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Upturn AI Summary - About
PACCAR Inc(PCAR)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for PCAR
10/12/2026: PCAR (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
PACCAR Inc is a well-established manufacturer of premium heavy and medium-duty trucks, primarily recognized for its Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF brands. The company maintains a strong position in its industry, characterized by high-quality products, efficient operations, and a lucrative aftermarket parts segment that helps buffer against the inherent cyclicality of the trucking market. Its primary growth opportunity lies in the transition to battery-electric and hydrogen fuel-cell technologies. However, the company faces risks from intensifying competition and stringent global emission regulations. PACCAR is a suitable choice for value and dividend-oriented investors looking for stable industrial exposure; developments in electrification and autonomous trucking technology should be closely monitored.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | While PACCAR is a steady grower, its cyclical nature limits the high-growth trajectory often sought by this investor style. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | Momentum fit is conditional on a positive Upturn signal, but the cyclical nature of the industry often leads to volatile trend behavior. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | PACCAR's consistent profitability and disciplined valuation often appeal to value-oriented investors. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | PACCAR's history of reliable dividends and special distributions makes it a suitable candidate for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | The company's strong balance sheet provides security, but cyclical market risks can lead to price volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock is subject to cyclical industry fluctuations which can lead to periodic price swings. |
| Valuation risk | Low | PACCAR generally trades at reasonable multiples relative to its earnings quality. |
| Competition risk (Heavy Truck) | Medium / high | Intense competition from global giants like Daimler and Volvo puts pressure on market share and margins. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company is recognized for its high operational efficiency and strong brand franchise. |
| Dividend income | Strong | PACCAR maintains a consistent record of rewarding shareholders through regular and special dividends. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully transitioning to electric and autonomous technologies is essential for long-term competitiveness. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 55.1% | Avg. Invested days 52 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/12/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 56.87B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 22.75 | 1Y Target Price 137.88 |
Price to earnings Ratio 22.75 | 1Y Target Price 137.88 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.5M shares | Beta 0.99 | 52 Weeks Range 90.03 - 138.87 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 90.03 - 138.87 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.22% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.75 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Truck Segment | Revenue from the sale of Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF heavy and medium-duty trucks. | This is the core engine of the company, driven by heavy-duty truck sales volumes. |
| Parts Segment | Aftermarket sales of parts and components through global distribution networks. | Provides stable, high-margin recurring revenue that buffers the cyclical nature of truck sales. |
| Financial Services | Financing and leasing options for dealers and customers to facilitate truck purchases. | Supports sales and generates additional revenue streams through finance products. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 22.75 | Forward PE 15.06 | Enterprise Value 64.86B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.04 |
Enterprise Value 64.86B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.04 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.33 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.91 | Shares Outstanding 526.36M | Shares Floating 515.99M |
Shares Outstanding 526.36M | Shares Floating 515.99M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.86 | Percent Institutions 76.23 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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