Tesla Inc logo

Tesla Inc(TSLA)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 22 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+3.45% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$378.03
10/12/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TSLA

10/12/2026: TSLA (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Tesla Inc is a prominent participant in the automotive and energy storage markets, known for its electric vehicle production and grid-scale battery solutions. The company has a leading position in the global transition toward electrification, bolstered by its highly integrated manufacturing and proprietary Supercharger network. Its growth story centers on the scaling of mass-market vehicles and potential breakthroughs in autonomous driving software. However, investors must consider risks including intense competitive pressure, high valuation multiples, and sensitivity to macroeconomic fluctuations. Tesla is best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate substantial stock price volatility and are prepared to monitor long-term shifts in the EV landscape.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitTesla operates in high-growth sectors of electrification and AI, appealing to investors seeking capital appreciation.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock frequently exhibits high trading volume and price movement, which suits momentum-based strategies.
Value investorWeak fitTesla's valuation often trades at high multiples relative to current earnings, which does not align with traditional value metrics.
Dividend investorWeak fitTesla does not pay a dividend and focuses on reinvestment, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh stock price volatility and sector-specific risks make the stock unsuitable for conservative, low-risk investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is subject to significant daily price swings, which can be challenging for risk-averse investors.
Valuation riskMedium / highHigh P/E ratios require consistent growth execution to justify the stock's current price.
Competition risk (Electric Vehicles)HighIncreased competition from legacy and new EV players threatens market share and pricing power.
Business qualityMediumTesla has built a strong brand and infrastructure, though profitability is sensitive to external economic factors.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThe company does not provide income through dividends, which limits appeal to income-focused investors.
Execution riskMediumMaintaining aggressive growth targets while scaling manufacturing and AI requires high levels of operational efficiency.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 12.22%
Avg. Invested days 29
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/12/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
TSLA receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
TSLA has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid cash generation (FCF margin 6.6%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-46.8%), slightly negative revenue growth (-2.9%), soft profitability (net margin 4.0%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
TSLA's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $6.2B (6.6% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is TSLA's strongest growth driver at +73.7% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-2.9%, slightly negative) and earnings growth (-46.8%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 43.7% and approximately 71.4% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 17.82% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 5.42%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.66%
State Street Corp 2.97%
Geode Capital Management, LLC 1.74%
Amvescap Plc. 1.40%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
TSLA generates approximately $180 of gross profit, $46 of operating income, and $66 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Soft margins explain the 2-star rating, with solid cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 26.96%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
TSLA has a large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.51T USD
Price to earnings Ratio 354.35
1Y Target Price 396.57
Price to earnings Ratio 354.35
1Y Target Price 396.57
Volume (30-day avg) 38.0M shares
Beta 1.92
52 Weeks Range 297.38 - 498.83
Updated Date 10/11/2026
52 Weeks Range 297.38 - 498.83
Updated Date 10/11/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.08

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Automotive SalesRevenue from sales of Model 3, Model Y, Model S, and Model X vehicles.This is the primary revenue driver, reflecting vehicle demand and production capacity.
Energy Generation & StorageSales of Powerwall, Megapack, and solar energy installations.A growing, secondary segment that benefits from the global shift toward grid-scale renewable energy.
Services and OtherSupercharging fees, vehicle servicing, and insurance products.Provides recurring revenue as the number of Tesla vehicles on the road increases.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 354.35
Forward PE 158.73
Enterprise Value 1.47T
Price to Sales(TTM) 14.59
Enterprise Value 1.47T
Price to Sales(TTM) 14.59
Enterprise Value to Revenue 14.22
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 122.54
Shares Outstanding 3.95B
Shares Floating 2.82B
Shares Outstanding 3.95B
Shares Floating 2.82B
Percent Insiders 17.82
Percent Institutions 43.69

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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