RUN official logo RUN
RUN 3-star rating from Upturn Advisory
Sunrun Inc (RUN) company logo

Sunrun Inc (RUN)

Sunrun Inc (RUN) 3-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$19.42
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/23/2025: RUN (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 3 star rating for performance

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Number of Analysts

4 star rating from financial analysts

24 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $22.79

1 Year Target Price $22.79

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$22.79 Target price
52w Low $5.38
Current$19.42
52w High $22.44

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 27.3%
Avg. Invested days 31
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 12/23/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.70B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 22.79
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 22.79
Volume (30-day avg) 24
Beta 2.35
52 Weeks Range 5.38 - 22.44
Updated Date 12/23/2025
52 Weeks Range 5.38 - 22.44
Updated Date 12/23/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -11.33

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -106.5%
Operating Margin (TTM) 0.5%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -1.01%
Return on Equity (TTM) -72.51%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 11.9
Enterprise Value 18704355558
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.03
Enterprise Value 18704355558
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.03
Enterprise Value to Revenue 8.07
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.58
Shares Outstanding 232041826
Shares Floating 212561915
Shares Outstanding 232041826
Shares Floating 212561915
Percent Insiders 3.19
Percent Institutions 106.96

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Sunrun Inc

Sunrun Inc(RUN) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Sunrun Inc. was founded in 2007 by Edward Fenster, Lynn Jurich, and Bob Weigmann. The company pioneered the residential solar service agreement model, making solar energy more accessible and affordable for homeowners. Key milestones include its IPO in 2015, significant growth in customer acquisition, and strategic acquisitions like that of Vivint Solar in 2020, which significantly expanded its market presence and operational scale.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Residential Solar Installation and Financing: Sunrun designs, installs, finances, and maintains solar energy systems and battery storage for homeowners. They offer various financing options, including solar service agreements (leases and Power Purchase Agreements) and solar loans, allowing customers to benefit from solar without upfront costs.
  • Energy Storage Solutions: Sunrun offers home battery storage systems, often paired with solar installations, to provide backup power during outages and enable grid services, enhancing energy independence and grid stability.
  • Operations and Maintenance: The company provides ongoing maintenance and monitoring services for installed solar systems, ensuring optimal performance and customer satisfaction.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Sunrun is led by Co-CEOs Lynn Jurich and Jonathan W. Wolff. The company operates with a decentralized sales and installation model, leveraging a network of regional teams and partners across the United States. Its organizational structure is designed to manage a large-scale residential solar installation and service operation.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Competitors: Tesla, SunPower, Freedom Forever, local solar installers
  • Description: Customers pay a fixed monthly fee for the electricity generated by the solar system installed on their roof. Sunrun owns and maintains the system. This is Sunrun's core offering, attracting customers seeking zero-down solar solutions. Competitors include other large national installers and local solar companies.
  • Market Share Data: While specific product-level market share is not publicly disclosed, Sunrun is a leader in the residential solar installer market.
  • Product Name 1: Solar Service Agreements (Leases & PPAs)
  • Competitors: Loan providers, banks, credit unions, other solar companies offering loans
  • Description: Customers purchase a solar system outright and finance it through a loan. Sunrun offers a loan product that allows customers to own the system and claim tax incentives. Competitors include banks, credit unions, and dedicated solar loan providers.
  • Market Share Data: Less dominant than service agreements, but growing as a financing option.
  • Product Name 2: Solar Loans
  • Competitors: Tesla, LG Energy Solution, Sonnen, other solar installers
  • Description: Battery systems that store excess solar energy for use during grid outages or peak demand times. This product enhances energy resilience and can be integrated with solar installations. Competitors range from battery manufacturers to other solar installers offering storage solutions.
  • Market Share Data: Growing segment within the residential energy market.
  • Product Name 3: Home Battery Storage Systems (e.g., Tesla Powerwall, LG Chem)

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The residential solar industry in the US is characterized by strong growth driven by falling solar panel costs, increasing environmental awareness, government incentives (like the Investment Tax Credit), and a desire for energy independence and cost savings. The market is competitive, with both large national players and smaller regional companies.

