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Upturn AI Summary - About
Navigator Holdings Ltd(NVGS)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NVGS
10/28/2026: NVGS (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Navigator Holdings Ltd is an international shipping and infrastructure company that specializes in transporting liquefied gases and operating export terminals. The company benefits from a modern, specialized fleet and strategic infrastructure assets like the Morgan's Point ethylene export terminal, which provide a balance of cyclical shipping revenue and stable, fee-based income. Its primary growth opportunity lies in the rising global demand for US-produced liquefied gases. However, investors must consider risks related to volatile shipping rates, cyclical commodity demand, and the capital-intensive nature of maintaining a modern fleet. This stock may suit investors seeking exposure to energy infrastructure and international trade, provided they are comfortable with the inherent cyclicality and operational risks of the shipping sector.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely tied to cyclical shipping demand and specific infrastructure project developments. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock can exhibit strong price trends during periods of high shipping rates or positive energy sector sentiment. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The company often trades based on asset value and cyclical recovery potential rather than consistent earnings growth. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not have a long track record of reliable, high-yield dividend payments. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High exposure to commodity price cycles and shipping industry volatility makes this a higher-risk security. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Shipping stocks are highly susceptible to fluctuations in global trade and commodity pricing. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuations are often cyclical and can detach from fundamental asset values during industry peaks or troughs. |
| Competition risk (Gas Transport/Export) | Medium / high | The company faces competition from larger, diversified energy logistics companies in the infrastructure space. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the infrastructure segment is high-quality, the shipping fleet operations require constant capital maintenance. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Dividends are not the primary focus of the capital allocation strategy. |
| Execution risk | Medium | The complexity of managing both global shipping logistics and onshore terminal operations creates ongoing operational risks. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 6.08% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/28/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.30B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.89 | 1Y Target Price 25.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.89 | 1Y Target Price 25.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 451.7K shares | Beta 0.48 | 52 Weeks Range 15.90 - 25.48 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 15.90 - 25.48 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.31% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.16 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Shipping Fleet | Time charters and spot market voyages for LPG/ethylene vessels. | Revenue fluctuates based on global demand for shipping liquefied gases. |
| Export Infrastructure | Throughput fees from the Morgan's Point export terminal. | Provides more stable, predictable fee-based income compared to shipping. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-03 | When After Market | Estimate 0.38 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 22.8% | Operating Margin (TTM) 28.48% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.24% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.73% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.89 | Forward PE 12.17 | Enterprise Value 2.00B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.12 |
Enterprise Value 2.00B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.12 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.28 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.1 | Shares Outstanding 60.83M | Shares Floating 35.84M |
Shares Outstanding 60.83M | Shares Floating 35.84M | ||
Percent Insiders 41.6 | Percent Institutions 44.66 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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