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Upturn AI Summary - About
Nova Ltd(NVMI)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NVMI
09/24/2026: NVMI (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Nova Ltd is a specialized provider of metrology and process control solutions for the semiconductor industry, enabling precise measurement of chips during manufacturing. Its strength lies in deep R&D and a leading position in integrated metrology, which helps it maintain solid margins. The primary investment opportunity is the ongoing shift toward complex 3D chip architectures and advanced nodes, which demand ever-higher levels of precision. However, the company faces significant execution and competitive risks from much larger industry players, as well as cyclical exposure to global semiconductor demand. The stock is best suited for growth investors looking for semiconductor exposure and should be monitored for R&D success and capital expenditure shifts in the industry.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | Nova benefits from secular growth trends in semiconductor manufacturing capacity and technological complexity. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often exhibits strong price trends during semiconductor industry upcycles. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The company's valuation can be high due to its growth profile and high-quality margins. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Nova does not provide dividend income, making it unsuitable for income-focused strategies. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The stock's volatility is closely tied to the cyclical semiconductor industry, presenting higher-than-average risk. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock is sensitive to swings in semiconductor capital expenditure cycles. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | High expectations for innovation can lead to premium pricing that is sensitive to growth misses. |
| Competition risk (KLA Corporation) | Medium / high | Direct competition from significantly larger, better-capitalized incumbents like KLA limits pricing power. |
| Business quality | Strong | Nova maintains high R&D intensity and strong customer stickiness due to the critical nature of its tools. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | The company reinvests all capital into growth, offering no dividend. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully scaling new product introductions in the advanced node segment is essential for maintaining market relevance. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 99.69% | Avg. Invested days 47 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/24/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 11.67B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 45.68 | 1Y Target Price 532 |
Price to earnings Ratio 45.68 | 1Y Target Price 532 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 566.6K shares | Beta 1.75 | 52 Weeks Range 266.43 - 615.99 | Updated Date 09/24/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 266.43 - 615.99 | Updated Date 09/24/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 8.03 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Metrology Hardware | Optical and X-ray systems for process control in fabs. | The core revenue generator that captures demand from new chip plant construction. |
| Software and Services | Data analytics, modeling software, and maintenance support. | Provides recurring, high-margin revenue that acts as a buffer during cycles. |
| Geography (Global) | Operations in Asia, North America, and Europe. | Highly dependent on regional manufacturing hubs, particularly in Taiwan and South Korea. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 45.68 | Forward PE 25.84 | Enterprise Value 11.42B | Price to Sales(TTM) 12.44 |
Enterprise Value 11.42B | Price to Sales(TTM) 12.44 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.19 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 38.67 | Shares Outstanding 31.81M | Shares Floating 31.70M |
Shares Outstanding 31.81M | Shares Floating 31.70M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.1 | Percent Institutions 77.45 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Nova Ltd
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquarters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2000-04-07 | President & CEO Mr. Gabriel Waisman | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | Full time employees 1612 | Website https://www.novami.com |
Full time employees 1612 | Website https://www.novami.com | ||
Nova Ltd. engages in the design, development, production, and sale of process control systems used in the manufacture of semiconductors in Taiwan, the United States, China, Korea, and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes a set of metrology platforms for dimensional, films, and materials and chemical metrology measurements for process control for various semiconductor manufacturing process steps, such as lithography, Etch, chemical mechanical planarization, deposition, electrochemical plating, and advanced packaging. It serves various sectors of the integrated circuit manufacturing industry, including logic, foundry, memory, and packaging sectors, as well as process equipment manufacturers. Nova Ltd. was formerly known as Nova Measuring Instruments Ltd. and changed its name to Nova Ltd. in July 2021. Nova Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Rehovot, Israel.
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