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Upturn AI SWOT - About
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc (REFI)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/23/2025: REFI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $17.62
1 Year Target Price $17.62
| 2 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -9.25% | Avg. Invested days 50 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 276.08M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.12 | 1Y Target Price 17.62 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.12 | 1Y Target Price 17.62 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 0.27 | 52 Weeks Range 11.90 - 14.71 | Updated Date 10/23/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 11.90 - 14.71 | Updated Date 10/23/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 14.42% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.84 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 67.22% | Operating Margin (TTM) 65.62% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.04% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.63% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.12 | Forward PE 7.12 | Enterprise Value 360930528 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.88 |
Enterprise Value 360930528 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.88 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.99 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 21074625 | Shares Floating 18036929 |
Shares Outstanding 21074625 | Shares Floating 18036929 | ||
Percent Insiders 14.38 | Percent Institutions 33.49 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) was formed to capitalize on the growing demand for real estate financing within the cannabis industry. While specific founding year data is unavailable, they've quickly established themselves as a key player in providing financing to cannabis operators. They went public in 2021.
Core Business Areas
- Real Estate Financing: Provides secured loans and other real estate financing solutions to state-licensed cannabis operators.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by a management team with experience in real estate finance and the cannabis industry. Specific details on their organizational structure are not publicly available.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Senior Secured Loans: Primarily offers senior secured loans to cannabis operators secured by real estate and other assets. Market share is difficult to pinpoint precisely due to the fragmented nature of the cannabis lending market, but Chicago Atlantic is a significant player. Competitors include AFC Gamma (AFCG) and Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR). Revenue is tied directly to the volume and interest rates of loans originated.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The cannabis industry is experiencing rapid growth but faces regulatory challenges and limited access to traditional banking services. This creates a demand for alternative financing solutions.
Positioning
Chicago Atlantic is positioned as a specialized lender focused on the cannabis real estate sector. Their competitive advantage lies in their deep understanding of the industry and their ability to navigate its regulatory complexities.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for cannabis real estate financing is estimated to be in the billions of dollars, and Chicago Atlantic is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market. Estimates place the US cannabis market TAM around $30 billion currently, with projections to exceed $50 billion by 2026.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Specialized Expertise in Cannabis Real Estate
- Strong Origination Capabilities
- High Yield Lending
- Experienced Management Team
Weaknesses
- Concentration in a Single Industry (Cannabis)
- Regulatory Risk
- Small Market Cap
- Higher cost of capital relative to other REITs
Opportunities
- Expansion into New Cannabis Markets
- Increasing Institutional Acceptance of Cannabis
- Growth of the Cannabis Industry
- Diversification into ancillary cannabis businesses.
Threats
- Federal Legalization of Cannabis (Increased Competition)
- Economic Downturn
- Changes in State Regulations
- Increased Competition from Other Lenders
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AFCG
- IIPR
Competitive Landscape
Chicago Atlantic has a focus on direct lending to cannabis operators, while IIPR operates more as a traditional REIT, owning the physical real estate and leasing it to cannabis companies. AFC Gamma has a broader lending mandate within the cannabis space. REFI's deep industry knowledge and origination capabilities are advantages, while its smaller size and single-industry focus are disadvantages.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth depends on past financial performance, analysis needs to be done on earnings calls and company data
Future Projections: Future projections will vary based on analyst estimates and market conditions, analysis needs to be done on earnings calls and company data
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives need to be found in recent earning calls and SEC filings, or any public press release from the company.
Summary
Chicago Atlantic is a specialized lender in the rapidly growing cannabis real estate market. Its expertise and high-yield lending strategy position it well, but the industry faces regulatory uncertainties. Focusing on diversifying the portfolio within cannabis to further the addressable market and continuing to generate high returns will be key. As competition increases, mitigating credit risk becomes paramount and is an area to watch closely. The company's small size relative to potential competitors introduces execution risks.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market share estimates are approximate and based on publicly available data. This analysis is based on available data and assumptions and may not be accurate.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Miami Beach, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-12-08 | Co-CEO & Director of Chicago Atlantic REIT Manager, LLC Mr. Anthony Robert Cappell | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees - | Website https://www.refi.reit |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.refi.reit | ||
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a commercial mortgage real estate investment trust in the United States. The company engages in originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its portfolio primarily includes first mortgage loans to established multi-state or single-state cannabis operators or property owners. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) and would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Miami Beach, Florida.

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