Origin Bancorp, Inc.(OBK)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
2-STAR RATING
WEAK BUY
BUY for 117 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+20.95% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$53.64
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

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*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for OBK

09/25/2026: OBK (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Origin Bancorp, Inc. is a regional financial holding company primarily focused on providing commercial and retail banking services across the southern United States. The company is noted for its relationship-driven model and long-standing focus on credit discipline, which has historically helped it manage assets effectively. Its primary growth opportunity lies in regional market expansion and the ongoing integration of technology to enhance efficiency. However, the company faces risks from interest rate volatility, geographic concentration, and intense competition from larger national banks. It may best suit investors looking for value in the regional banking sector, with long-term monitoring required for acquisition success and deposit-cost management.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers moderate growth potential through regional expansion but is not a high-growth tech or hyper-scale entity.
Momentum investorWeak fitBanking stocks typically follow sector-wide cycles rather than independent momentum-driven price action.
Value investorStrong fitOften trades at reasonable valuation multiples relative to earnings, appealing to investors looking for fundamental bank value.
Dividend investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe company provides a consistent dividend yield, making it suitable for income-oriented investors.
Low-risk investorMixed fitWhile established, regional banking involves inherent risks related to economic cycles and credit quality.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumBank stocks are sensitive to interest rate changes and broader market sentiment.
Valuation riskMediumInvestors must monitor if the stock trades at a premium relative to its book value or peers.
Competition risk (regional banking competition)Medium / highIncreased competition for loans and deposits from larger banks pressures margins.
Business qualityStrongThe bank maintains a solid reputation for credit discipline and relationship-focused services.
Dividend incomeMediumDividend stability depends on the company's ability to maintain earnings during economic downturns.
Execution riskMediumSuccessful integration of acquisitions is vital for achieving projected growth and scale.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 0.77%
Avg. Invested days 43
Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
OBK receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, and solid company fundamentals. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
OBK has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong cash generation (FCF margin 25.2%) and solid profitability (net margin 12.6%) are partially offset by slightly negative earnings growth (-1.7%), slightly negative revenue growth (-3.0%), modest insider ownership of 4.12%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
OBK's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (25.2% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is OBK's strongest growth driver at +74.8% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-3.0%, slightly negative) and earnings growth (-1.7%, slightly negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 70.2% and approximately 93.5% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 4.12% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 8.01%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 4.81%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.31%
Silvercrest Asset Management Group LLC 3.66%
State Street Corp 3.19%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
OBK generates approximately $582 of gross profit, $165 of operating income, and $252 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 21.38%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
OBK has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.65B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 16.82
1Y Target Price 58.8
Price to earnings Ratio 16.82
1Y Target Price 58.8
Volume (30-day avg) 163.7K shares
Beta 0.71
52 Weeks Range 31.56 - 55.32
Updated Date 09/27/2026
52 Weeks Range 31.56 - 55.32
Updated Date 09/27/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.31%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.19

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Net Interest IncomeInterest earned on loans and securities minus interest paid on deposits and borrowings.The bank makes the majority of its profit from the spread between what it earns on loans and what it pays customers for deposits.
Non-Interest IncomeService charges, fees from treasury management, and wealth management advisory fees.This provides a steady stream of income that is less dependent on interest rate fluctuations.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 16.82
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 1.26B
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.39
Enterprise Value 1.26B
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.39
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.22
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 30.85M
Shares Floating 28.83M
Shares Outstanding 30.85M
Shares Floating 28.83M
Percent Insiders 4.12
Percent Institutions 70.2

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Origin Bancorp, Inc.

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Ruston, LA, United States
IPO Launch date 2018-05-08
Chairman, President & CEO Mr. Drake D. Mills
Sector Financial Services
Industry Banks - Regional
Full time employees 988
Full time employees 988

Origin Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Origin Bank that provides banking and financial services to small and medium-sized businesses, municipalities, and retail clients in Texas, Louisiana, Alabama, and Mississippi. It provides noninterest and interest-bearing checking accounts, savings deposits, money market accounts, and time deposits; and offers commercial real estate, construction and land development, consumer, residential real estate, commercial and industrial, mortgage warehouse, and residential mortgage loans. The company offers personal and commercial property, and casualty insurance products; and internet banking and voice response information, mobile applications, cash management, business credit cards, overdraft protection, direct deposit, safe deposit boxes, automatic account transfers, peer-to-peer electronic pay solutions, and personal financial management solutions; and mobile and online banking, treasury management, mortgage origination and servicing facilities, commercial and consumer loans, and insurance services. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Ruston, Louisiana.