Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA ADR logo

Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA ADR(PBR)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
3-STAR RATING
STRONG BUY
BUY for 33 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+17.17%
LAST CLOSE
$21.77
09/15/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for PBR

09/15/2026: PBR (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 33 days. Simulated Profits (17.17%). Updated daily EoD!

Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA ADR is a major state-controlled energy company with a leading position in ultra-deepwater oil production, specifically within Brazil's pre-salt fields. The company's core strength lies in its high-margin production capabilities and vertical integration, which has allowed for substantial cash flow generation. Its primary investment story centers on leveraging these efficient assets while balancing dividend returns with energy transition initiatives. However, investors face notable risks, including high sensitivity to political interference, oil price volatility, and regulatory pressures. The stock is best suited for value and dividend-oriented investors who can tolerate cyclical volatility and the unique governance risks associated with state-controlled entities.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is largely tied to commodity price cycles rather than disruptive innovation.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum is often dictated by geopolitical headlines and oil price volatility.
Value investorStrong fitThe stock often trades at low valuation multiples relative to its cash flow generation.
Dividend investorStrong fitPetrobras has a track record of high dividend yields, though policy stability remains a key monitorable.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility and political exposure make it unsuitable for conservative portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighRevenue is highly dependent on global crude oil prices.
Valuation riskMediumPolitical headlines can lead to rapid price adjustments disconnected from fundamentals.
Competition risk (Energy sector)MediumGlobal majors compete for capital and project dominance.
Business qualityMediumOperational excellence is high, but state-ownership adds structural complexity.
Dividend incomeMedium / highPayouts are susceptible to changes in government dividend policy.
Execution riskMediumManaging massive, long-term offshore infrastructure projects carries inherent operational risks.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -1.13%
Avg. Invested days 30
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/15/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

PBR receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

PBR has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+161.9%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 19.0%) are partially offset by slightly negative revenue growth (-3.6%), very low insider ownership of 0.01%.

Financial Health Rating

PBR's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $16.7B (19.0% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

Earnings growth is PBR's strongest growth driver at +161.9% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-3.6%, slightly negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-28.4%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

Institutional ownership is 22.3% and approximately 108.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.01%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

GQG Partners LLC 3.00%
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. 0.75%
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3 0.59%
Capital World Investors 0.46%
Amvescap Plc. 0.45%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

PBR generates approximately $431 of gross profit, $314 of operating income, and $190 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

Effective Tax Rate: 31.41%

Quantitative Style Profile

PBR has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 136.30B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 5.34
1Y Target Price 22.38
Price to earnings Ratio 5.34
1Y Target Price 22.38
Volume (30-day avg) 20.9M shares
Beta -0.21
52 Weeks Range 10.65 - 21.99
Updated Date 09/15/2026
52 Weeks Range 10.65 - 21.99
Updated Date 09/15/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 17.30%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.96

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Exploration and Production (E&P)Extraction of crude oil and natural gas.This is where the majority of profit is made based on global oil prices.
Refining and TransportationProcessing crude and shipping fuel within Brazil.This provides stable, domestic demand-based revenue.
Geography: BrazilCore operations and market presence.The company's performance is intrinsically linked to the Brazilian economy.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 5.34
Forward PE 5.45
Enterprise Value 191.39B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.25
Enterprise Value 191.39B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.25
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.84
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.46
Shares Outstanding 3.72B
Shares Floating 4.03B
Shares Outstanding 3.72B
Shares Floating 4.03B
Percent Insiders 0.01
Percent Institutions 22.35

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

News (Last Updated: 09/15/2026)

About Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA ADR

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
IPO Launch date 2000-08-10
President, CEO, Member of Executive Board & Non-Independent Director Ms. Magda Maria de Regina Chambriard
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas Integrated
Full time employees 43199
Full time employees 43199

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing; and Gas & Low Carbon Energies. The Exploration and Production segment explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas primarily for supplies to the domestic refineries. Its Refining, Transportation and Marketing segment engages in the refining, logistics, transport, acquisition, and export of crude oil; trading of oil products; and production of fertilizers, as well as holding interests in petrochemical companies. The Gas and Low Carbon Energies segment is involved in the logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity; transportation and trading of liquefied natural gas; generation of electricity through thermoelectric power plants; renewable energy business; low carbon business; and natural gas processing business, as well as production of biodiesel and its co-products. It also engages in prospecting, drilling, refining, processing, trading, and transporting crude oil from producing onshore and offshore oil fields, and shale or other rocks, as well as oil products, natural gas, and other liquid hydrocarbons. In addition, the company engages in research, development, production, transportation, distribution, and trading of energy. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.