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Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA ADR(PBR)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for PBR
10/14/2026: PBR (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 54 days. Simulated Profits (39.61%). Updated daily EoD!
Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras (PBR) is a leading integrated energy company known for its world-class deep-water oil production capabilities in Brazil. The company generates robust cash flows and has established a disciplined focus on high-yield pre-salt assets, making it an attractive prospect for income-oriented investors seeking high dividend yields. However, the investment story is constrained by material risks, including exposure to Brazilian political interference, cyclical commodity price volatility, and high debt levels. Retail investors should carefully weigh the potential for strong cash distributions against the inherent risks of regulatory uncertainty and geographic concentration. Monitoring the company’s capital allocation strategy and government relationships remains critical for long-term investors.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is limited by the company's focus on capital discipline and maturing assets. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Stock performance is highly cyclical and tied to volatile crude oil pricing. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at attractive valuation multiples relative to its cash flow generation. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Petrobras frequently offers high dividend yields, making it attractive for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High political, regulatory, and commodity price volatility make this a higher-risk investment. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Revenue and profitability are directly tied to global oil and gas prices. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market pricing often fluctuates due to perceived political and sovereign risk. |
| Competition risk (Oil & Gas) | Medium | Global peers compete for capital, markets, and technological supremacy. |
| Business quality | Medium | The core asset base is high-quality, but operational performance can be impacted by government strategy. |
| Dividend income | Medium / high | Dividends are subject to changes in company policy and government intervention. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Complex offshore operations require precise execution to maintain safety and profitability. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 18.57% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/14/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 164.33B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.44 | 1Y Target Price 23.31 |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.44 | 1Y Target Price 23.31 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 24.0M shares | Beta -0.23 | 52 Weeks Range 10.65 - 25.96 | Updated Date 10/14/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 10.65 - 25.96 | Updated Date 10/14/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 14.43% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.96 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Exploration & Production | Production of crude oil and natural gas in offshore and onshore fields. | The primary engine of profit, driven by global oil prices and extraction costs. |
| Refining & Marketing | Transformation of crude into fuel and distribution across Brazil. | Provides consistent domestic revenue but is subject to price control risks. |
| Geography: Brazil | Majority of operations and primary sales market. | The company's performance is intrinsically linked to Brazil's economic stability. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.44 | Forward PE 5.45 | Enterprise Value 192.98B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3 |
Enterprise Value 192.98B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.85 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.49 | Shares Outstanding 3.72B | Shares Floating 3.94B |
Shares Outstanding 3.72B | Shares Floating 3.94B | ||
Percent Insiders 0.01 | Percent Institutions 22.34 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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