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Upturn AI Summary - About
Super Micro Computer Inc(SMCI)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SMCI
11/05/2026: SMCI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Super Micro Computer Inc is a prominent designer and manufacturer of high-performance server and storage systems optimized for AI and cloud computing. The company has achieved significant growth by being a first-to-market provider of specialized hardware, frequently working closely with major chip suppliers. Its main investment appeal lies in the continued demand for AI infrastructure, though this is balanced by risks including high revenue concentration, competitive pressure from larger OEMs, and recent operational and governance challenges. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate significant price volatility, as they should monitor upcoming financial stability updates and broader AI capital expenditure trends.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company is positioned in the high-growth sector of AI infrastructure. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often exhibits high volatility and strong trends aligned with broader AI market sentiment. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation metrics are often impacted by growth expectations and rapid changes in sentiment. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a dividend and prioritizes capital reinvestment. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High price volatility and operational risks make this unsuitable for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock frequently experiences large price swings driven by sector sentiment and company-specific news. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | High growth expectations can lead to significant valuation compression if earnings targets are missed. |
| Competition risk (AI infrastructure) | High | Competition from larger, better-capitalized incumbents could impact market share and margins. |
| Business quality | Medium | Hardware margins are inherently lower than software-based models and susceptible to component cost fluctuations. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors seeking regular income will not find this stock suitable. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Rapid scaling and complex supply chain management pose operational challenges. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -27.01% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/05/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 19.45B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.24 | 1Y Target Price 43.27 |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.24 | 1Y Target Price 43.27 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 38.8M shares | Beta 2.18 | 52 Weeks Range 19.48 - 51.40 | Updated Date 11/05/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 19.48 - 51.40 | Updated Date 11/05/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.74 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Server and Storage Systems | Rack-level systems for AI, cloud, and enterprise data centers. | The primary way the company generates revenue is by selling complete, high-performance computing hardware. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-03 | When After Market | Estimate 1.04 | Actual 1.7 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.71% | Operating Margin (TTM) 13.38% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.88% | Return on Equity (TTM) 21.47% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.24 | Forward PE 7.69 | Enterprise Value 26.09B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5 |
Enterprise Value 26.09B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.67 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.49 | Shares Outstanding 656.97M | Shares Floating 557.72M |
Shares Outstanding 656.97M | Shares Floating 557.72M | ||
Percent Insiders 12.66 | Percent Institutions 69.42 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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