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Upturn AI Summary - About
International Paper(IP)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for IP
10/20/2026: IP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
International Paper is a mature, global leader in fiber-based packaging and pulp products, serving the e-commerce and industrial sectors. Its core strength lies in its extensive manufacturing scale and vertical integration, which helps navigate commodity price volatility. The company's primary investment story centers on its strategic pivot toward high-demand packaging solutions and operational efficiency. However, investors must weigh these factors against significant risks, including cyclical demand shifts, high capital requirements, and integration challenges from large-scale acquisitions. The stock generally suits value and dividend-focused investors seeking exposure to the materials sector while monitoring developments in industrial demand and acquisition synergy realization.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company is a mature, cyclical player rather than a high-growth technology firm. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Momentum investors may find opportunities during cycles of rising demand and pricing power. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at valuations reflective of its steady cash flow and asset base. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company is historically committed to returning capital via regular dividends. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While established, the stock is subject to cyclical industry volatility and commodity price risks. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | Cyclical commodity pricing directly impacts revenue and margin predictability. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The stock's valuation is tied to industrial cycle expectations. |
| Competition risk (packaging industry) | High | Aggressive pricing from peers like WestRock can compress margins. |
| Business quality | Medium | High capital intensity limits the agility of the business model. |
| Dividend income | Strong | Consistent payouts make it attractive to income-focused portfolios. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Large scale acquisitions require successful integration to realize synergies. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -31.4% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/20/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 17.87B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 45.09 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 45.09 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5.5M shares | Beta 0.89 | 52 Weeks Range 28.51 - 48.47 | Updated Date 10/19/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 28.51 - 48.47 | Updated Date 10/19/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.43% | Basic EPS (TTM) -5.17 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Packaging | Containerboard and boxes for e-commerce and industrial shipping. | This is the primary revenue driver, tied to the overall health of consumer spending and shipping. |
| Global Cellulose Fibers | Fluff pulp for absorbent consumer products. | This segment provides steady demand based on everyday consumer hygiene needs. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-28 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.3 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -14.21% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.3% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.59% | Return on Equity (TTM) -16.48% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 11.74 | Enterprise Value 27.87B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.74 |
Enterprise Value 27.87B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.74 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.15 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 339.85 | Shares Outstanding 529.57M | Shares Floating 527.12M |
Shares Outstanding 529.57M | Shares Floating 527.12M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.24 | Percent Institutions 102.53 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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