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PAYX 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
Paychex Inc (PAYX) company logo

Paychex Inc (PAYX)

Paychex Inc (PAYX) 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$112.45
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/08/2025: PAYX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 1 star rating for performance

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

3 star rating from financial analysts

18 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $130.64

1 Year Target Price $130.64

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$130.64 Target price
52w Low $108
Current$112.45
52w High $158.49

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -4.3%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 12/08/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 40.47B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 25.21
1Y Target Price 130.64
Price to earnings Ratio 25.21
1Y Target Price 130.64
Volume (30-day avg) 18
Beta 0.9
52 Weeks Range 108.00 - 158.49
Updated Date 12/8/2025
52 Weeks Range 108.00 - 158.49
Updated Date 12/8/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.68%
Basic EPS (TTM) 4.46

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 27.86%
Operating Margin (TTM) 36.73%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 10.81%
Return on Equity (TTM) 41.27%

Valuation

Trailing PE 25.21
Forward PE 22.78
Enterprise Value 43820796380
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.99
Enterprise Value 43820796380
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.99
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.06
Shares Outstanding 359894143
Shares Floating 322238419
Shares Outstanding 359894143
Shares Floating 322238419
Percent Insiders 10.41
Percent Institutions 81

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Paychex Inc

Paychex Inc(PAYX) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Paychex Inc. was founded in 1977 by Tom Golisano in Rochester, New York. It began as a payroll processing service for small businesses and has since evolved into a comprehensive human capital management solutions provider. Key milestones include its IPO in 1983, continuous expansion of services beyond payroll to include HR, benefits, and insurance administration, and significant technological investments to enhance its offerings and customer experience.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Payroll and HR Services: Provides comprehensive payroll processing, tax administration, and HR outsourcing solutions for small to medium-sized businesses. This includes managing employee compensation, tax filings, and compliance with labor laws.
  • HR Technology and Services: Offers a suite of HR software and services, including HR management, time and attendance tracking, benefits administration, onboarding, and performance management, aimed at streamlining HR operations.
  • Retirement and Benefits Solutions: Delivers retirement plan administration (e.g., 401(k)) and health and benefits administration services, helping businesses manage employee benefits packages effectively.
  • Insurance Services: Provides various business insurance products, including workers' compensation, professional liability, and PEO (Professional Employer Organization) services, which bundle HR, payroll, and benefits for a comprehensive solution.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Paychex Inc. is led by its executive management team, with a Board of Directors overseeing its strategic direction. Key leadership roles include the Chief Executive Officer (CEO), Chief Financial Officer (CFO), and heads of various business units and functional areas. The company is structured to serve its diverse client base through sales, service, and operational teams.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Payroll Processing: Core service offering that automates payroll calculation, direct deposit, tax withholding, and filing for businesses of all sizes. Competitors include ADP, Gusto, and QuickBooks Payroll. Market share data is proprietary, but Paychex is a significant player in the SMB payroll market.
  • HR Outsourcing (PEO): Integrated solution combining payroll, HR, benefits, and compliance services under one umbrella, significantly reducing administrative burden for businesses. Competitors include ADP TotalSource, Insperity, and Trinet. Market share is fragmented but Paychex is a leading PEO provider.
  • Human Capital Management (HCM) Software: Cloud-based platform offering a unified solution for payroll, HR, benefits administration, time and attendance, and more. Competitors include ADP, Workday, SAP SuccessFactors, and Gusto. Paychex's strength lies in its SMB focus and integrated suite.
  • Retirement Services (401(k) Administration): Provides administration and recordkeeping services for employer-sponsored retirement plans. Competitors include Fidelity, Schwab, and Empower. Paychex is a strong provider for small to mid-sized business retirement plans.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The human capital management (HCM) industry is characterized by increasing demand for integrated, cloud-based solutions that streamline HR processes, enhance employee experience, and ensure compliance. The shift towards remote and hybrid work models has further accelerated the need for flexible and scalable HR technology. The industry is competitive, with a mix of large enterprise players and specialized SMB-focused providers.

Positioning

Paychex Inc. is strongly positioned as a leading provider of HR, payroll, and benefits solutions for small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs). Its competitive advantages include its established brand reputation, deep understanding of SMB needs, extensive client service network, and a comprehensive suite of integrated products. The company's focus on simplifying complex HR tasks for its target market is a key differentiator.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for HCM solutions, encompassing payroll, HR, benefits administration, and related services, is substantial and growing. Estimates vary, but the global HCM market is projected to reach hundreds of billions of dollars in the coming years. Paychex is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the SMB segment within this TAM, which represents a large and underserved market.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition and reputation in the SMB market.
  • Comprehensive suite of integrated HR, payroll, and benefits solutions.
  • Extensive and dedicated client service and support infrastructure.
  • Large and loyal customer base.
  • Significant experience and expertise in regulatory compliance.
  • Robust technology platform with continuous innovation.

