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Oatly Group AB ADR (OTLY)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/03/2025: OTLY (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $20.87
1 Year Target Price $20.87
3 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -63.71% | Avg. Invested days 20 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 378.59M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20.87 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20.87 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8 | Beta 1.89 | 52 Weeks Range 6.00 - 23.40 | Updated Date 07/4/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 6.00 - 23.40 | Updated Date 07/4/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -5.8 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -20.51% | Operating Margin (TTM) -9.84% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -7.34% | Return on Equity (TTM) -85.5% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 780090098 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.46 |
Enterprise Value 780090098 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.46 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.95 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.65 | Shares Outstanding 29928000 | Shares Floating 225339823 |
Shares Outstanding 29928000 | Shares Floating 225339823 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.31 | Percent Institutions 55.75 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Oatly Group AB ADR
Company Overview
History and Background
Oatly Group AB was founded in Sweden in the 1990s based on research from Lund University. It initially focused on producing lactose-free and plant-based milk alternatives. The company gained popularity for its oat milk and expanded globally in the 2010s.
Core Business Areas
- Oat-Based Beverages: Production and sale of various oat milk products, including different flavors and formulations.
- Oat-Based Food Products: Development and sale of oat-based yogurts, ice cream, and other food items.
- Ready-to-Eat and Prepared Foods: Manufacturing and sale of pre-made meals and snack items focused on the oat platform.
Leadership and Structure
Toni Petersson is the Chief Executive Officer. The company has a board of directors and operates globally with regional management teams.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Oat Milk (Original, Barista Edition, Chocolate): Oatly's primary product, with a significant market share in the oat milk category. Competitors include Califia Farms, Silk (Danone), and Planet Oat (HPYYY). Market share data fluctuates but Oatly is a leading brand within Oat Milk Segment.
- Oatgurt (Oat-Based Yogurt): A dairy-free yogurt alternative. Competitors include Kite Hill, So Delicious, and Silk (Danone).
- Oat-Based Ice Cream: Dairy-free ice cream made from oats. Competitors include So Delicious, NadaMoo!, and Ben & Jerry's Non-Dairy.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The plant-based milk and alternative dairy market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing consumer awareness of health and environmental concerns. The industry is competitive, with numerous players offering a variety of plant-based products.
Positioning
Oatly positions itself as a sustainable and innovative oat-based food company. Its competitive advantages include its brand recognition, oat-based technology, and established distribution network.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global plant-based milk market is projected to reach hundreds of billions of dollars in the coming years. Oatly is positioned to capture a substantial portion of this TAM by increasing its sales and expanding geographically
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong Brand Recognition
- Established Distribution Network
- Innovative Oat-Based Technology
- Sustainability Focus
- Strong Marketing
Weaknesses
- Relatively High Price Point
- Dependence on Oat Supply
- Past Controversies Regarding Production Practices
- Profitability Concerns
Opportunities
- Expanding into New Markets
- Developing New Oat-Based Products
- Increasing Distribution Channels
- Partnerships with Food Service Providers
- Growing Demand for Sustainable Products
Threats
- Increased Competition
- Fluctuations in Oat Prices
- Changes in Consumer Preferences
- Regulatory Changes
- Supply Chain Disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- HPYYY
- BYND
- DARL
- ELF
Competitive Landscape
Oatly's advantages include its brand recognition and oat-based technology. However, it faces increasing competition from established food companies and other plant-based brands. Other companies have broader product lines, different customer bases, and larger marketing budgets.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Oatly experienced rapid growth in its early years, fueled by the increasing popularity of oat milk. However, growth has slowed recently.
Future Projections: Analysts expect Oatly to continue growing revenue, but profitability is uncertain. Continued expansion, cost control and revenue gains are necessary.
Recent Initiatives: Oatly has focused on expanding its production capacity, introducing new products, and increasing its marketing efforts. Initiatives involve optimization of supply chain, direct-to-consumer engagement and innovative food-service partnerships.
Summary
Oatly exhibits a strong brand, but profitability concerns remain. Despite revenue growth, the company struggles with high operating expenses. While Oatly has good opportunities for expansion into new markets and new products, it faces increased competition and fluctuations in oat prices. Long-term success depends on sustainable growth and improving profitability.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Verify all information before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Oatly Group AB ADR
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-05-20 | CEO - | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Packaged Foods | Full time employees 1468 | Website https://www.oatly.com |
Full time employees 1468 | Website https://www.oatly.com |
Oatly Group AB, an oatmilk company, provides a range of plant-based dairy products made from oats in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, the United States, Canada, Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. Its oatmilk portfolio includes original, low-fat, full-fat, chocolate flavored, unsweetened, and Super Basic, which are offered in ambient and chilled packaging. The company offers Barista edition oatmilk; Oatgurts, which are oat-based yogurts; frozen desserts; cooking products, including regular and organic cooking cream, crème fraiche, whipping cream, vanilla custard, and spreads in a variety of flavors; and ready-to-go drinks. It sells its products through retail and e-commerce channels. The company was formerly known as Havre Global AB and changed its name to Oatly Group AB in March 2021. Oatly Group AB was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.
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