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Costco Wholesale Corp (COST)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/15/2025: COST (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $1062.13
1 Year Target Price $1062.13
17 | Strong Buy |
5 | Buy |
15 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 31.14% | Avg. Invested days 59 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 410.22B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 50.75 | 1Y Target Price 1062.13 |
Price to earnings Ratio 50.75 | 1Y Target Price 1062.13 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 38 | Beta 0.96 | 52 Weeks Range 864.06 - 1075.34 | Updated Date 10/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 864.06 - 1075.34 | Updated Date 10/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.52% | Basic EPS (TTM) 18.24 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-09-25 | When After Market | Estimate 5.82 | Actual 5.87 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.94% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.88% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.83% | Return on Equity (TTM) 30.69% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 50.75 | Forward PE 45.87 | Enterprise Value 399235384490 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.49 |
Enterprise Value 399235384490 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.49 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.45 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 29.8 | Shares Outstanding 443179176 | Shares Floating 441938274 |
Shares Outstanding 443179176 | Shares Floating 441938274 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.16 | Percent Institutions 72.33 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Costco Wholesale Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Costco Wholesale Corporation was founded in 1983 in Seattle, Washington, as a merger of Price Club and Costco. It operates membership-only warehouse clubs offering a wide variety of merchandise. Over time, Costco has expanded internationally and diversified its offerings.
Core Business Areas
- Membership Fees: Revenue generated from annual membership fees paid by individuals and businesses to access Costco's warehouses.
- Merchandise Sales: Sales of goods, including groceries, electronics, apparel, household items, and other products, within Costco warehouses and online.
- Ancillary Businesses: Services such as gas stations, pharmacies, optical centers, food courts, and travel services offered at Costco locations.
Leadership and Structure
Costco's leadership includes the CEO, CFO, and other executive officers. The organizational structure consists of regional and warehouse managers reporting to corporate headquarters.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Groceries: Costco offers a wide selection of groceries, including fresh produce, meat, dairy, and packaged goods. Competitors include Walmart (WMT) and Kroger (KR). Market share is estimated at around 9% in the overall grocery market.
- Electronics: Costco sells electronics such as televisions, laptops, and home appliances. Competitors include Best Buy (BBY) and Amazon (AMZN). Market share is estimated at around 5% in the electronics retail market.
- Apparel: Costco offers clothing and accessories for men, women, and children. Competitors include Target (TGT) and Walmart (WMT). Apparel generates billions in annual revenue.
- Kirkland Signature Products: Costco's private label brand, Kirkland Signature, spans across various product categories, offering high-quality goods at competitive prices. It's a strong differentiator and drives customer loyalty. Main competitors are other private label brands by WMT or KR.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The retail industry is competitive, with a mix of brick-and-mortar stores and online retailers. Warehouse clubs like Costco offer value through bulk purchases and membership fees.
Positioning
Costco differentiates itself through a membership model, offering discounted prices on a wide range of products. Its competitive advantages include strong brand loyalty and efficient operations.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for retail is in the trillions of dollars. Costco is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through its membership model and value proposition.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong Brand Recognition
- Loyal Customer Base
- Efficient Supply Chain
- High Membership Renewal Rates
- Strong Financial Performance
Weaknesses
- Reliance on Membership Fees
- Limited Online Presence Compared to Competitors
- Potential for Margin Pressure
- Higher Initial Cost for Consumers (Membership Fee)
Opportunities
- Expansion into New Markets
- Increased Online Sales
- Growth in Private Label Brands
- Partnerships and Collaborations
- Enhancing e-commerce capabilities
Threats
- Increased Competition
- Economic Downturns
- Changes in Consumer Preferences
- Supply Chain Disruptions
- Inflation
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- WMT
- TGT
- BJ
Competitive Landscape
Costco's competitive advantages include its strong brand reputation, loyal customer base, and efficient supply chain. Disadvantages include its reliance on membership fees and limited online presence compared to competitors.
Major Acquisitions
Innovel Solutions
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1000
- Strategic Rationale: Enhanced delivery capabilities for big and bulky items to customers.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Discusses Costco's growth in revenue, membership, and store count over the past years. Requires Real time data.
Future Projections: Requires analyst estimates, including revenue growth, EPS growth, and store expansion plans. Requires Real time data.
Recent Initiatives: Highlights recent strategic initiatives such as international expansion, e-commerce enhancements, and new product offerings.
Summary
Costco is a strong retailer with a loyal customer base driven by its membership model and competitive pricing. Its financial performance is consistently solid, and it continues to expand its store footprint and online presence. However, it needs to watch out for increasing competition and potential economic downturns which could affect consumer spending.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (10-K, 10-Q), Market Research Reports, Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data and analyst estimates are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Costco Wholesale Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Issaquah, WA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1993-09-22 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Ron M. Vachris | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Discount Stores | Full time employees 341000 | Website https://www.costco.com |
Full time employees 341000 | Website https://www.costco.com |
Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom, Korea, Australia, Taiwan, China, Spain, France, Iceland, New Zealand, and Sweden. It offers merchandise, including sundries, dry groceries, candies, coolers, freezers, deli, liquor, and tobacco; non-food merchandise comprising appliances, small electronics, health and beauty aids, hardware, lawn and garden, sporting goods, tires, toys and seasonal, automotive, stamps, tickets, apparel, furniture, domestics, housewares, special order kiosks, and jewelry; and fresh food, such as meat, produce, service deli, and bakery products. The company is also involved in warehouse ancillary operations, which include gasoline, pharmacies, optical, food courts, hearing-aid centers, and tire installation centers. In addition, it engages in e-commerce, business centers, travel, and other businesses. The company was formerly known as Costco Companies, Inc. and changed its name to Costco Wholesale Corporation in August 1999. Costco Wholesale Corporation was founded in 1976 and is based in Issaquah, Washington.

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