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Sunrun Inc (RUN)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/23/2025: RUN (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $22.79
1 Year Target Price $22.79
| 8 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 9 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 27.3% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.70B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 22.79 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 22.79 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 24 | Beta 2.35 | 52 Weeks Range 5.38 - 22.44 | Updated Date 12/23/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 5.38 - 22.44 | Updated Date 12/23/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -11.33 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -106.5% | Operating Margin (TTM) 0.5% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -1.01% | Return on Equity (TTM) -72.51% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 11.9 | Enterprise Value 18704355558 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.03 |
Enterprise Value 18704355558 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.03 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 8.07 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.58 | Shares Outstanding 232041826 | Shares Floating 212561915 |
Shares Outstanding 232041826 | Shares Floating 212561915 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.19 | Percent Institutions 106.96 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Sunrun Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Sunrun Inc. was founded in 2007 by Edward Fenster, Lynn Jurich, and Bob Weigmann. The company pioneered the residential solar service agreement model, making solar energy more accessible and affordable for homeowners. Key milestones include its IPO in 2015, significant growth in customer acquisition, and strategic acquisitions like that of Vivint Solar in 2020, which significantly expanded its market presence and operational scale.
Core Business Areas
- Residential Solar Installation and Financing: Sunrun designs, installs, finances, and maintains solar energy systems and battery storage for homeowners. They offer various financing options, including solar service agreements (leases and Power Purchase Agreements) and solar loans, allowing customers to benefit from solar without upfront costs.
- Energy Storage Solutions: Sunrun offers home battery storage systems, often paired with solar installations, to provide backup power during outages and enable grid services, enhancing energy independence and grid stability.
- Operations and Maintenance: The company provides ongoing maintenance and monitoring services for installed solar systems, ensuring optimal performance and customer satisfaction.
Leadership and Structure
Sunrun is led by Co-CEOs Lynn Jurich and Jonathan W. Wolff. The company operates with a decentralized sales and installation model, leveraging a network of regional teams and partners across the United States. Its organizational structure is designed to manage a large-scale residential solar installation and service operation.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Competitors: Tesla, SunPower, Freedom Forever, local solar installers
- Description: Customers pay a fixed monthly fee for the electricity generated by the solar system installed on their roof. Sunrun owns and maintains the system. This is Sunrun's core offering, attracting customers seeking zero-down solar solutions. Competitors include other large national installers and local solar companies.
- Market Share Data: While specific product-level market share is not publicly disclosed, Sunrun is a leader in the residential solar installer market.
- Product Name 1: Solar Service Agreements (Leases & PPAs)
- Competitors: Loan providers, banks, credit unions, other solar companies offering loans
- Description: Customers purchase a solar system outright and finance it through a loan. Sunrun offers a loan product that allows customers to own the system and claim tax incentives. Competitors include banks, credit unions, and dedicated solar loan providers.
- Market Share Data: Less dominant than service agreements, but growing as a financing option.
- Product Name 2: Solar Loans
- Competitors: Tesla, LG Energy Solution, Sonnen, other solar installers
- Description: Battery systems that store excess solar energy for use during grid outages or peak demand times. This product enhances energy resilience and can be integrated with solar installations. Competitors range from battery manufacturers to other solar installers offering storage solutions.
- Market Share Data: Growing segment within the residential energy market.
- Product Name 3: Home Battery Storage Systems (e.g., Tesla Powerwall, LG Chem)
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The residential solar industry in the US is characterized by strong growth driven by falling solar panel costs, increasing environmental awareness, government incentives (like the Investment Tax Credit), and a desire for energy independence and cost savings. The market is competitive, with both large national players and smaller regional companies.
