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Paychex Inc (PAYX)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/08/2026: PAYX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $122.14
1 Year Target Price $122.14
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 13 | Hold |
| 3 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -4.3% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 41.01B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 25.85 | 1Y Target Price 122.14 |
Price to earnings Ratio 25.85 | 1Y Target Price 122.14 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 18 | Beta 0.9 | 52 Weeks Range 107.80 - 158.49 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 107.80 - 158.49 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.78% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.42 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-12-19 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.13 | Actual 1.1 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 26.45% | Operating Margin (TTM) 41.67% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 11.64% | Return on Equity (TTM) 40.88% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 25.85 | Forward PE 20.41 | Enterprise Value 43585236443 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.8 |
Enterprise Value 43585236443 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.8 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.22 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.37 | Shares Outstanding 358967450 | Shares Floating 321401506 |
Shares Outstanding 358967450 | Shares Floating 321401506 | ||
Percent Insiders 10.43 | Percent Institutions 81.4 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Paychex Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Paychex Inc. was founded in 1971 by Tom Golisano. It began as a payroll service for small businesses and has since grown into a leading provider of integrated human capital management (HCM) solutions. Key milestones include its IPO in 1983, significant acquisitions that expanded its service offerings, and continuous innovation in technology to serve a growing client base.
Core Business Areas
- Payroll Services: Comprehensive payroll processing, tax filing, and direct deposit services for businesses of all sizes. This includes compliance with federal, state, and local tax regulations.
- HR Outsourcing: Services such as HR administration, compliance support, employee onboarding, HR consulting, and handbook development.
- Benefits Administration: Management of employee benefits including retirement plans (401k), health insurance, COBRA administration, and other voluntary benefits.
- Time and Attendance: Solutions for tracking employee work hours, managing schedules, and integrating with payroll for accurate wage calculation.
- Insurance Services: Offering various insurance products, including workers' compensation and business insurance, often integrated with payroll and HR services.
Leadership and Structure
Paychex operates with a corporate structure led by a Board of Directors and a senior executive team. Key leadership roles include the Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and heads of various operational and strategic divisions. The company is organized around its service lines and customer segments.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Description: An all-in-one human capital management platform that integrates payroll, HR, benefits, and timekeeping. It offers scalable solutions for small to large businesses. Competitors include ADP, Gusto, Rippling, and QuickBooks Payroll.
- Market Share Data: While specific market share for Paychex Flex is not publicly disclosed, Paychex as a whole holds a significant share in the payroll and HR outsourcing market for small and medium-sized businesses.
- Number of Users/Clients: Serves over 738,000 payroll clients as of fiscal year 2023.
- Product Name 1: Paychex Flex
- Description: Provides administration and recordkeeping services for employer-sponsored retirement plans. This includes plan design, employee education, and compliance support. Competitors include Fidelity, Vanguard, and Principal.
- Market Share Data: A leading provider in the 401(k) administration space for small to mid-sized businesses.
- Number of Users/Clients: Administers retirement plans for a substantial number of businesses, contributing to its overall client base.
- Product Name 2: Retirement Services (401k)
- Description: Offers management of workers' compensation insurance, including policy administration, claims management, and risk mitigation strategies, often integrated with payroll. Competitors include The Hartford, Travelers, and various specialized insurance brokers.
- Market Share Data: A significant player in offering integrated workers' compensation solutions to its payroll and HR clients.
- Product Name 3: Workers' Compensation Services
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The human capital management (HCM) and payroll outsourcing industry is characterized by steady growth, driven by the increasing complexity of labor laws, the need for efficient HR operations, and the desire for businesses, especially small and medium-sized ones, to focus on core competencies. Cloud-based solutions and integrated platforms are becoming the standard.
Positioning
Paychex is a well-established leader in the HCM and payroll services market, particularly for small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs). Its competitive advantages include a strong brand reputation, extensive client support, a comprehensive suite of integrated services, and robust technology platforms. The company benefits from high customer retention rates.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for payroll, HR, and benefits administration services is estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars globally and continues to grow. Paychex is strongly positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM, especially within the SMB segment in the United States, due to its established infrastructure and broad service offering.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and reputation in the SMB market.
- Comprehensive suite of integrated HR, payroll, and benefits solutions.
- High customer retention rates and recurring revenue model.
- Extensive client support network and dedicated service representatives.
- Robust and scalable technology platform (Paychex Flex).
Weaknesses
- Perceived as less innovative or flexible by some larger enterprises compared to newer, agile competitors.
- Customer service quality can vary, leading to occasional client dissatisfaction.
- Reliance on the US market, limiting international growth opportunities.
