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Potbelly Co (PBPB)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$12.31
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY20.92%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 31 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/27/2025: PBPB (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

4 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $17

1 Year Target Price $17

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$17Target price
Low$6.28
Current$12.31
high$13.48

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -0.98%
Avg. Invested days 29
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 369.61M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 8.75
1Y Target Price 17
Price to earnings Ratio 8.75
1Y Target Price 17
Volume (30-day avg) 4
Beta 1.69
52 Weeks Range 6.28 - 13.48
Updated Date 06/30/2025
52 Weeks Range 6.28 - 13.48
Updated Date 06/30/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.4

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 9.25%
Operating Margin (TTM) 0.24%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.96%
Return on Equity (TTM) 122.46%

Valuation

Trailing PE 8.75
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 507993682
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.79
Enterprise Value 507993682
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.79
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.09
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.73
Shares Outstanding 30172200
Shares Floating 21245165
Shares Outstanding 30172200
Shares Floating 21245165
Percent Insiders 16.26
Percent Institutions 79.02

Analyst Ratings

Rating 2
Target Price 17
Buy -
Strong Buy 3
Buy -
Strong Buy 3
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Potbelly Co

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Potbelly Corporation was founded in 1977 as an antique shop in Chicago, Illinois. It started selling sandwiches to customers and eventually transitioned to a sandwich shop. It expanded rapidly throughout the US. Potbelly went public in 2013.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Sandwich Shops: Potbelly's core business involves operating and franchising sandwich shops. These shops offer a variety of sandwiches, salads, soups, and desserts.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Robert Wright is the President and CEO. The company has a traditional corporate structure with a board of directors and various executive leadership roles.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Sandwiches: Potbelly's sandwiches are its primary product, featuring various meats, cheeses, and vegetables. They also offer 'Skinny' sandwiches which are smaller than the original. Market share data specifically for Potbelly's sandwich market share is difficult to source. The restaurant industry is extremely fragmented. Competitors include Subway, Jimmy John's, and Panera Bread.
  • Salads: Potbelly offers a range of salads, catering to health-conscious customers. Market share is included in the combined sales of Potbelly. Competitors in the salad market include Sweetgreen and Chopt.
  • Soups: Potbelly has a rotating selection of soups. Market share is included in the combined sales of Potbelly. Competitors in the soup market include Panera Bread and other casual dining restaurants.
  • Cookies: Potbelly offers freshly baked cookies that have a strong customer following. Market share is included in the combined sales of Potbelly. Competitors in the cookie market include Crumbl and Insomnia Cookies.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The restaurant industry is highly competitive and is influenced by changing consumer tastes, economic conditions, and food trends. Fast-casual restaurants have experienced significant growth in recent years.

Positioning

Potbelly positions itself as a fast-casual sandwich shop with a focus on quality ingredients and a unique, neighborhood-friendly atmosphere. It aims to differentiate itself through its distinctive menu and store design.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The US fast-casual market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Potbelly is positioned to capture a share of this TAM through expansion and menu innovation.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Unique menu items
  • Positive customer experience
  • Efficient operations

Weaknesses

  • High labor costs
  • Limited geographical presence compared to competitors
  • Franchise model limitations
  • Stock underperforming broader market

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new markets
  • Menu innovation and diversification
  • Increased online ordering and delivery
  • Partnerships with third-party delivery services

Threats

  • Intense competition
  • Rising food costs
  • Changes in consumer preferences
  • Economic downturns

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • SBUX
  • CMG
  • QSR
  • YUM

Competitive Landscape

Potbelly faces stiff competition from larger, more established players. Its smaller size and limited resources can be a disadvantage, but it can differentiate itself through its unique brand and customer experience.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Potbelly's growth has been inconsistent over the past years, with periods of rapid expansion followed by slower growth. Historical growth requires specific financial data and store count information.

Future Projections: Future projections require access to analyst reports and company guidance. Analyst estimates are not included.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include menu updates, digital marketing campaigns, and expansion into new markets.

Summary

Potbelly is a smaller fast-casual chain competing in a saturated market. Its strengths lie in its brand and menu, but it faces challenges related to size, costs, and competition. Expanding its digital presence and controlling expenses are crucial for future success. Current market share is small when compared to the competition.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings, Market research reports, News articles
  • ChatGPT AI Model

Disclaimers:

The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market share data is based on estimates and may vary. Real-time data was not accessible at the time of generation. Analyst estimates and projections are subject to change. Data is as current as my last training data in early 2023. Refer to latest earnings statements for accurate financial information.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Potbelly Co

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Chicago, IL, United States
IPO Launch date 2013-10-04
President, CEO & Director Mr. Robert D. Wright
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 5000
Full time employees 5000

Potbelly Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises Potbelly sandwich shops in the United States. The company was formerly known as Potbelly Sandwich Works, Inc. and changed its name to Potbelly Corporation in 2002. Potbelly Corporation was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.