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Potbelly Co (PBPB)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$12.46
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
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Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

08/14/2025: PBPB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

4 Analysts rated it

Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.

1 Year Target Price $18.17

1 Year Target Price $18.17

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$18.17 Target price
52w Low $7.27
Current$12.46
52w High $13.67

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -7.66%
Avg. Invested days 31
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/14/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 378.86M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 35.77
1Y Target Price 18.17
Price to earnings Ratio 35.77
1Y Target Price 18.17
Volume (30-day avg) 4
Beta 1.55
52 Weeks Range 7.27 - 13.67
Updated Date 08/15/2025
52 Weeks Range 7.27 - 13.67
Updated Date 08/15/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.35

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-08-06
When -
Estimate 0.0843
Actual 0.09

Profitability

Profit Margin 2.3%
Operating Margin (TTM) 3.38%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.79%
Return on Equity (TTM) 22.21%

Valuation

Trailing PE 35.77
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 510345613
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.81
Enterprise Value 510345613
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.81
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.09
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.42
Shares Outstanding 30260700
Shares Floating 21332866
Shares Outstanding 30260700
Shares Floating 21332866
Percent Insiders 16.14
Percent Institutions 82

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Potbelly Co

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Potbelly Corporation was founded in 1977 as an antique store that also sold sandwiches in Chicago, Illinois. It evolved into a sandwich shop, and began franchising in the late 1990s. Potbelly went public in 2013.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Sandwich Shops: Potbelly operates and franchises sandwich shops, focusing on toasted sandwiches, salads, soups, cookies, and shakes. Revenue is derived from food and beverage sales in these shops.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Robert Wright is the President and Chief Executive Officer. The company operates with a standard corporate structure including executive leadership and various operational departments.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Sandwiches: Potbelly's primary product is toasted sandwiches. Market share data specific to sandwiches alone is difficult to isolate, but Potbelly competes with national chains like Subway (private), Panera Bread (PNRA), and Jimmy John's (private). Revenue contributions are substantial, though precise figures are not publicly broken down by sandwich type.
  • Salads: Salads represent another key offering, targeting health-conscious consumers. Market share in the salad segment is competitive, with players like Sweetgreen (SG) and Chopt (private). Revenue generated is significant but not distinctly reported.
  • Shakes and Cookies: Additional products, such as shakes and cookies, drive additional revenue and customer traffic. These items contribute to overall store sales but have a smaller individual market share compared to sandwiches or salads. Competitors include fast-food chains and dessert-focused establishments.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The fast-casual restaurant industry is highly competitive and dynamic, characterized by changing consumer preferences, health trends, and technological advancements. There's a significant shift towards online ordering and delivery services.

Positioning

Potbelly is positioned as a fast-casual sandwich shop offering higher-quality ingredients and a more unique atmosphere compared to traditional fast-food chains. Its competitive advantages include its distinctive sandwiches and focus on customer experience.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The fast-casual restaurant market in the US is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Potbelly is positioned to capture a small but significant share of this TAM, focusing on specific geographic regions and customer segments.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Unique and flavorful toasted sandwiches
  • Loyal customer base
  • Strong brand recognition in core markets
  • Efficient operations

Weaknesses

  • Smaller geographic footprint compared to major competitors
  • Inconsistent financial performance
  • Higher price point than some competitors
  • Franchise Model can cause inconsistencies

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new markets
  • Increased online ordering and delivery capabilities
  • Menu innovation to attract new customers
  • Partnerships with third-party delivery services

Threats

  • Intense competition from other fast-casual restaurants
  • Fluctuations in food costs
  • Changing consumer preferences and dietary trends
  • Economic downturns affecting consumer spending

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • SUBWAY (Private)
  • PANERA BREAD (PNRA)
  • JIMMY JOHN'S (Private)

Competitive Landscape

Potbelly faces intense competition. It aims to differentiate itself through its unique sandwiches and customer experience, but must compete on price and convenience with larger chains.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Requires data from 2018 to 2023, which has not been provided

Future Projections: Future projection requires data from analyst estimates which is not included.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include focusing on digital ordering, expanding the loyalty program, and streamlining operations to improve profitability.

Summary

Potbelly is a fast-casual sandwich chain with a unique menu and loyal customer base. However, it faces challenges due to intense competition and inconsistent financial performance. The company is focusing on digital initiatives and operational improvements to drive growth and profitability. Expansion into new markets and menu innovation could present significant opportunities but must carefully manage its weaknesses.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings, industry reports, market research data (estimates)

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Market share data is approximate and based on available industry reports and estimates. Financial data is based on publicly available information and is subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Potbelly Co

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Chicago, IL, United States
IPO Launch date 2013-10-04
President, CEO & Director Mr. Robert D. Wright
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 5000
Full time employees 5000

Potbelly Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises Potbelly sandwich shops in the United States. The company was formerly known as Potbelly Sandwich Works, Inc. and changed its name to Potbelly Corporation in 2002. Potbelly Corporation was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.