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Qudian Inc (QD)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/08/2026: QD (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 162.21% | Avg. Invested days 57 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 510.24M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.88 | 1Y Target Price 1.1 |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.88 | 1Y Target Price 1.1 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 0.64 | 52 Weeks Range 1.64 - 3.34 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.64 - 3.34 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.24 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-06-16 | When - | Estimate - | Actual 0.12 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 169.26% | Operating Margin (TTM) -241.63% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -1.57% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.77% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.88 | Forward PE 3.81 | Enterprise Value -564411354 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.74 |
Enterprise Value -564411354 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.74 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.01 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.11 | Shares Outstanding 101635000 | Shares Floating 96722843 |
Shares Outstanding 101635000 | Shares Floating 96722843 | ||
Percent Insiders 15.26 | Percent Institutions 17.62 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Qudian Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Qudian Inc. was founded in April 2014 by Min Li. It emerged from a subsidiary of Alibaba Group, initially focusing on providing small unsecured loans to consumers in China. The company experienced rapid growth, particularly in the burgeoning online lending market, and went public on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in October 2017. However, the regulatory landscape for online lending in China has significantly shifted, leading Qudian to pivot its business strategy and divest from its core lending operations.
Core Business Areas
- Fintech and Lending (Historical): Qudian's original core business was providing online consumer credit products, primarily micro-loans, to users in China. This included products like "Daqianer," which offered instant cash loans. This segment has been significantly reduced due to regulatory changes.
- New Business Initiatives (Current): Following the shift away from traditional P2P lending, Qudian has been exploring and investing in new business areas. These have included investments in technology sectors, such as artificial intelligence and blockchain, and more recently, a focus on international markets and strategic investments, aiming to diversify its revenue streams.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by its founder and Chairman, Min Li. The specific details of the current executive team and board of directors can be found in their latest SEC filings. The organizational structure has likely evolved significantly as the company has transitioned its business focus.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Description: A micro-loan platform offering unsecured consumer credit to individuals in China. It was the flagship product that drove Qudian's initial growth. Market share data for this historical product is difficult to ascertain precisely given the dynamic and fragmented nature of the Chinese fintech market and regulatory crackdowns. Key competitors in this space included other online lending platforms and traditional financial institutions offering similar credit products. This product line has been largely phased out.
- Product Name 1: Daqianer (Historical Lending Platform)
- Description: Qudian is actively diversifying its revenue streams through investments in various sectors. Details on specific 'products' in this area are less defined and more akin to strategic investments and ventures. Market share is not applicable in a traditional product sense, but rather its success is measured by the performance of its portfolio companies or new ventures.
- Product Name 2: New Business Investments (Current)
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The fintech and online lending industry in China has undergone massive regulatory changes. The government has tightened regulations on P2P lending, data privacy, and capital requirements, leading to consolidation and a significant reduction in the number of players. Globally, the fintech sector remains dynamic, with ongoing innovation in areas like embedded finance, buy now pay later (BNPL), and digital payments, but also facing increasing scrutiny.
Positioning
Qudian's positioning has shifted dramatically. Historically, it was a major player in China's online consumer lending market. Currently, it is in a transitional phase, seeking to establish itself in new growth areas. Its competitive advantages from its past success in user acquisition and data management may be leveraged, but it faces challenges in establishing new market footholds.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for online lending in China was historically vast, but the regulatory environment has significantly reshaped it. For new ventures, the TAM depends on the specific sector Qudian invests in (e.g., AI, international markets, specific niche industries). Qudian's current positioning is that of an investor and developer in emerging sectors, aiming to capture value rather than directly serving a defined TAM with a single product.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong historical experience in user acquisition and operational management within the Chinese fintech landscape.
- Access to capital and a willingness to pivot business strategies.
- Founder's entrepreneurial drive and vision.
Weaknesses
- Significant business model disruption due to regulatory changes in China.
- Lack of established market presence in new venture areas.
- Reputational challenges stemming from its past business activities.
- Dependence on the success of new, unproven ventures.
Opportunities
- Growth in emerging technology sectors (AI, blockchain).
- Expansion into international markets.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions in promising industries.
- Leveraging existing technological infrastructure for new applications.
Threats
- Continued regulatory uncertainty in China and other potential markets.
- Intense competition in new business sectors.
- Economic downturns impacting consumer spending and investment returns.
- Execution risk in developing and scaling new business initiatives.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Due to Qudian's divestment from its core lending business, identifying direct 'key competitors' in a traditional sense is challenging. Its new ventures will compete in various nascent or established technology and investment sectors. Therefore, a comprehensive list of competitors for its *entire* market share across its diversified interests is not feasible with the information available.
- In its historical lending business, competitors included companies like Hexindai Ltd. (HX), Ppdai Group Inc. (PPDF), and numerous other P2P lending platforms in China, as well as traditional banks and financial institutions.
- In its new ventures, competitors would vary widely depending on the specific sector of investment.
Competitive Landscape
Qudian's competitive landscape has transformed. In its past, it faced intense competition in the Chinese fintech lending space. Now, it is entering new markets where it lacks established dominance. Its ability to leverage its capital and experience in operational management will be key to competing effectively in these new arenas.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Qudian exhibited exponential growth in its early years, driven by the booming Chinese online lending market. This growth was characterized by rapid user acquisition and loan origination volumes.
Future Projections: Future projections are highly speculative due to the company's pivot into new, less defined business areas. Analyst estimates, if available, would likely focus on the potential of its new investments rather than past performance. The success of its diversification strategy will determine its future growth trajectory.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have focused on divesting from its legacy lending business and exploring new investment avenues. This has included exploring opportunities in international markets, technology investments, and strategic partnerships. The exact nature and success of these initiatives are still unfolding.
Summary
Qudian Inc. has undergone a significant transformation, moving away from its original online lending business in China due to regulatory pressures. While it possesses experience in user acquisition and operational agility, it faces the challenge of establishing a strong presence in its newly chosen diversification areas. The success of its future hinges on its ability to execute its new strategies effectively and navigate the competitive landscapes of emerging industries, requiring careful monitoring of its investment performance and strategic pivots.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive. The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in the stock market carries inherent risks. Qudian Inc.'s business has undergone significant changes, and its future performance is subject to considerable uncertainty.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Qudian Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-10-18 | Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Min Luo | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Credit Services | Full time employees 262 | Website https://www.qudian.com |
Full time employees 262 | Website https://www.qudian.com | ||
Qudian Inc. operates as a consumer-oriented technology company in the People's Republic of China. The company provides borrowers with merchandise and cash installment credit services, credit facilitation services, transaction services, automobile financing services, ready-to-cook meal sales, educational services, and delivery services. It also provides technology development and services; research and development services; and delivery services. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Xiamen, the People's Republic of China.

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