Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA ADR logo

Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA ADR(PBR)

upturn advisory logo
ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
3-STAR RATING
STRONG BUY
BUY for 42 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+11.14% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$20.65
09/28/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for PBR

09/28/2026: PBR (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 42 days. Simulated Profits (11.14%). Updated daily EoD!

Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras (PBR) is a leading integrated energy company known for its world-class deep-water oil production capabilities in Brazil. The company generates robust cash flows and has established a disciplined focus on high-yield pre-salt assets, making it an attractive prospect for income-oriented investors seeking high dividend yields. However, the investment story is constrained by material risks, including exposure to Brazilian political interference, cyclical commodity price volatility, and high debt levels. Retail investors should carefully weigh the potential for strong cash distributions against the inherent risks of regulatory uncertainty and geographic concentration. Monitoring the company’s capital allocation strategy and government relationships remains critical for long-term investors.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is limited by the company's focus on capital discipline and maturing assets.
Momentum investorMixed fitStock performance is highly cyclical and tied to volatile crude oil pricing.
Value investorStrong fitThe stock often trades at attractive valuation multiples relative to its cash flow generation.
Dividend investorStrong fitPetrobras frequently offers high dividend yields, making it attractive for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh political, regulatory, and commodity price volatility make this a higher-risk investment.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighRevenue and profitability are directly tied to global oil and gas prices.
Valuation riskMediumMarket pricing often fluctuates due to perceived political and sovereign risk.
Competition risk (Oil & Gas)MediumGlobal peers compete for capital, markets, and technological supremacy.
Business qualityMediumThe core asset base is high-quality, but operational performance can be impacted by government strategy.
Dividend incomeMedium / highDividends are subject to changes in company policy and government intervention.
Execution riskMediumComplex offshore operations require precise execution to maintain safety and profitability.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -6.21%
Avg. Invested days 30
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/28/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
PBR receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
PBR has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+161.9%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 19.0%) are partially offset by slightly negative revenue growth (-3.6%), very low insider ownership of 0.01%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
PBR's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $16.7B (19.0% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is PBR's strongest growth driver at +161.9% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-3.6%, slightly negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-28.4%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 22.3% (moderate) and 105.9% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable (strong). Insider ownership is only 0.01%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

GQG Partners LLC 3.00%
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. 0.75%
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3 0.59%
Capital World Investors 0.46%
Amvescap Plc. 0.45%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
PBR generates approximately $431 of gross profit, $314 of operating income, and $190 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Solid margins and solid cash conversion support the rating, although capital efficiency remains solid.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 31.41%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
PBR has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 131.27B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 5.14
1Y Target Price 22.46
Price to earnings Ratio 5.14
1Y Target Price 22.46
Volume (30-day avg) 21.9M shares
Beta -0.21
52 Weeks Range 10.65 - 21.99
Updated Date 09/27/2026
52 Weeks Range 10.65 - 21.99
Updated Date 09/27/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 17.60%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.96

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Exploration & ProductionProduction of crude oil and natural gas in offshore and onshore fields.The primary engine of profit, driven by global oil prices and extraction costs.
Refining & MarketingTransformation of crude into fuel and distribution across Brazil.Provides consistent domestic revenue but is subject to price control risks.
Geography: BrazilMajority of operations and primary sales market.The company's performance is intrinsically linked to Brazil's economic stability.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Advertisement

Valuation

Trailing PE 5.14
Forward PE 5.45
Enterprise Value 192.98B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24
Enterprise Value 192.98B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.85
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.49
Shares Outstanding 3.72B
Shares Floating 3.94B
Shares Outstanding 3.72B
Shares Floating 3.94B
Percent Insiders 0.01
Percent Institutions 22.35

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Information icon warning about potential inaccuracies or hallucinations in Upturn AI-generated summaries AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

News (Last Updated: 09/29/2026)

About Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA ADR

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
IPO Launch date 2000-08-10
President, CEO, Member of Executive Board & Non-Independent Director Ms. Magda Maria de Regina Chambriard
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas Integrated
Full time employees 43199
Full time employees 43199

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing; and Gas & Low Carbon Energies. The Exploration and Production segment explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas primarily for supplies to the domestic refineries. Its Refining, Transportation and Marketing segment engages in the refining, logistics, transport, acquisition, and export of crude oil; trading of oil products; and production of fertilizers, as well as holding interests in petrochemical companies. The Gas and Low Carbon Energies segment is involved in the logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity; transportation and trading of liquefied natural gas; generation of electricity through thermoelectric power plants; renewable energy business; low carbon business; and natural gas processing business, as well as production of biodiesel and its co-products. It also engages in prospecting, drilling, refining, processing, trading, and transporting crude oil from producing onshore and offshore oil fields, and shale or other rocks, as well as oil products, natural gas, and other liquid hydrocarbons. In addition, the company engages in research, development, production, transportation, distribution, and trading of energy. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.