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Costco Wholesale Corp (COST)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/26/2025: COST (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $1031.45
1 Year Target Price $1031.45
| 17 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 15 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 31.14% | Avg. Invested days 59 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 387.73B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 46.73 | 1Y Target Price 1031.45 |
Price to earnings Ratio 46.73 | 1Y Target Price 1031.45 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 38 | Beta 0.98 | 52 Weeks Range 844.06 - 1073.82 | Updated Date 12/26/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 844.06 - 1073.82 | Updated Date 12/26/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.58% | Basic EPS (TTM) 18.69 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.96% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.66% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) 30.33% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 46.73 | Forward PE 43.29 | Enterprise Value 377910984674 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.38 |
Enterprise Value 377910984674 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.38 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.35 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 27.54 | Shares Outstanding 443869411 | Shares Floating 442626577 |
Shares Outstanding 443869411 | Shares Floating 442626577 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.16 | Percent Institutions 71.96 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Costco Wholesale Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Costco Wholesale Corporation was founded in 1983 by James Sinegal and Jeffrey Brotman in Seattle, Washington. It pioneered the warehouse club model, focusing on offering high-quality branded merchandise at low prices to its members. The company merged with Price Club in 1993, becoming Price/Costco, and later rebranded to Costco Wholesale Corporation. Key milestones include rapid expansion across the US and internationally, the introduction of private label brands like Kirkland Signature, and significant growth in membership and sales.
Core Business Areas
- Wholesale Club Operations: Costco's primary business is operating membership-based warehouse clubs that sell a wide variety of merchandise, including groceries, electronics, apparel, home furnishings, and health and beauty products. They emphasize bulk purchasing and limited SKUs to drive down costs.
- Membership Fees: A significant portion of Costco's profit comes from annual membership fees. These fees provide a stable, recurring revenue stream and incentivize customer loyalty.
- Ancillary Businesses: Costco also offers various ancillary services, including gas stations, pharmacies, optical departments, food courts, travel services, and business services, which enhance member value and drive traffic to warehouses.
Leadership and Structure
Costco is a publicly traded corporation. The leadership team is headed by a Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and a Board of Directors. The company operates a decentralized management structure, with regional and warehouse managers having significant autonomy. Key leadership roles include CEO, CFO, and various divisional presidents.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Groceries and Food Items: Includes fresh produce, meats, dairy, bakery items, pantry staples, and frozen foods. This is a significant revenue driver, often accounting for over half of total sales. Competitors include Walmart (Sam's Club), Kroger, Amazon (Whole Foods), and other regional supermarket chains.
- Electronics: Televisions, computers, smartphones, and accessories. Costco is known for offering competitive prices on premium electronics. Competitors include Best Buy, Amazon, Walmart, and Target.
- Kirkland Signature Products: Costco's private label brand, offering a wide range of products from food to apparel and household goods. This brand is a key differentiator and drives customer loyalty. Competitors for individual Kirkland Signature products vary widely across categories, but generally include private labels of other retailers and national brands.
- Apparel and Home Goods: Clothing, shoes, furniture, bedding, and decorative items. Competitors include Amazon, Target, Wayfair, and department stores.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The retail industry, particularly the grocery and general merchandise sectors, is highly competitive and characterized by evolving consumer preferences, the growth of e-commerce, and price sensitivity. The warehouse club segment focuses on value and bulk purchasing, appealing to a specific consumer base seeking cost savings.
Positioning
Costco is positioned as a premium value retailer, offering high-quality products at competitive prices to its members. Its competitive advantages include a strong brand loyalty, a highly efficient supply chain, a compelling membership model that generates recurring revenue, and a carefully curated selection of products that drives high sales volume.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for retail is vast, encompassing groceries, general merchandise, and electronics. For the warehouse club segment specifically, the TAM is in the hundreds of billions of dollars globally. Costco, with its significant global presence and membership base, captures a substantial portion of this TAM, but still has significant room for expansion both domestically and internationally.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand loyalty and high member retention rates.
