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Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/10/2025: PBR-A (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $14.51
1 Year Target Price $14.51
4 | Strong Buy |
5 | Buy |
1 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 12.85% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 79.93B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.7 | 1Y Target Price 14.51 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.7 | 1Y Target Price 14.51 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 0.32 | 52 Weeks Range 9.84 - 13.05 | Updated Date 07/11/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 9.84 - 13.05 | Updated Date 07/11/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 19.97% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.34 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 9.7% | Operating Margin (TTM) 35.48% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.66% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.02% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.7 | Forward PE 4.14 | Enterprise Value 137297385919 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.16 |
Enterprise Value 137297385919 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.16 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.55 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.66 | Shares Outstanding 2723249920 | Shares Floating 8112812836 |
Shares Outstanding 2723249920 | Shares Floating 8112812836 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 7.42 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras

Company Overview
History and Background
Petru00f3leo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras, founded in 1953, is a Brazilian state-owned petroleum company. Initially focused on exploration and production, it expanded into refining, transportation, and petrochemicals. Significant milestones include the discovery of pre-salt oil reserves and international expansion. It has faced periods of corruption scandals and fluctuating oil prices.
Core Business Areas
- Exploration and Production: Focuses on the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids.
- Refining, Transportation, and Marketing: Involves the refining of crude oil into various products (gasoline, diesel, etc.), transportation of these products, and marketing them to consumers and businesses.
- Gas and Power: Includes activities related to natural gas processing, transportation, and distribution, as well as power generation.
- Petrochemicals: Production of petrochemicals derived from oil and gas.
Leadership and Structure
Petrobras is led by a CEO appointed by the Brazilian government. It operates with a board of directors overseeing various executive departments responsible for specific business areas. The government holds a controlling stake.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Crude Oil: Petrobras is a major producer of crude oil, particularly from pre-salt reserves. Market share varies but is significant in Brazil. Competitors include BP (BP), ExxonMobil (XOM), Shell (SHEL).
- Refined Products (Gasoline, Diesel): Petrobras refines and sells gasoline, diesel, and other petroleum products. Competitors include Raizen, Ipiranga.
- Natural Gas: Production and distribution of natural gas, serving both domestic and industrial consumers. Competitors include private gas distributors.
- Petrochemicals: Production of basic and intermediate petrochemicals. Competitors are Braskem and Unipar.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The oil and gas industry is characterized by fluctuating prices, geopolitical risks, and increasing environmental concerns. Demand is growing globally, but the shift towards renewable energy sources is a long-term trend.
Positioning
Petrobras is a major integrated oil and gas company with a significant presence in Brazil and growing international operations. Its competitive advantage lies in its access to large pre-salt reserves and its refining capacity.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global oil and gas market is multi-trillion USD. Petrobras captures a percentage of this TAM through its production and sales, focusing primarily on the South American market and specific international exports. Exact TAM breakdown is complex due to fluctuating prices and regional variations.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large pre-salt oil reserves
- Integrated operations (exploration, production, refining)
- Strong position in the Brazilian market
- Technological expertise in deepwater drilling
Weaknesses
- High debt levels
- Exposure to political interference
- Operational inefficiencies
- Vulnerability to commodity price fluctuations
Opportunities
- Expansion of pre-salt production
- Investment in renewable energy sources
- Development of new refining technologies
- International expansion in select markets
Threats
- Fluctuations in oil prices
- Increased competition from other oil producers
- Environmental regulations
- Geopolitical risks
- Transition to renewable energy sources
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BP
- XOM
- SHEL
- CVX
- EQNR
Competitive Landscape
Petrobras benefits from its access to Brazilian reserves, especially pre-salt, but faces challenges related to political influence and debt. Competitors like BP, ExxonMobil, and Shell have greater global reach and financial resources but may face challenges accessing Brazilian oil resources.
Major Acquisitions
Tupi Field Stake
- Year: 2010
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 851
- Strategic Rationale: To increase Petrobras's stake in a promising pre-salt oil field, bolstering its production capacity and long-term reserves.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth has been driven by increased oil production, but also affected by periods of economic downturn and corruption scandals.
Future Projections: Analyst projections vary but generally foresee continued growth in oil production, with increasing investment in renewable energy.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include divestment of non-core assets, increased focus on pre-salt exploration and production, and investments in renewable energy projects.
Summary
Petrobras is a major player in the global oil and gas industry, with significant reserves and production capacity. It benefits from its access to Brazilian pre-salt reserves but faces challenges related to political interference, high debt levels, and fluctuating oil prices. While expanding into renewables, its core business remains fossil fuels, making it vulnerable to the energy transition. The company must balance growth with financial prudence and adapt to evolving energy markets.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Petrobras Investor Relations
- SEC Filings
- Industry Reports (e.g., EIA, IEA)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on available information and estimates, and is subject to change. Financial data requires access to live financial databases. Investment decisions should be made based on independent research and professional advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil | ||
IPO Launch date 2003-10-07 | CEO & Non-Independent Director Ms. Magda Maria de Regina Chambriard | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Integrated | Full time employees 41778 | Website https://petrobras.com.br |
Full time employees 41778 | Website https://petrobras.com.br |
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing; and Gas & Low Carbon Energies. The Exploration and Production segment explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas primarily for supplies to the domestic refineries. The Refining, Transportation and Marketing segment engages in the refining, logistics, transport, acquisition, and export of crude oil; trading of oil products; and production of fertilizers, as well as holding interests in petrochemical companies. The Gas and Low Carbon Energies segment is involved in the logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity; transportation and trading of liquefied natural gas; generation of electricity through thermoelectric power plants; renewable energy business; low carbon business; and natural gas processing business, as well as production of biodiesel and its co-products. The company also engages in prospecting, drilling, refining, processing, trading, and transporting crude oil from producing onshore and offshore oil fields, and shale or other rocks, as well as oil products, natural gas, and other liquid hydrocarbons. In addition, it engages in the research, development, production, transportation, distribution, and trading of energy. The company was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

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