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Upturn AI Summary - About
Avita Medical Ltd(RCEL)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RCEL
10/19/2026: RCEL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Avita Medical Ltd is a medical device company focused on regenerative medicine, primarily known for its RECELL system used to treat severe burns and other skin defects. The company has a leading position in point-of-care cell harvesting, offering a specialized alternative to traditional skin grafts. Its growth story is centered on US commercial expansion and securing label approvals for new clinical indications. However, risks include dependence on surgeon adoption, competition from large established players, and the need to achieve sustainable profitability. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate the volatility associated with scaling a niche medical technology business.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company is in a high-growth phase focused on capturing market share in the advanced wound care sector. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum depends on positive news regarding clinical adoption and earnings milestones. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company is not yet profitable, making traditional value metrics like P/E ratios inapplicable. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay dividends and retains all earnings for growth. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High volatility associated with clinical stage and growth companies makes this unsuitable for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Biotech and medical device stocks often experience sharp swings based on clinical results. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | High growth expectations are priced into the stock, leaving little margin for error in earnings. |
| Competition risk (traditional wound care) | High | Large competitors can use bundling and pricing power to defend market share. |
| Business quality | Medium | The technology is proprietary, but commercial execution remains the primary hurdle. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | No capital is returned to shareholders via dividends. |
| Execution risk | High | Success depends on the company's ability to drive widespread surgeon adoption and hospital procurement. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -27.36% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/19/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 403.29M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 13.41 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 13.41 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 321.4K shares | Beta 1.99 | 52 Weeks Range 3.22 - 13.73 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.22 - 13.73 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.43 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| RECELL System Revenue | Sale of the RECELL device and associated disposables for burn and skin treatment. | Revenue depends on how many hospitals and surgeons purchase and use the device for patient care. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 10.29 | Enterprise Value 375.38M | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.33 |
Enterprise Value 375.38M | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.33 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.96 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.17 | Shares Outstanding 30.93M | Shares Floating 30.46M |
Shares Outstanding 30.93M | Shares Floating 30.46M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.52 | Percent Institutions 16.32 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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