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Upturn AI Summary - About
Nexgel Inc(NXGL)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NXGL
10/29/2026: NXGL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Nexgel Inc is a specialized medical technology company known for its proprietary, chemical-free hydrogel products used in wound care and cosmetic applications. Its primary strength lies in its electron-beam manufacturing technology, which provides a high-quality alternative to traditional chemical-based hydrogels. The company's main growth story centers on scaling its B2B contract manufacturing business and expanding into medical drug delivery. However, investors must consider risks including limited operating history, high cash burn, and intense competition from large, established medical device firms. Nexgel is suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate high volatility, as they should monitor ongoing contract wins and regulatory milestones for future performance.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company offers exposure to a proprietary technology platform in a high-growth medical and cosmetic market. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | This is a volatile, small-cap stock that requires a positive trend or major contract wins to drive sustained momentum. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | As an early-stage company with operating losses, Nexgel lacks the earnings history required for traditional value analysis. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay dividends and prioritizes capital reinvestment. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company's small size, lack of profitability, and high volatility make it unsuitable for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Small-cap stocks in the medical technology sector often experience significant price swings based on news or market sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Future growth expectations are baked into the stock price, leaving little room for error in execution. |
| Competition risk (Medical Device giants) | High | Nexgel competes against global giants with vast R&D and distribution resources. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the technology is proprietary, the company is still building the operational scale of a mature business. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no income component to the investment thesis. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Success depends on the ability to scale production and secure B2B contracts effectively. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -27.53% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/29/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.96M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 173.4K shares | Beta 0.81 | 52 Weeks Range 3.00 - 53.60 | Updated Date 10/29/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.00 - 53.60 | Updated Date 10/29/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -14.8 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Contract Manufacturing | Manufacturing hydrogel-based products for other brands. | This is a B2B business where they produce specialized goods for other companies to sell. |
| Proprietary Products | Developing and selling their own branded medical hydrogel products. | This segment relies on direct sales and brand development. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 1.38 | Enterprise Value 9.04M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.16 |
Enterprise Value 9.04M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.16 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.75 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.85 | Shares Outstanding 487.38K | Shares Floating 383.89K |
Shares Outstanding 487.38K | Shares Floating 383.89K | ||
Percent Insiders 14.02 | Percent Institutions 13.67 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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