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Potbelly Co (PBPB)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: PBPB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $18.17
1 Year Target Price $18.17
3 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
1 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -7.66% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 378.86M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 35.77 | 1Y Target Price 18.17 |
Price to earnings Ratio 35.77 | 1Y Target Price 18.17 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.55 | 52 Weeks Range 7.27 - 13.67 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 7.27 - 13.67 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.35 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-06 | When - | Estimate 0.0843 | Actual 0.09 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.3% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.38% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.79% | Return on Equity (TTM) 22.21% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 35.77 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 510345613 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.81 |
Enterprise Value 510345613 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.81 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.09 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.42 | Shares Outstanding 30260700 | Shares Floating 21332866 |
Shares Outstanding 30260700 | Shares Floating 21332866 | ||
Percent Insiders 16.14 | Percent Institutions 82 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Potbelly Co

Company Overview
History and Background
Potbelly Corporation was founded in 1977 as an antique store that also sold sandwiches in Chicago, Illinois. It evolved into a sandwich shop, and began franchising in the late 1990s. Potbelly went public in 2013.
Core Business Areas
- Sandwich Shops: Potbelly operates and franchises sandwich shops, focusing on toasted sandwiches, salads, soups, cookies, and shakes. Revenue is derived from food and beverage sales in these shops.
Leadership and Structure
Robert Wright is the President and Chief Executive Officer. The company operates with a standard corporate structure including executive leadership and various operational departments.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Sandwiches: Potbelly's primary product is toasted sandwiches. Market share data specific to sandwiches alone is difficult to isolate, but Potbelly competes with national chains like Subway (private), Panera Bread (PNRA), and Jimmy John's (private). Revenue contributions are substantial, though precise figures are not publicly broken down by sandwich type.
- Salads: Salads represent another key offering, targeting health-conscious consumers. Market share in the salad segment is competitive, with players like Sweetgreen (SG) and Chopt (private). Revenue generated is significant but not distinctly reported.
- Shakes and Cookies: Additional products, such as shakes and cookies, drive additional revenue and customer traffic. These items contribute to overall store sales but have a smaller individual market share compared to sandwiches or salads. Competitors include fast-food chains and dessert-focused establishments.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The fast-casual restaurant industry is highly competitive and dynamic, characterized by changing consumer preferences, health trends, and technological advancements. There's a significant shift towards online ordering and delivery services.
Positioning
Potbelly is positioned as a fast-casual sandwich shop offering higher-quality ingredients and a more unique atmosphere compared to traditional fast-food chains. Its competitive advantages include its distinctive sandwiches and focus on customer experience.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The fast-casual restaurant market in the US is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Potbelly is positioned to capture a small but significant share of this TAM, focusing on specific geographic regions and customer segments.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Unique and flavorful toasted sandwiches
- Loyal customer base
- Strong brand recognition in core markets
- Efficient operations
Weaknesses
- Smaller geographic footprint compared to major competitors
- Inconsistent financial performance
- Higher price point than some competitors
- Franchise Model can cause inconsistencies
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Increased online ordering and delivery capabilities
- Menu innovation to attract new customers
- Partnerships with third-party delivery services
Threats
- Intense competition from other fast-casual restaurants
- Fluctuations in food costs
- Changing consumer preferences and dietary trends
- Economic downturns affecting consumer spending
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- SUBWAY (Private)
- PANERA BREAD (PNRA)
- JIMMY JOHN'S (Private)
Competitive Landscape
Potbelly faces intense competition. It aims to differentiate itself through its unique sandwiches and customer experience, but must compete on price and convenience with larger chains.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Requires data from 2018 to 2023, which has not been provided
Future Projections: Future projection requires data from analyst estimates which is not included.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include focusing on digital ordering, expanding the loyalty program, and streamlining operations to improve profitability.
Summary
Potbelly is a fast-casual sandwich chain with a unique menu and loyal customer base. However, it faces challenges due to intense competition and inconsistent financial performance. The company is focusing on digital initiatives and operational improvements to drive growth and profitability. Expansion into new markets and menu innovation could present significant opportunities but must carefully manage its weaknesses.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings, industry reports, market research data (estimates)
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Market share data is approximate and based on available industry reports and estimates. Financial data is based on publicly available information and is subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Potbelly Co
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Chicago, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-10-04 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Robert D. Wright | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 5000 | Website https://www.potbelly.com |
Full time employees 5000 | Website https://www.potbelly.com |
Potbelly Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises Potbelly sandwich shops in the United States. The company was formerly known as Potbelly Sandwich Works, Inc. and changed its name to Potbelly Corporation in 2002. Potbelly Corporation was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

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