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Upturn AI Summary - About
Safehold Inc(SAFE)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SAFE
09/28/2026: SAFE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Safehold Inc is a unique REIT that provides modern ground lease capital to property owners, essentially acting as the landlord for the land under buildings. Its main strength lies in generating long-duration, inflation-protected cash flows from institutional-quality assets. The primary growth story revolves around the continued adoption of its ground lease model by developers and property owners seeking optimized capital stacks. However, the company faces material risks, particularly from interest rate volatility and commercial real estate market cycles, which can impact valuations. Safehold may best suit investors looking for long-term income who are comfortable with the inherent risks of real estate finance and should monitor ongoing capital allocation and debt management developments.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers a unique growth story but faces headwinds from current macroeconomic interest rate cycles. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | Current stock trends remain sensitive to interest rate volatility rather than purely technical momentum signals. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | While assets may be discounted, evaluating the value of long-term ground leases requires specialized real estate expertise. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | As a REIT with recurring cash flows, it serves as a potential component for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company's exposure to interest rate fluctuations and real estate market cycles introduces meaningful volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock is susceptible to swings in interest rate expectations and REIT market sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuations are heavily dependent on capitalization rates and long-term economic assumptions. |
| Competition risk (alternative capital providers) | Medium | Other private and public lenders can compete for the same capital allocation opportunities. |
| Business quality | Medium / high | The company owns high-quality land assets, but the business model is capital-intensive. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are reliable but subject to REIT-specific regulatory and operational requirements. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully integrating the post-merger structure and maintaining growth requires careful capital management. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -11.8% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/28/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 868.21M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.61 | 1Y Target Price 17.9 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.61 | 1Y Target Price 17.9 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 415.4K shares | Beta 1.79 | 52 Weeks Range 11.93 - 17.45 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 11.93 - 17.45 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.72% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.61 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Ground Lease Revenue | Recurring rental payments from long-term land lease contracts. | Safehold makes money by acting as a landlord for the land under buildings, receiving steady rent for many decades. |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.61 | Forward PE 8.12 | Enterprise Value 5.46B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.99 |
Enterprise Value 5.46B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.99 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.01 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.87 | Shares Outstanding 70.82M | Shares Floating 54.64M |
Shares Outstanding 70.82M | Shares Floating 54.64M | ||
Percent Insiders 22.93 | Percent Institutions 76.14 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Safehold Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-06-22 | CEO & Chairman Mr. Jay S. Sugarman | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Diversified | Full time employees 72 | Website https://www.safeholdinc.com |
Full time employees 72 | Website https://www.safeholdinc.com | ||
Safehold Inc. is revolutionizing real estate ownership by providing a new and better way for owners to unlock the value of the land beneath their buildings. Having created the modern ground lease industry in 2017, Safehold continues to help owners of high quality multifamily, affordable housing, office, industrial, hospitality, student housing, life science and mixed-use properties generate higher returns with less risk. The Company, which is taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT), seeks to deliver safe, growing income and long-term capital appreciation to its shareholders. Safehold Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is based in New York, United States.
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