Paymentus Holdings, Inc.(PAY)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
2-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$31.44
10/19/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for PAY

10/19/2026: PAY (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Paymentus Holdings, Inc. is a cloud-based fintech company specializing in integrated billing and payment solutions for large organizations, particularly in the utility sector. The company has a leading position in providing modern, scalable technology that displaces legacy, on-premise payment systems. Its primary growth story revolves around the continued adoption of its Instant Payment Network and expansion into broader enterprise markets. Key risks include intense competition from well-capitalized legacy payment giants and the operational challenges of scaling in a sensitive financial environment. Paymentus is likely best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate volatility, as the company is currently prioritizing reinvestment for market share over dividend-based income.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company's focus on scaling a cloud-native SaaS model in the payments space aligns with growth-oriented strategies.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveStrong revenue growth and market share capture can attract momentum interest when the stock maintains a positive trend.
Value investorWeak fitThe company's focus on high-growth reinvestment and premium valuation multiples generally does not align with traditional value investing.
Dividend investorWeak fitPaymentus prioritizes growth over dividend payments and has no history of income distribution.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe volatility associated with growth-stage tech stocks typically exceeds the risk appetite of low-risk investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighHigh growth expectations often lead to significant price swings based on quarterly results.
Valuation riskMedium / highAs a growth stock, current multiples may be sensitive to changes in interest rates or growth projections.
Competition risk (Fiserv/Legacy Players)HighWell-capitalized legacy competitors have deep relationships and resources to defend their market share.
Business qualityMediumWhile the cloud-native platform is modern, the business is still scaling and establishing long-term market dominance.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect income; capital appreciation is the primary return objective.
Execution riskMediumSuccess depends on continuously onboarding large billers and successfully scaling the IPN.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 43.25%
Avg. Invested days 32
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/19/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
PAY receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
PAY has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, strong growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+51.5%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 13.5%) are partially offset by soft profitability (net margin 5.6%), modest insider ownership of 2.90%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
PAY's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 51.3%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is PAY's strongest growth driver at +156.1% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+37.3%, strong) and earnings growth (+51.5%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 101.9% and approximately 96.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 2.90% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3 5.61%
Wasatch Advisors LP 4.91%
BlackRock Inc 3.69%
Capital World Investors 3.40%
Brown Brothers Harriman & Co 2.24%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
PAY generates approximately $248 of gross profit, $63 of operating income, and $135 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Soft margins and solid cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is strong.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 21.50%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
PAY has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.97B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 47.79
1Y Target Price 40.14
Price to earnings Ratio 47.79
1Y Target Price 40.14
Volume (30-day avg) 1.0M shares
Beta 1.34
52 Weeks Range 20.11 - 45.31
Updated Date 10/18/2026
52 Weeks Range 20.11 - 45.31
Updated Date 10/18/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.66

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Platform FeesRevenue generated from transaction processing and SaaS subscription fees.The company earns money whenever someone uses its platform to pay a bill.
GeographyOperations primarily focused in the North American market.The vast majority of the company's revenue comes from North American utilities and large enterprises.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 47.79
Forward PE 28.25
Enterprise Value 3.40B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.92
Enterprise Value 3.40B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.92
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.5
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 23.92
Shares Outstanding 63.11M
Shares Floating 60.94M
Shares Outstanding 63.11M
Shares Floating 60.94M
Percent Insiders 2.9
Percent Institutions 101.9

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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