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Upturn AI Summary - About
PriceSmart Inc(PSMT)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for PSMT
10/13/2026: PSMT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
PriceSmart Inc is a leading operator of membership-based warehouse clubs across Latin America and the Caribbean. The company has a stable business model driven by recurring membership fees and high-volume retail sales, supported by a strong private label portfolio. Its primary growth opportunity lies in regional physical expansion and the continued adoption of its digital e-commerce channels. Investors should monitor risks related to regional currency volatility, political instability, and competition from global retail giants. PriceSmart is well-suited for long-term investors looking for emerging market consumer exposure, though it remains sensitive to macroeconomic shifts that influence purchasing power in its core markets.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers steady expansion potential, though growth is constrained by the economic volatility of its specific geographic regions. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock tends to trade based on long-term fundamental progress rather than short-term price momentum. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at valuations that reflect the regional risk discount, potentially offering value to patient investors. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | While dividends are paid, the yield is generally modest and not the primary driver for total return. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Exposure to emerging market currencies and political climates introduces volatility unsuitable for very low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock is susceptible to swings based on regional economic data and currency reporting. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market sentiment toward emerging markets can significantly impact the P/E multiple. |
| Competition risk (global retail giants) | Medium / high | Large scale competitors like Walmart can exert pressure on pricing and local market share. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company has a proven, repeatable warehouse club model that generates consistent membership loyalty. |
| Dividend income | Low | Dividend payouts are secondary to capital reinvestment and are not intended to be a high-yield income source. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully managing cross-border supply chains and new club openings is operationally intensive. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 8.97% | Avg. Invested days 48 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/13/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.22B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 32.55 | 1Y Target Price 181.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio 32.55 | 1Y Target Price 181.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 231.6K shares | Beta 0.74 | 52 Weeks Range 110.75 - 199.06 | Updated Date 10/13/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 110.75 - 199.06 | Updated Date 10/13/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.79% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.2 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Membership Fees | Annual fees paid by members in Latin America and the Caribbean. | This is a reliable, high-margin revenue stream that creates recurring income and customer loyalty. |
| Merchandise Sales | Bulk sales of food, electronics, home goods, and tires. | The primary revenue driver, relying on high volume and inventory turnover. |
| Ancillary Services | Food courts, optical, pharmacy, and automotive centers. | These services add value and increase store traffic, though they are not the primary revenue engine. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 32.55 | Forward PE 27.47 | Enterprise Value 5.34B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.92 |
Enterprise Value 5.34B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.92 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.94 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.93 | Shares Outstanding 30.86M | Shares Floating 27.73M |
Shares Outstanding 30.86M | Shares Floating 27.73M | ||
Percent Insiders 7.49 | Percent Institutions 102.17 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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