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Upturn stock rating
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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc (REFI)

Upturn stock rating
$13.1
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/23/2025: REFI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

4 Analysts rated it

Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.

1 Year Target Price $17.62

1 Year Target Price $17.62

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$17.62 Target price
52w Low $11.9
Current$13.1
52w High $14.71

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -9.25%
Avg. Invested days 50
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/23/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 276.08M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 7.12
1Y Target Price 17.62
Price to earnings Ratio 7.12
1Y Target Price 17.62
Volume (30-day avg) 4
Beta 0.27
52 Weeks Range 11.90 - 14.71
Updated Date 10/23/2025
52 Weeks Range 11.90 - 14.71
Updated Date 10/23/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 14.42%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.84

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 67.22%
Operating Margin (TTM) 65.62%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 9.04%
Return on Equity (TTM) 12.63%

Valuation

Trailing PE 7.12
Forward PE 7.12
Enterprise Value 360930528
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.88
Enterprise Value 360930528
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.88
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.99
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 21074625
Shares Floating 18036929
Shares Outstanding 21074625
Shares Floating 18036929
Percent Insiders 14.38
Percent Institutions 33.49

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) was formed to capitalize on the growing demand for real estate financing within the cannabis industry. While specific founding year data is unavailable, they've quickly established themselves as a key player in providing financing to cannabis operators. They went public in 2021.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Real Estate Financing: Provides secured loans and other real estate financing solutions to state-licensed cannabis operators.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The company is led by a management team with experience in real estate finance and the cannabis industry. Specific details on their organizational structure are not publicly available.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Senior Secured Loans: Primarily offers senior secured loans to cannabis operators secured by real estate and other assets. Market share is difficult to pinpoint precisely due to the fragmented nature of the cannabis lending market, but Chicago Atlantic is a significant player. Competitors include AFC Gamma (AFCG) and Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR). Revenue is tied directly to the volume and interest rates of loans originated.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The cannabis industry is experiencing rapid growth but faces regulatory challenges and limited access to traditional banking services. This creates a demand for alternative financing solutions.

Positioning

Chicago Atlantic is positioned as a specialized lender focused on the cannabis real estate sector. Their competitive advantage lies in their deep understanding of the industry and their ability to navigate its regulatory complexities.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for cannabis real estate financing is estimated to be in the billions of dollars, and Chicago Atlantic is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market. Estimates place the US cannabis market TAM around $30 billion currently, with projections to exceed $50 billion by 2026.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Specialized Expertise in Cannabis Real Estate
  • Strong Origination Capabilities
  • High Yield Lending
  • Experienced Management Team

Weaknesses

  • Concentration in a Single Industry (Cannabis)
  • Regulatory Risk
  • Small Market Cap
  • Higher cost of capital relative to other REITs

Opportunities

  • Expansion into New Cannabis Markets
  • Increasing Institutional Acceptance of Cannabis
  • Growth of the Cannabis Industry
  • Diversification into ancillary cannabis businesses.

Threats

  • Federal Legalization of Cannabis (Increased Competition)
  • Economic Downturn
  • Changes in State Regulations
  • Increased Competition from Other Lenders

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • AFCG
  • IIPR

Competitive Landscape

Chicago Atlantic has a focus on direct lending to cannabis operators, while IIPR operates more as a traditional REIT, owning the physical real estate and leasing it to cannabis companies. AFC Gamma has a broader lending mandate within the cannabis space. REFI's deep industry knowledge and origination capabilities are advantages, while its smaller size and single-industry focus are disadvantages.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth depends on past financial performance, analysis needs to be done on earnings calls and company data

Future Projections: Future projections will vary based on analyst estimates and market conditions, analysis needs to be done on earnings calls and company data

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives need to be found in recent earning calls and SEC filings, or any public press release from the company.

Summary

Chicago Atlantic is a specialized lender in the rapidly growing cannabis real estate market. Its expertise and high-yield lending strategy position it well, but the industry faces regulatory uncertainties. Focusing on diversifying the portfolio within cannabis to further the addressable market and continuing to generate high returns will be key. As competition increases, mitigating credit risk becomes paramount and is an area to watch closely. The company's small size relative to potential competitors introduces execution risks.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings
  • Analyst reports
  • Industry publications

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market share estimates are approximate and based on publicly available data. This analysis is based on available data and assumptions and may not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Miami Beach, FL, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-12-08
Co-CEO & Director of Chicago Atlantic REIT Manager, LLC Mr. Anthony Robert Cappell
Sector Real Estate
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Full time employees -
Full time employees -

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a commercial mortgage real estate investment trust in the United States. The company engages in originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its portfolio primarily includes first mortgage loans to established multi-state or single-state cannabis operators or property owners. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) and would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Miami Beach, Florida.