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Upturn AI Summary - About
Oxford Square Capital Corp(OXSQ)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for OXSQ
11/13/2026: OXSQ (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Oxford Square Capital Corp is a Business Development Company (BDC) primarily focused on generating income through investments in CLO equity and corporate debt. The company benefits from a specialized focus on structured credit, allowing it to offer higher yields that appeal to dividend-focused investors. Its primary investment story centers on capturing these high returns from the CLO market. However, the firm faces significant risks, including high NAV volatility, sensitivity to corporate defaults, and the inherent complexity of its assets. It is best suited for income-oriented investors comfortable with market volatility, and developments in credit quality and interest rates are key indicators to monitor.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company is structured for income generation rather than long-term capital appreciation. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Highly dependent on market cycles and requires a positive macro outlook for the credit market. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The company often trades at a discount to NAV, which may appeal to value investors, but carries inherent complexity risks. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The high yield and monthly payment structure are specifically designed to attract income-focused investors. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The volatility of CLO equity tranches and BDC structure introduces substantial risk not suitable for conservative portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The share price is sensitive to market-wide credit sentiment and changes in interest rate expectations. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Determining the fair value of complex CLO assets involves significant estimation and sensitivity to default assumptions. |
| Competition risk (Credit market competition) | High | The company faces intense competition from larger, lower-cost BDC providers for quality loan assets. |
| Business quality | Medium | External management structures can lead to potential conflicts of interest regarding fee maximization versus shareholder returns. |
| Dividend income | Medium / high | The sustainability of dividends depends on the consistent performance of the CLO portfolio, which can be erratic. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successful performance relies on the manager's ability to pick and trade CLO tranches effectively in a complex market. |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 92.16M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.15 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.15 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.8M shares | Beta 0.36 | 52 Weeks Range 0.76 - 1.71 | Updated Date 11/14/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 0.76 - 1.71 | Updated Date 11/14/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 52.70% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.37 |
Sector & Industry Intelligence
Sector
Financial Services
Constructive- Sentiment
- Bullish
- Momentum
- BUY Breadth Improving
- BUY participation
- 50.4%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 61 / 121
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- +45
- Market state
- Bullish
More qualifying stocks are receiving or maintaining BUY advisories, indicating improving market participation.
Industry
Asset Management
- BUY participation
- 52.9%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 9 / 17
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- +3
Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -45.3% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/13/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| CLO Equity & Debt | Investment income and capital gains from CLO tranches. | The company earns money by collecting interest from pools of loans. |
| Corporate Debt | Interest payments from direct corporate loans. | Returns come from lending money to companies and collecting interest. |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-30 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.05 | Actual 0.04 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -85.01% | Operating Margin (TTM) 80.6% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.26% | Return on Equity (TTM) -21.6% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 5.62 | Enterprise Value 201.00M | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.38 |
Enterprise Value 201.00M | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.38 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 83.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 121.27M | Shares Floating 46.44M |
Shares Outstanding 121.27M | Shares Floating 46.44M | ||
Percent Insiders 6.06 | Percent Institutions 2.96 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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