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Upturn AI Summary - About
Rayonier Inc(RYN)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RYN
10/26/2026: RYN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Rayonier Inc is a specialized timberland real estate investment trust (REIT) that manages highly productive forest assets in the U.S. and New Zealand. The company's strengths lie in its high-quality land portfolio and its ability to capture value through opportunistic real estate development. Its primary investment story centers on consistent income potential and long-term asset appreciation. However, investors must consider risks related to cyclical housing markets, interest rate sensitivity, and environmental hazards. Rayonier generally suits income-focused and long-term value investors. Key developments to monitor include shifts in housing start data, log export pricing trends, and progress in monetizing carbon sequestration opportunities.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Timberland growth is slow and tied to biological cycles rather than rapid scaling. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock tends to be driven by macro-timber cycles rather than short-term price momentum. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Long-term investors may find value in the underlying land assets relative to the current share price. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The REIT structure provides consistent income distributions attractive to dividend-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While assets are tangible, the stock is subject to real estate and commodity price volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | Log prices are subject to global commodity and housing market fluctuations. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Timberland valuations are sensitive to interest rates and discount rate changes. |
| Competition risk (Timber industry) | Medium | Competition for high-quality timberland can limit acquisition growth opportunities. |
| Business quality | Strong | Ownership of productive land assets provides a durable and tangible foundation for value. |
| Dividend income | Medium / high | Dividends are dependent on harvest levels and asset sales which can vary year-over-year. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully timing land development and sales is complex and requires specialized expertise. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -21.61% | Avg. Invested days 41 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/26/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.67B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 41.22 | 1Y Target Price 23.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio 41.22 | 1Y Target Price 23.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.8M shares | Beta 0.92 | 52 Weeks Range 17.71 - 23.90 | Updated Date 10/26/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 17.71 - 23.90 | Updated Date 10/26/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.71% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.46 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Timber Harvesting | Sale of sawlogs and pulpwood from US and NZ forests. | This is the core, recurring cash-flow driver of the business. |
| Land Sales | Strategic sale of land for development (HBU) or conservation. | This segment provides episodic 'lumpy' earnings that boost total returns. |
| Geography | US South, US Pacific Northwest, and New Zealand. | Geographic diversity helps hedge against local market downturns and weather events. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 41.22 | Forward PE 32.47 | Enterprise Value 6.99B | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.86 |
Enterprise Value 6.99B | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.86 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.22 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 26.69 | Shares Outstanding 297.57M | Shares Floating 276.98M |
Shares Outstanding 297.57M | Shares Floating 276.98M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.97 | Percent Institutions 93.34 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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