Ranpak Holdings Corp logo

Ranpak Holdings Corp(PACK)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$3.53
11/10/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for PACK

11/10/2026: PACK (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Ranpak Holdings Corp is a focused player in the sustainable, paper-based protective packaging market. The company operates a compelling recurring-revenue model, selling proprietary paper consumables alongside its automated packaging equipment. Its main investment appeal lies in the secular shift toward plastic alternatives within global e-commerce supply chains. However, investors must weigh this against risks like fluctuating paper pulp costs, high financial leverage, and intense competition from cheaper, established plastic packaging providers. The stock generally suits growth investors comfortable with sector-specific volatility and long-term ESG trends, though it currently provides no dividend income. Key developments to monitor include automation deployment speed and raw material price stability.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitRanpak is well-positioned for secular growth driven by the transition from plastic to sustainable paper packaging.
Momentum investorMixed fitThe stock requires a positive upturn signal to confirm interest in its current growth-driven valuation.
Value investorWeak fitThe company's focus on reinvesting cash for growth often leads to higher valuation multiples rather than value-oriented metrics.
Dividend investorWeak fitRanpak does not pay dividends and prioritizes capital reinvestment over income distributions.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe company's exposure to commodity prices and e-commerce volatility introduces significant market risk.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is susceptible to fluctuations based on sentiment regarding the e-commerce sector.
Valuation riskMedium / highAs a growth stock, valuation is sensitive to changes in long-term interest rates and earnings delivery.
Competition risk (packaging materials)MediumIntense competition from established plastic and paper packaging giants impacts pricing power.
Business qualityMediumWhile the razor-razorblade model is strong, capital-intensive equipment installation impacts operating flexibility.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no dividend income to offset periods of stock price weakness.
Execution riskMediumSuccessful scaling of automated packaging technology is critical to long-term profitability.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Highly Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Highly Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 67.3%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/10/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
PACK receives a 2-star rating, reflecting soft or weak scores across the available pillars. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
PACK has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-78.1%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -1.8%), moderate revenue growth (+7.1%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
PACK's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate efficiency, including operating-expense and cost-of-revenue discipline (opex 30.1% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is PACK's strongest growth driver at +7.1% FY2025 versus FY2024 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-78.1%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-186.7%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 91.2% and approximately 55.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 8.87% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

JS Capital Management LLC 35.59%
SOROS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 5.40%
BlackRock Inc 4.17%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 3.94%
SCHUSTERMAN INTERESTS, LLC 3.52%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
PACK generates approximately $240 of gross profit, $-62 of operating income, and $-18 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 19.37%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
PACK has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 306.26M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.17
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.17
Volume (30-day avg) 762.3K shares
Beta 3.15
52 Weeks Range 2.96 - 7.81
Updated Date 11/09/2026
52 Weeks Range 2.96 - 7.81
Updated Date 11/09/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.4

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
ConsumablesSales of proprietary, recyclable paper used in packaging machines.This is the 'razor' part of the business, generating recurring revenue.
EquipmentPlacement and maintenance of packaging machines at customer sites.This drives adoption and locks in future demand for paper consumables.
GeographyOperations in North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific.The company relies on global e-commerce activity, primarily in developed markets.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 692.90M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.73
Enterprise Value 692.90M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.73
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.65
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.16
Shares Outstanding 85.79M
Shares Floating 47.38M
Shares Outstanding 85.79M
Shares Floating 47.38M
Percent Insiders 8.87
Percent Institutions 91.21

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.