential for intense competition to emerge, especially from custom chip designs by hyperscalers.
- Supply chain constraints can impact production and delivery.
- Significant research and development costs.
Opportunities
- Continued explosive growth in AI and machine learning adoption across all industries.
- Expansion into new AI applications like robotics, autonomous systems, and drug discovery.
- Growth in the metaverse and immersive computing experiences.
- Increased demand for AI in edge computing and IoT devices.
- Expansion in automotive segment with the rise of autonomous driving.
Threats
- Emergence of powerful competitors, including custom silicon from hyperscale cloud providers.
- Geopolitical risks and trade tensions affecting global supply chains and market access.
- Potential slowdown in gaming hardware upgrades.
- Regulatory scrutiny regarding market dominance and competition.
- Rapid technological advancements by competitors.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) (AMD)
- Intel Corporation (INTC)
- Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM)
- Broadcom Inc. (AVGO)
Competitive Landscape
NVIDIA's primary competitive advantage lies in its deeply entrenched CUDA ecosystem and superior performance in AI training workloads, which gives it a significant lead over competitors like AMD and Intel. While AMD is making strides with its Instinct accelerators, and Intel is investing in its Gaudi accelerators, they have yet to unseat NVIDIA's dominance in the high-end AI market. Qualcomm is a strong competitor in the mobile and automotive space. Broadcom is a key player in networking and custom silicon.
Major Acquisitions
Mellanox Technologies
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 6900
- Strategic Rationale: To bolster NVIDIA's high-performance networking capabilities, crucial for scaling AI and HPC workloads in data centers and supercomputers, by integrating Mellanox's InfiniBand and Ethernet solutions with NVIDIA's GPUs.
Cumulus Networks
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 710
- Strategic Rationale: To enhance NVIDIA's networking software stack and expand its presence in the data center networking market, enabling open networking solutions.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: NVIDIA has a history of impressive growth, evolving from a graphics card company to a leader in AI. The company has consistently innovated and adapted to emerging technological trends, leading to sustained revenue and profit expansion.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for NVIDIA's future growth remain highly optimistic, primarily driven by the sustained demand for its AI hardware in data centers. Forecasts suggest continued double-digit revenue growth, fueled by increasing AI adoption and expansion into new markets. The company is expected to remain a key player in the AI revolution.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its Hopper architecture, developing advanced AI software platforms (e.g., NVIDIA AI Enterprise), increasing capacity to meet surging demand, and pursuing strategic partnerships for AI deployment in various industries. The company is also investing heavily in robotics and autonomous vehicle technologies.
Summary
NVIDIA Corporation is a dominant force in the AI and GPU markets, exhibiting exceptional financial performance driven by surging demand in its Data Center segment. Its proprietary CUDA ecosystem creates a strong competitive moat, while continuous innovation fuels its growth trajectory. However, the company must remain vigilant against potential disruptions from custom silicon development by hyperscalers and ongoing competition from established players.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- NVIDIA Corporation Investor Relations
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal)
- Market Research Reports
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered financial advice. Market share data and TAM estimates are subject to change and may vary depending on the source and methodology. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Santa Clara, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1999-01-22 | Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director Mr. Jen-Hsun Huang | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Semiconductors | Full time employees 36000 | Website https://www.nvidia.com |
Full time employees 36000 | Website https://www.nvidia.com | ||
NVIDIA Corporation, a computing infrastructure company, provides graphics and compute and networking solutions in the United States, Singapore, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Centre accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms; and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment offers GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU or vGPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems; and Omniverse software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications. It also customized agentic solutions designed in collaboration with NVIDIA to accelerate enterprise AI adoption. The company's products are used in gaming, professional visualization, data center, and automotive markets. It sells its products to original equipment manufacturers, original device manufacturers, system integrators and distributors, independent software vendors, cloud service providers, consumer internet companies, add-in board manufacturers, distributors, automotive manufacturers and tier-1 automotive suppliers, and other ecosystem participants. NVIDIA Corporation was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

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