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Upturn AI Summary - About
PACCAR Inc(PCAR)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for PCAR
10/26/2026: PCAR (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
PACCAR Inc is a leading manufacturer of premium heavy- and medium-duty trucks, primarily known for its prestigious Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF brands. The company maintains a strong competitive position through high-quality manufacturing and a highly profitable aftermarket parts business, which provides stability during cyclical downturns. Its primary growth opportunity lies in the transition to battery-electric and hydrogen-fuel-cell vehicles. However, investors must monitor risks related to macroeconomic freight demand, intense competition in the green-tech space, and potential supply chain disruptions. PACCAR is generally well-suited for value and dividend-focused investors seeking long-term industrial exposure with a solid, consistent track record.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The mature, cyclical nature of the trucking industry limits aggressive growth potential. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum follows positive cyclic upturns in freight demand; signal dependent. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at reasonable multiples relative to its earnings consistency. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | PACCAR has a strong, long-term track record of regular and special dividend payments. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | Its solid balance sheet and industry dominance provide a layer of relative safety. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock is subject to broader industrial sector market sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Low | Historical discipline in pricing helps prevent excessive valuation bubbles. |
| Competition risk (Heavy-duty truck manufacturing) | Medium / high | Intense rivalry with Daimler and Volvo puts pressure on margins. |
| Business quality | Strong | High brand equity and profitable service networks ensure long-term stability. |
| Dividend income | Strong | The company's history of dividend payments is very reliable. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Transitioning manufacturing to zero-emission platforms is complex. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 53.29% | Avg. Invested days 52 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/26/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 56.30B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 22.52 | 1Y Target Price 133.38 |
Price to earnings Ratio 22.52 | 1Y Target Price 133.38 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.6M shares | Beta 0.99 | 52 Weeks Range 91.91 - 138.87 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 91.91 - 138.87 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.22% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.75 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Truck Segment | Manufacturing and sale of Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF trucks. | The primary driver of revenue, directly tied to freight economic activity. |
| Parts Segment | Aftermarket distribution, parts, and service support. | High-margin business that provides steady income across economic cycles. |
| Financial Services | Dealer and customer financing, leasing. | Supports sales and builds long-term customer relationships. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-27 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.61 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 9% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.02% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.12% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.76% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 22.52 | Forward PE 16.5 | Enterprise Value 70.46B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.02 |
Enterprise Value 70.46B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.02 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.53 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 19.45 | Shares Outstanding 526.36M | Shares Floating 515.99M |
Shares Outstanding 526.36M | Shares Floating 515.99M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.86 | Percent Institutions 76.09 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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