Positioning
Sunrun is one of the largest residential solar installers in the United States. Its competitive advantages lie in its scale, established operational expertise, strong brand recognition, and innovative financing models that have made solar accessible to a broad customer base. The acquisition of Vivint Solar further solidified its market leadership.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for residential solar and energy storage is substantial and continues to grow as more homeowners adopt clean energy solutions. Estimates vary, but the US residential solar market alone is valued in the tens of billions of dollars annually. Sunrun is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM due to its scale, product offerings, and customer acquisition capabilities.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Market leadership and scale in residential solar installation
- Diverse and innovative financing options (leases, PPAs, loans)
- Strong brand recognition and customer trust
- Extensive operational experience and expertise
- Integrated energy storage solutions
- Synergies and expanded reach from the Vivint Solar acquisition
Weaknesses
- High capital intensity and reliance on debt financing
- Sensitivity to changes in government incentives and regulations
- Operational complexity and potential for installation delays
- Customer acquisition costs can be significant
- Profitability can be impacted by fluctuating interest rates and material costs
Opportunities
- Continued growth in renewable energy adoption driven by climate concerns
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Increasing demand for energy storage and grid services
- Potential for smart home energy management integration
- Partnerships with utilities and home builders
- Electrification of transportation and increasing demand for home EV charging solutions
Threats
- Increased competition from established players and new entrants
- Changes in net metering policies and utility rate structures
- Economic downturns impacting consumer spending on home improvements
- Supply chain disruptions for solar panels and battery components
- Interest rate hikes increasing the cost of capital
- Regulatory hurdles and permitting complexities
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Tesla Inc (TSLA)
- SunPower Corporation (SPWR)
- Vivint Solar (now part of Sunrun)
- Freedom Forever LLC (private)
- ADT Inc (ADT) - Solar Segment
- NRG Energy (NRG) - Residential Solar
Competitive Landscape
Sunrun benefits from its scale, established brand, and broad reach. Tesla offers a strong brand and integrated ecosystem. SunPower is known for its high-efficiency panels and premium offerings. Freedom Forever is a significant player in the installer network model. The landscape is dynamic, with companies competing on price, financing options, technology, and customer service. Sunrun's advantage lies in its comprehensive service and financing, aiming to make solar accessible to a wide range of homeowners.
Major Acquisitions
Vivint Solar
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 3100
- Strategic Rationale: To create the leading national residential solar provider, significantly expanding Sunrun's scale, customer base, and geographic footprint, and realizing cost synergies.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Sunrun has experienced substantial historical growth, marked by a consistent increase in deployed solar capacity (megawatts) and a growing base of residential customers. This growth has been fueled by organic expansion and strategic acquisitions.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Sunrun typically forecast continued growth in customer deployments and revenue. The company's ability to achieve profitability and positive cash flow in the coming years is a key focus of future projections. Growth is expected to be driven by the increasing adoption of solar and storage, coupled with effective cost management and operational efficiencies.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely focused on improving operational efficiency, expanding its energy storage offerings, exploring new financing models, and potentially entering new service areas or market segments to drive continued customer acquisition and revenue growth.
Summary
Sunrun Inc. is a dominant player in the US residential solar market, leveraging its scale and innovative financing models to drive growth. Its strengths lie in market leadership, brand recognition, and comprehensive service offerings, including energy storage. However, the company faces challenges with capital intensity, profitability, and sensitivity to regulatory changes. Continued success hinges on its ability to manage costs effectively, secure favorable financing, and capitalize on the expanding demand for clean energy solutions.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations Filings (e.g., 10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Wall Street Journal)
- Industry Research Reports
- Company Website
- Market Data Providers (for competitor information and TAM estimates)
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Data is based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive or perfectly up-to-date. Market share figures are estimates and can fluctuate. Specific financial metrics require direct consultation of company filings. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Sunrun Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-08-05 | CEO & Director Ms. Mary Grace Powell | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Solar | Full time employees 9751 | Website https://www.sunrun.com |
Full time employees 9751 | Website https://www.sunrun.com | ||
Sunrun Inc. designs, develops, installs, sells, owns, and maintains residential solar energy systems in the United States. It sells solar energy systems and products, such as panels and racking; and solar leads generated to customers. In addition, the company offers battery storage along with solar energy systems; and sells services to commercial developers through multi-family and new homes. Its primary customers are residential homeowners. The company markets and sells its products through direct-to-consumer approach across online, retail, mass media, digital media, canvassing, field marketing, and referral channels, as well as its partner network. Sunrun Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

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