Upturn unsubscribed user
$1.14/ day, billed weekly
Cancel anytime
(Ad-Free, Unlimited access)​
NO CREDIT CARD REQUIRED
COST logo COST
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corp (COST)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$989.94
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

06/30/2025: COST (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Number of Analysts

rating

38 Analysts rated it

Highly popular stock, broad analyst coverage, trusted insights, strong investor interest.

1 Year Target Price $1056.36

1 Year Target Price $1056.36

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$1056.36Target price
Low$790.04
Current$989.94
high$1076.83

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 31.14%
Avg. Invested days 59
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/30/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 436.89B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 55.88
1Y Target Price 1056.36
Price to earnings Ratio 55.88
1Y Target Price 1056.36
Volume (30-day avg) 38
Beta 0.99
52 Weeks Range 790.04 - 1076.83
Updated Date 06/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 790.04 - 1076.83
Updated Date 06/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 0.53%
Basic EPS (TTM) 17.63

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 2.92%
Operating Margin (TTM) 4%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 8.79%
Return on Equity (TTM) 32.08%

Valuation

Trailing PE 55.88
Forward PE 48.54
Enterprise Value 430217016502
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.63
Enterprise Value 430217016502
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.63
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.6
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 33.26
Shares Outstanding 443476992
Shares Floating 442261959
Shares Outstanding 443476992
Shares Floating 442261959
Percent Insiders 0.2
Percent Institutions 72.28

Analyst Ratings

Rating 5
Target Price 1056.36
Buy 5
Strong Buy 17
Buy 5
Strong Buy 17
Hold 15
Sell -
Strong Sell 1
Strong Sell 1

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Costco Wholesale Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Costco Wholesale Corporation was founded in 1983 in Seattle, Washington. It evolved from Price Club, founded in 1976 by Sol Price, pioneering the warehouse club concept. Costco grew rapidly, merging with Price Club in 1993 and becoming Price/Costco before rebranding to Costco Wholesale.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Membership Warehouses: Operates membership-only warehouses offering a wide range of merchandise, including groceries, electronics, apparel, and household goods.
  • Ancillary Businesses: Includes gas stations, pharmacies, optical dispensing centers, food courts, and travel services within its warehouses.
  • E-commerce: Provides online shopping through Costco.com, offering a selection of products similar to those found in warehouses.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Craig Jelinek served as CEO until January 2024, when he was succeeded by Ron Vachris. The company has a traditional hierarchical organizational structure with regional and warehouse-level management.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Kirkland Signature Products: Costco's private label brand, offering a wide variety of goods, from groceries to apparel, often at competitive prices. Strong brand loyalty contributes to sales and profitability. Competitors include other private label brands from Walmart, Kroger, and Target. Market Share is unknown, but the Kirkland brand contributes significantly to Costco's overall sales.
  • Groceries: Bulk groceries are a core offering, driving membership value and repeat purchases. Competitors include traditional grocery stores like Kroger, Albertsons, and Walmart. Grocery contributes a significant portion of Costco's revenue, but exact market share data is difficult to isolate.
  • Electronics and Appliances: Costco offers electronics and appliances at competitive prices, attracting tech-savvy members. Competitors include Best Buy, Amazon, and Walmart. Revenue from these items can vary, and market share depends on product categories.
  • Gasoline: Gas stations present at the warehouse locations. Competitors include Shell (RDS.A), Chevron (CVX). Market share is unavailable.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The retail industry is highly competitive, with increasing pressure from e-commerce and changing consumer preferences. Warehouse clubs like Costco offer a value proposition based on bulk discounts and membership benefits.

Positioning

Costco differentiates itself through its membership model, offering low prices on a curated selection of products. Its competitive advantages include strong brand loyalty, high sales volume, and efficient operations.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global retail market is trillions of dollars. Costco is positioned to capture a segment of this market through its membership model and value proposition. Euromonitor estimates the global retail sales will reach USD 30 trillion in 2024. Costco represents a small, but significant proportion of this TAM.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand reputation
  • High membership renewal rates
  • Efficient operations
  • Large buying power
  • Loyal customer base

Weaknesses

  • Limited product selection compared to traditional retailers
  • Dependence on membership fees
  • Relatively low e-commerce penetration compared to competitors
  • Geographic concentration in North America

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new international markets
  • Increased e-commerce sales
  • Enhanced membership benefits
  • Growth in ancillary businesses
  • Expansion of Kirkland Signature product line

Threats

  • Increased competition from online retailers
  • Economic downturns affecting consumer spending
  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Changes in consumer preferences
  • Inflation impacting input costs

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • WMT
  • TGT
  • BJ

Competitive Landscape

Costco's advantages over competitors include its strong brand loyalty, efficient operations, and high sales volume. Its disadvantages include limited product selection and relatively low e-commerce penetration.

Major Acquisitions

Innovel Solutions

  • Year: 2020
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1000
  • Strategic Rationale: Enhances delivery and logistics capabilities for large and bulky items, supporting e-commerce growth.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Costco has demonstrated consistent revenue and membership growth over the past decade, driven by store expansion and strong same-store sales.

Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Costco, driven by international expansion and increased e-commerce sales. Revenue growth projections typically range from 5-10% annually.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding e-commerce offerings, opening new warehouses in international markets, and enhancing membership benefits.

Summary

Costco is a strong company with a loyal customer base and efficient operations, evidenced by high membership renewal rates and consistent revenue growth. Its strengths lie in its bulk discount model and the Kirkland Signature brand. However, Costco faces challenges from online retailers and needs to further develop its e-commerce strategy to capture a larger share of the market. International expansion presents significant growth opportunities.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • SEC Filings
  • Company Website
  • Industry Reports
  • Analyst Estimates

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Costco Wholesale Corp

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Issaquah, WA, United States
IPO Launch date 1993-09-22
President, CEO & Director Mr. Ron M. Vachris
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Discount Stores
Full time employees 333000
Full time employees 333000

Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom, Korea, Australia, Taiwan, China, Spain, France, Iceland, New Zealand, and Sweden. The company offers branded and private-label products in a range of merchandise categories. It offers merchandise, such as sundries, dry groceries, candies, coolers, freezers, deli, liquor, and tobacco; appliances, electronics, health and beauty aids, hardware, lawn and garden, sporting goods, tires, toys and seasonal products, office supplies, automotive care products, postages, tickets, apparel, small appliances, furniture, domestics, housewares, special order kiosks, and jewelry; and meat, produce, service deli, and bakery products. The company also operates gasoline, pharmacies, optical, food courts, hearing-aid centers, and tire installation centers; and offers business delivery, travel, grocery, and various other services online. It also operates e-commerce websites. The company was formerly known as Costco Companies, Inc. and changed its name to Costco Wholesale Corporation in August 1999. Costco Wholesale Corporation was founded in 1976 and is based in Issaquah, Washington.