Positioning

Sunrun is one of the largest residential solar installers in the United States. Its competitive advantages lie in its scale, established operational expertise, strong brand recognition, and innovative financing models that have made solar accessible to a broad customer base. The acquisition of Vivint Solar further solidified its market leadership.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for residential solar and energy storage is substantial and continues to grow as more homeowners adopt clean energy solutions. Estimates vary, but the US residential solar market alone is valued in the tens of billions of dollars annually. Sunrun is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM due to its scale, product offerings, and customer acquisition capabilities.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Market leadership and scale in residential solar installation
  • Diverse and innovative financing options (leases, PPAs, loans)
  • Strong brand recognition and customer trust
  • Extensive operational experience and expertise
  • Integrated energy storage solutions
  • Synergies and expanded reach from the Vivint Solar acquisition

Weaknesses

  • High capital intensity and reliance on debt financing
  • Sensitivity to changes in government incentives and regulations
  • Operational complexity and potential for installation delays
  • Customer acquisition costs can be significant
  • Profitability can be impacted by fluctuating interest rates and material costs

Opportunities

  • Continued growth in renewable energy adoption driven by climate concerns
  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Increasing demand for energy storage and grid services
  • Potential for smart home energy management integration
  • Partnerships with utilities and home builders
  • Electrification of transportation and increasing demand for home EV charging solutions

Threats

  • Increased competition from established players and new entrants
  • Changes in net metering policies and utility rate structures
  • Economic downturns impacting consumer spending on home improvements
  • Supply chain disruptions for solar panels and battery components
  • Interest rate hikes increasing the cost of capital
  • Regulatory hurdles and permitting complexities

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Tesla Inc (TSLA)
  • SunPower Corporation (SPWR)
  • Vivint Solar (now part of Sunrun)
  • Freedom Forever LLC (private)
  • ADT Inc (ADT) - Solar Segment
  • NRG Energy (NRG) - Residential Solar

Competitive Landscape

Sunrun benefits from its scale, established brand, and broad reach. Tesla offers a strong brand and integrated ecosystem. SunPower is known for its high-efficiency panels and premium offerings. Freedom Forever is a significant player in the installer network model. The landscape is dynamic, with companies competing on price, financing options, technology, and customer service. Sunrun's advantage lies in its comprehensive service and financing, aiming to make solar accessible to a wide range of homeowners.

Major Acquisitions

Vivint Solar

  • Year: 2020
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 3100
  • Strategic Rationale: To create the leading national residential solar provider, significantly expanding Sunrun's scale, customer base, and geographic footprint, and realizing cost synergies.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Sunrun has experienced substantial historical growth, marked by a consistent increase in deployed solar capacity (megawatts) and a growing base of residential customers. This growth has been fueled by organic expansion and strategic acquisitions.

Future Projections: Analyst projections for Sunrun typically forecast continued growth in customer deployments and revenue. The company's ability to achieve profitability and positive cash flow in the coming years is a key focus of future projections. Growth is expected to be driven by the increasing adoption of solar and storage, coupled with effective cost management and operational efficiencies.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely focused on improving operational efficiency, expanding its energy storage offerings, exploring new financing models, and potentially entering new service areas or market segments to drive continued customer acquisition and revenue growth.

Summary

Sunrun Inc. is a dominant player in the US residential solar market, leveraging its scale and innovative financing models to drive growth. Its strengths lie in market leadership, brand recognition, and comprehensive service offerings, including energy storage. However, the company faces challenges with capital intensity, profitability, and sensitivity to regulatory changes. Continued success hinges on its ability to manage costs effectively, secure favorable financing, and capitalize on the expanding demand for clean energy solutions.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Investor Relations Filings (e.g., 10-K, 10-Q)
  • Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Wall Street Journal)
  • Industry Research Reports
  • Company Website
  • Market Data Providers (for competitor information and TAM estimates)

Disclaimers:

This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Data is based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive or perfectly up-to-date. Market share figures are estimates and can fluctuate. Specific financial metrics require direct consultation of company filings. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Information icon warning about potential inaccuracies or hallucinations in Upturn AI-generated summaries AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Sunrun Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters San Francisco, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2015-08-05
CEO & Director Ms. Mary Grace Powell
Sector Technology
Industry Solar
Full time employees 9751
Full time employees 9751

Sunrun Inc. designs, develops, installs, sells, owns, and maintains residential solar energy systems in the United States. It sells solar energy systems and products, such as panels and racking; and solar leads generated to customers. In addition, the company offers battery storage along with solar energy systems; and sells services to commercial developers through multi-family and new homes. Its primary customers are residential homeowners. The company markets and sells its products through direct-to-consumer approach across online, retail, mass media, digital media, canvassing, field marketing, and referral channels, as well as its partner network. Sunrun Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.