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Sunrun Inc (RUN)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/30/2025: RUN (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $21.03
1 Year Target Price $21.03
| 8 | Strong Buy | 
| 5 | Buy | 
| 9 | Hold | 
| 1 | Sell | 
| 1 | Strong Sell | 
Analysis of Past Performance
|  Type  Stock |  Historic Profit  45.8% |  Avg. Invested days  31 |  Today’s Advisory  Consider higher Upturn Star rating  | 
|  Upturn Star Rating   |  Upturn Advisory Performance   3.0 |  Stock Returns Performance   3.0 | 
|  Profits based on simulation |  Last Close 10/30/2025 | 
Key Highlights
|  Company Size  Mid-Cap Stock  |  Market Capitalization  4.64B  USD  |  Price to earnings Ratio  -  |  1Y Target Price  21.03  | 
|  Price to earnings Ratio  -  |  1Y Target Price  21.03  | ||
|  Volume (30-day avg)  24  |  Beta  2.42  |  52 Weeks Range  5.38 - 22.44  |  Updated Date  10/30/2025  | 
|  52 Weeks Range  5.38 - 22.44  |  Updated Date  10/30/2025  | ||
|  Dividends yield (FY)  -  |  Basic EPS (TTM)  -11.76  | 
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
|  Report Date  2025-10-29  |  When  -  |  Estimate  0.1216  |  Actual  -  | 
Profitability
|  Profit Margin  -120.59%  |  Operating Margin (TTM)  -19.72%  | 
Management Effectiveness
|  Return on Assets (TTM)  -1.43%  |  Return on Equity (TTM)  -76.01%  | 
Valuation
|  Trailing PE  -  |  Forward PE  8.99  |  Enterprise Value  17935755753  |  Price to Sales(TTM)  2.18  | 
|  Enterprise Value  17935755753  |  Price to Sales(TTM)  2.18  | ||
|  Enterprise Value to Revenue  8.42  |  Enterprise Value to EBITDA  -8.58  |  Shares Outstanding  230732572  |  Shares Floating  198517690  | 
|  Shares Outstanding  230732572  |  Shares Floating  198517690  | ||
|  Percent Insiders  3.2  |  Percent Institutions  106.35  | 
 Upturn AI SWOT
 Upturn AI SWOT 
Sunrun Inc

Company Overview
 History and Background
 History and Background 
Sunrun Inc. was founded in 2007 by Edward Fenster, Lynn Jurich, and Nat Kreamer. It pioneered the 'solar-as-a-service' model, allowing homeowners to access solar energy without the upfront cost of purchasing a system. Since its inception, Sunrun has grown to become a leading residential solar, storage, and energy services company in the United States.
 Core Business Areas
 Core Business Areas 
- Residential Solar Systems: Sunrun designs, installs, and maintains solar energy systems for residential customers. This includes rooftop solar panels and related equipment.
- Energy Storage Solutions: Sunrun offers energy storage solutions, primarily battery storage systems, to enable customers to store solar energy for later use, enhancing energy independence and grid resilience.
- Energy Services: Sunrun provides ongoing energy services, including monitoring, maintenance, and performance guarantees for their solar and storage systems.
- Grid Services: Sunrun leverages its distributed energy resources to provide grid services, such as demand response and frequency regulation, to utilities.
 Leadership and Structure
 Leadership and Structure 
Mary Powell serves as CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with a board of directors overseeing the management team and various departments handling sales, operations, technology, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
 Key Offerings
 Key Offerings 
- Market Share (%): 12
- Rooftop Solar Panels: Sunrun offers a range of solar panel options, sourced from various manufacturers. Sunrun is the second largest installer. Competitors include Tesla and ADT Solar. Market share estimates range from 11-13%.
- Brightbox Battery Storage: Sunrun's Brightbox is a home battery storage system that allows homeowners to store solar energy and use it during power outages or peak demand periods. Competitors include Tesla Powerwall, LG Chem, and Generac. Market share is growing rapidly but remains smaller than Tesla's.
- Market Share (%): 10
- Market Share (%): 50
- Solar as a Service: Sunrun's core offering that removes the upfront cost of installing panels. Market share is falling due to new financing options becoming available and increasing interest rates.
Market Dynamics
 Industry Overview
 Industry Overview 
The residential solar industry is experiencing strong growth, driven by increasing environmental awareness, government incentives, and declining solar panel costs. The market is becoming increasingly competitive, with various players offering different financing options and technology solutions.
Positioning
Sunrun is a leading player in the residential solar market, known for its solar-as-a-service model and focus on customer satisfaction. The company faces competition from other large installers, as well as smaller regional players.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The residential solar TAM is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Sunrun is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market, but faces challenges in maintaining its market share amidst increasing competition and shifting consumer preferences.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and reputation
- Extensive installation network and expertise
- Innovative financing options
- Established partnerships with utilities and retailers
Weaknesses
- High debt levels
- Negative profit margin and earnings
- Dependence on government incentives
- Complexity of sales and installation process
Opportunities
- Growing demand for solar energy and energy storage
- Expansion into new markets and services
- Development of new technologies and partnerships
- Increasing adoption of electric vehicles and smart home technologies
Threats
- Changes in government policies and regulations
- Increased competition from other solar providers
- Rising interest rates and financing costs
- Economic downturn and reduced consumer spending
Competitors and Market Share
 Key Competitors
 Key Competitors 
- TSLA
- ENPH
- SEDG
- NOVT
Competitive Landscape
Sunrun competes with other large national installers, as well as regional and local players. Tesla has become a major competitor. Sunrun's competitive advantage lies in its established brand, extensive network, and innovative financing options. Disadvantages include high debt and focus on recurring revenue subscriptions which do not appeal to everyone
Major Acquisitions
Vivint Solar
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 3200
- Strategic Rationale: Consolidate market share and expand geographic reach in the residential solar market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Sunrun has experienced significant growth in installed solar capacity over the past decade.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth in revenue, driven by the increasing demand for solar energy and energy storage. Future profitability is uncertain.
Recent Initiatives: Sunrun has focused on expanding its energy storage offerings, developing new financing solutions, and strengthening its partnerships with utilities and retailers.
Summary
Sunrun is a major player in residential solar facing both opportunities and challenges. Its growth is fueled by increasing demand for renewable energy, but profitability remains a hurdle. High debt and competition require careful management. Their strength lies in brand recognition, while dependence on incentives poses a risk.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (SEC)
- Financial news sources (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg)
- Industry reports and market research
- Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market share data is estimated and may vary. Financial data is subject to change.
 AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
 AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate. 
 Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
 Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current. 
 Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
 Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data. 
 AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
 AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action. 
About Sunrun Inc
|  Exchange  NASDAQ  |  Headquaters  San Francisco, CA, United States  | ||
|  IPO Launch date  2015-08-05  |  CEO & Director  Ms. Mary Grace Powell  | ||
|  Sector  Technology  |  Industry  Solar  |  Full time employees  11058  |  Website  https://www.sunrun.com  | 
|  Full time employees  11058  |  Website  https://www.sunrun.com  | ||
Sunrun Inc. designs, develops, installs, sells, owns, and maintains residential solar energy systems in the United States. It sells solar energy systems and products, such as panels and racking; and solar leads generated to customers. In addition, the company offers battery storage along with solar energy systems; and sells services to commercial developers through multi-family and new homes. Its primary customers are residential homeowners. The company markets and sells its products through direct-to-consumer approach across online, retail, mass media, digital media, canvassing, field marketing, and referral channels, as well as its partner network. Sunrun Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.


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