- Potential for commoditization of basic payroll services.
Opportunities
- Expansion into adjacent HR technology and services (e.g., talent management, HR analytics).
- Leveraging AI and machine learning to enhance service offerings and client insights.
- Further penetration into the mid-market and enterprise segments.
- Strategic acquisitions to broaden service capabilities or market reach.
- Growth in emerging workforce trends like gig economy and remote work support.
Threats
- Intense competition from established players and nimble fintech startups.
- Increasingly complex regulatory and compliance environment.
- Cybersecurity threats and data breaches.
- Economic downturns affecting SMB spending on outsourced services.
- Disruption from new technologies or business models.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ADP (Automatic Data Processing, Inc.)
- Gusto
- Insperity, Inc.
- Paycom Software, Inc.
- TriNet Group, Inc.
- Intuit Inc. (QuickBooks Payroll)
Competitive Landscape
Paychex competes in a highly competitive HCM market. Its primary advantage lies in its strong presence and service tailored for SMBs, backed by a robust customer support infrastructure. While ADP is a larger overall player, Paychex often differentiates itself with its personalized service. Newer entrants like Gusto and Rippling offer more modern, API-first platforms, particularly appealing to tech-forward startups, but may lack the breadth of services and enterprise-level support Paychex provides.
Major Acquisitions
SurePayroll
- Year: 2011
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Acquired to strengthen Paychex's offering for very small businesses and online payroll services.
QuadPoints
- Year: 2015
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Acquired to enhance Paychex's payroll and HR services for small businesses, particularly in the medical practice sector.
Twin Peaks
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Acquired to bolster Paychex's capabilities in retirement plan services, particularly for advisors.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Paychex has demonstrated consistent historical growth, driven by its expanding client base, increasing adoption of its integrated HCM solutions, and strategic acquisitions. Revenue and net income have shown steady upward trends over the past decade, supported by strong client retention and an expanding service portfolio.
Future Projections: Analysts generally project continued mid-to-high single-digit revenue and earnings growth for Paychex, driven by market expansion, product innovation, and potential acquisitions. The increasing complexity of HR and payroll regulations globally continues to be a tailwind.
Recent Initiatives: Ongoing enhancements and feature rollouts for its Paychex Flex platform.,Investments in AI and data analytics to provide more actionable insights to clients.,Focus on expanding its PEO services and other value-added HR solutions.,Development of specialized solutions for emerging industries and workforce types.
Summary
Paychex Inc. is a financially robust company with a dominant position in the US SMB payroll and HR outsourcing market. Its integrated Paychex Flex platform, strong client retention, and consistent dividend growth are key strengths. However, it faces stiff competition from both established giants and agile startups. Continued innovation in technology, strategic acquisitions, and effective adaptation to evolving workforce needs will be crucial for sustaining its growth trajectory.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Paychex Inc. Investor Relations Reports (10-K, 10-Q)
- Company Website (Paychex.com)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg)
- Market Research Reports (general industry data)
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Financial data, market share figures, and projections are based on publicly available information and are subject to change. Actual performance may differ. Investors should conduct their own due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Paychex Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Rochester, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1990-03-26 | President, CEO & Director Mr. John B. Gibson Jr. | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 19000 | Website https://www.paychex.com |
Full time employees 19000 | Website https://www.paychex.com | ||
Paychex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides human capital management solutions (HCM) for payroll, employee benefits, human resources (HR), and insurance services for small to medium-sized businesses in the United States, Europe, and India. It offers payroll processing services; payroll tax administration services; employee payment services; and regulatory compliance services. The company provides retirement solutions, such as plan implementation, ongoing compliance with government regulations, employee and employer reporting, participant and employer online access, electronic funds transfer, and other administrative services; HCM solutions from recruiting and hiring to retirement; and talent management and talent acquisition services. In addition, it offers payroll solutions, including calculation, preparation, and delivery of employee payroll checks; production of internal accounting records and management reports; preparation of federal, state, and local payroll tax returns; and collection and remittance of clients' payroll obligations. Further, the company provides workforce management solutions; benefits administration solutions; digital marketplace for earned wages, financial wellness solutions, and voluntary lifestyle benefits; HR support to non-payroll clients through HR Partner Plus solution; and insurance services for property and casualty coverage, such as workers' compensation, business-owner policies, cyber security protection, and commercial auto, as well as health and benefits coverage, including health, dental, vision, and life. Additionally, it offers payroll, employer compliance, HR and employee benefits administration, risk management outsourcing, and both virtual and on-site availability of a professionally trained HR representative, and other solutions to businesses. It markets and sells its services primarily through its direct sales force. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.

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