Weaknesses

  • Perception of being less cutting-edge than some newer tech-focused competitors for very large enterprises.
  • Potential for service dilution in extremely rapid growth scenarios.
  • Reliance on a dedicated client service model can be costly.

Opportunities

  • Expansion into adjacent services and international markets.
  • Leveraging AI and machine learning to enhance service offerings and analytics.
  • Further penetration into the mid-market and enterprise segments with tailored solutions.
  • Partnerships with other technology providers to broaden ecosystem.
  • Increased demand for compliance and HR consulting services.

Threats

  • Intense competition from established players and agile startups.
  • Rapid technological advancements requiring continuous investment.
  • Changes in regulatory environments impacting payroll and HR requirements.
  • Economic downturns affecting small business spending on outsourced services.
  • Cybersecurity threats and data breaches.

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • ADP (Automatic Data Processing, Inc.) (ADP)
  • Gusto (GUSTO)
  • Intuit Inc. (INTU)

Competitive Landscape

Paychex's advantages lie in its deep focus on the SMB market, its strong customer service, and its comprehensive, integrated platform. ADP is a larger competitor with a broader market reach, including enterprise clients, and often competes head-to-head in the mid-market. Gusto is a more digitally native and agile competitor, particularly strong with very small businesses and startups. Intuit's QuickBooks Payroll is a dominant player for very small businesses already using its accounting software. Paychex's challenge is to continuously innovate to maintain its lead and fend off disruptive technologies and newer entrants.

Major Acquisitions

Sentric

  • Year: 2021
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions):
  • Strategic Rationale: Acquired to enhance Paychex's HR outsourcing capabilities, particularly in the area of compliance and employee engagement, further strengthening its PEO offering.

EPIC

  • Year: 2020
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions):
  • Strategic Rationale: Acquired to expand Paychex's health and benefits brokerage capabilities, allowing for more integrated insurance solutions for clients.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Paychex Inc. has a history of steady and predictable growth. Its expansion has been driven by organic client acquisition, the introduction of new services, and strategic acquisitions. The company has successfully adapted to evolving market demands, particularly the increasing need for digital HR solutions.

Future Projections: Analysts generally project continued growth for Paychex Inc., driven by the ongoing demand for outsourced HR and payroll services, particularly among SMBs. Growth is expected to come from increased adoption of its integrated HCM platform, expansion of its retirement and benefits offerings, and potential international expansion. [Specific analyst growth rate projections vary and are subject to market conditions.]

Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives for Paychex Inc. include ongoing investments in its technology platform to enhance user experience and introduce AI-driven insights, expansion of its retirement services capabilities, and efforts to strengthen its go-to-market strategy for its comprehensive HCM solutions. The company has also focused on enhancing its PEO offerings and cybersecurity measures.

Summary

Paychex Inc. is a financially strong and well-established leader in the HR and payroll services industry, particularly for small and medium-sized businesses. Its comprehensive suite of integrated solutions, strong customer service, and consistent financial performance are key strengths. The company benefits from a growing TAM and recent strategic initiatives are positioning it for continued growth. However, it faces intense competition and the need for continuous technological innovation to maintain its market leadership.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Paychex Inc. Investor Relations
  • SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Industry Research Reports
  • Financial News and Analysis Websites

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information as of the last update. Financial data, market share estimates, and projections are subject to change and should be independently verified. This is not financial advice, and investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Information icon warning about potential inaccuracies or hallucinations in Upturn AI-generated summaries AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Paychex Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Rochester, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 1990-03-26
President, CEO & Director Mr. John B. Gibson Jr.
Sector Technology
Industry Software - Application
Full time employees 19000
Full time employees 19000

Paychex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides human capital management solutions (HCM) for payroll, employee benefits, human resources (HR), and insurance services for small to medium-sized businesses in the United States, Europe, and India. It offers payroll processing services; payroll tax administration services; employee payment services; and regulatory compliance services. The company provides retirement solutions, such as plan implementation, ongoing compliance with government regulations, employee and employer reporting, participant and employer online access, electronic funds transfer, and other administrative services; HCM solutions from recruiting and hiring to retirement; and talent management and talent acquisition services. In addition, it offers payroll solutions, including calculation, preparation, and delivery of employee payroll checks; production of internal accounting records and management reports; preparation of federal, state, and local payroll tax returns; and collection and remittance of clients' payroll obligations. Further, the company provides workforce management solutions; benefits administration solutions; digital marketplace for earned wages, financial wellness solutions, and voluntary lifestyle benefits; HR support to non-payroll clients through HR Partner Plus solution; and insurance services for property and casualty coverage, such as workers' compensation, business-owner policies, cyber security protection, and commercial auto, as well as health and benefits coverage, including health, dental, vision, and life. Additionally, it offers payroll, employer compliance, HR and employee benefits administration, risk management outsourcing, and both virtual and on-site availability of a professionally trained HR representative, and other solutions to businesses. It markets and sells its services primarily through its direct sales force. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.