- Efficient supply chain and operational model enabling low prices.
- Kirkland Signature private label brand drives value and loyalty.
- Significant recurring revenue from membership fees.
- Global presence with substantial international growth potential.
Weaknesses
- Limited product selection compared to traditional retailers.
- Membership requirement can be a barrier for some consumers.
- Less emphasis on online convenience compared to some competitors.
- Reliance on physical store traffic for a large portion of sales.
Opportunities
- Further international expansion, particularly in emerging markets.
- Enhancing e-commerce capabilities and online offerings.
- Leveraging data analytics to personalize member experiences and offers.
- Expanding ancillary services and offerings.
- Increasing penetration in the business membership segment.
Threats
- Intensifying competition from online retailers and traditional grocers.
- Economic downturns impacting consumer spending on discretionary items.
- Rising inflation and supply chain disruptions.
- Changes in consumer shopping habits and preferences.
- Potential for new entrants or disruptive business models in the retail space.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Sam's Club (Walmart) (WMT)
- BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ)
- Amazon (AMZN)
- Target (TGT)
- Walmart (WMT)
Competitive Landscape
Costco differentiates itself through its strict membership model, high-quality private label (Kirkland Signature), and focus on a curated, limited selection of high-turnover products. While Walmart (through Sam's Club) is a direct competitor in the warehouse club space, Amazon and Target compete across a broader range of product categories, often with more emphasis on online convenience and broader selection. Costco's advantage lies in its ability to offer exceptional value to its members, fostering strong loyalty and recurring revenue.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Costco has experienced robust historical growth, driven by its expansion of warehouse locations, increasing membership numbers, and strong comparable sales growth. The company has consistently opened new stores and entered new international markets.
Future Projections: Analysts generally project continued steady growth for Costco, driven by ongoing domestic and international expansion, increasing membership penetration, and the growing popularity of its private label products. Revenue growth is typically projected in the mid-to-high single digits, with EPS growth following a similar trajectory.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its e-commerce platform, enhancing its private-label offerings, investing in its fresh food departments, and optimizing its supply chain. The company is also focused on expanding its international footprint, particularly in markets like China.
Summary
Costco Wholesale Corp is a financially robust company with a resilient business model centered on membership fees and high-volume sales of quality goods at low prices. Its strong brand loyalty, efficient operations, and the success of its Kirkland Signature brand are significant strengths. The company needs to closely monitor the evolving e-commerce landscape and adapt to changing consumer preferences to maintain its competitive edge.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Costco Wholesale Corp. Investor Relations (SEC Filings)
- Financial news and data providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Yahoo Finance)
- Market research reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Stock market investments involve risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Costco Wholesale Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Issaquah, WA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1993-09-22 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Ron M. Vachris | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Discount Stores | Full time employees 341000 | Website https://www.costco.com |
Full time employees 341000 | Website https://www.costco.com | ||
Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom, Korea, Australia, Taiwan, China, Spain, France, Iceland, New Zealand, and Sweden. It offers merchandise, including sundries, dry groceries, candies, coolers, freezers, deli, liquor, and tobacco; non-food merchandise comprising appliances, small electronics, health and beauty aids, hardware, lawn and garden, sporting goods, tires, toys and seasonal, automotive, stamps, tickets, apparel, furniture, domestics, housewares, special order kiosks, and jewelry; and fresh food, such as meat, produce, service deli, and bakery products. The company is also involved in warehouse ancillary operations, which include gasoline, pharmacies, optical, food courts, hearing-aid centers, and tire installation centers. In addition, it engages in e-commerce, business centers, travel, and other businesses. The company was formerly known as Costco Companies, Inc. and changed its name to Costco Wholesale Corporation in August 1999. Costco Wholesale Corporation was founded in 1976 and is based in Issaquah, Washington.

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