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Super Micro Computer Inc(SMCI)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 30 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+6% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$41.51
09/24/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SMCI

09/24/2026: SMCI (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Super Micro Computer Inc is a prominent designer and manufacturer of high-performance server and storage solutions, widely known for its role in enabling AI infrastructure. The company’s primary strength lies in its agile manufacturing and early, deep collaboration with chip providers like NVIDIA. Its investment story centers on the massive global demand for AI-optimized hardware. However, investors must weigh these opportunities against significant risks, including supply chain dependencies, intense competition from larger incumbents, and recent volatility linked to financial oversight. This stock may suit growth-oriented investors comfortable with high volatility and regulatory risk, while monitoring governance and supply chain developments is essential.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe company is deeply integrated into the AI infrastructure build-out, driving significant revenue growth.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock has historically exhibited high sensitivity to news regarding AI demand and major partner supply chains.
Value investorMixed fitValuation has fluctuated significantly, making it difficult to define as a traditional deep-value play.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay a dividend and prioritizes capital reinvestment.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility and operational risks make this unsuitable for risk-averse portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is subject to significant price swings driven by market sentiment on AI and regulatory updates.
Valuation riskMedium / highRapid price appreciation has led to significant variance in valuation multiples.
Competition risk (AI infrastructure)HighEstablished incumbents are aggressively investing to capture AI server market share.
Business qualityMediumWhile the technology is highly regarded, hardware margins are susceptible to commodity cycles.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no dividend income to provide downside protection or yield.
Execution riskMedium / highScaling manufacturing while maintaining high product quality is a constant operational challenge.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 30.38%
Avg. Invested days 32
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/24/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
SMCI receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
SMCI has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, strong earnings growth (+112.7%) and strong revenue growth (+77.8%) are partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin -17.8%), soft profitability (net margin 5.7%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
SMCI's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 68.7%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is SMCI's strongest growth driver at +112.7% FY2026 versus FY2025 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+77.8%, strong) is also strong, while free-cash-flow growth (-555.0%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 69.6% and approximately 86.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 12.70% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 6.60%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 5.01%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.50%
State Street Corp 3.35%
Geode Capital Management, LLC 2.15%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
SMCI generates approximately $108 of gross profit, $71 of operating income, and $-178 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 19.95%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
SMCI has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltHigh VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 26.81B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.75
1Y Target Price 42.38
Price to earnings Ratio 12.75
1Y Target Price 42.38
Volume (30-day avg) 42.9M shares
Beta 2
52 Weeks Range 19.48 - 58.78
Updated Date 09/24/2026
52 Weeks Range 19.48 - 58.78
Updated Date 09/24/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.25

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
AI and Data Center ServersHigh-density GPU systems for AI training/inference and enterprise rack-scale solutions.Most revenue comes from building the actual physical hardware that runs AI models.
Storage and AccessoriesServer storage, networking components, and motherboards.These foundational components provide a steady base of business across broader IT markets.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 12.75
Forward PE 10.18
Enterprise Value 32.76B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.7
Enterprise Value 32.76B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.7
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.84
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.66
Shares Outstanding 646.87M
Shares Floating 557.63M
Shares Outstanding 646.87M
Shares Floating 557.63M
Percent Insiders 12.7
Percent Institutions 69.56

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Super Micro Computer Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters San Jose, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2007-03-29
Founder, Chairman of the Board, President & CEO Mr. Charles Liang
Sector Technology
Industry Computer Hardware
Full time employees 7000
Full time employees 7000

Super Micro Computer, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells server and storage solutions based on modular and open-standard architecture in the United States, Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company offers liquid and air-cooled AI servers for training and inferencing with integrated graphics processing units (GPUs) or PCIe based architectures; SuperBlade, MicroBlade, FlexTwin, GrandTwin, and BigTwin blade and multi-node systems; SuperStorage systems; Hyper, CloudDC, and WIO and rackmount systems; embedded (5G/IoT/Edge) systems; and MicroCloud server systems. It also provides workstations and networking devices; and modular server subsystems and accessories, including server boards, chassis, power supplies, and other accessories. In addition, the company offers remote system management solutions, such as Server Management suite comprising Supermicro Server Manager, Supermicro Power Management software, Supermicro Update Manager, SuperCloud Composer, SuperCloud Director, and SuperDoctor 5. Further, the company identifies service requirements; creates and executes project plans; conducts verification testing; offers training; and provides technical documentation. Additionally, it provides rack level services from design to deployment for full rack and cluster level deployments of AI and HPC datacenters; help desk services and on-site product support; and warranties, maintenance, and technical support services. The company serves enterprise data centers, cloud computing, artificial intelligence, 5G, and edge computing markets through direct and indirect sales force, distributors, value-added resellers, system integrators, and original equipment manufacturers. Super Micro Computer, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.