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Stardust Power Inc.(SDST)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$0.06
10/08/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SDST

10/08/2026: SDST (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Stardust Power Inc. is a development-stage entity aiming to establish a commercial-scale lithium refinery in the United States to support the domestic electric vehicle supply chain. The company’s primary investment story centers on capturing the structural demand for battery-grade lithium hydroxide within North America. While its focus on localizing the supply chain is a strategic strength, the company remains pre-revenue and faces significant risks, including construction execution, funding requirements, and commodity price volatility. This stock is highly speculative and best suited for growth-oriented investors with high risk tolerance. Investors should monitor project construction timelines, federal incentive developments, and shifts in the global lithium market closely.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers potential high growth if successful, but carries extreme binary risk during the development phase.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock lacks the consistent trading volume and positive trend signals typically required for momentum strategies.
Value investorWeak fitThe company has no earnings or cash flow, making standard valuation metrics inapplicable.
Dividend investorWeak fitStardust Power is a speculative development project and does not provide income for dividend investors.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh execution, commodity, and financial risks make this unsuitable for low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is susceptible to large price swings due to its small market capitalization and development-stage status.
Valuation riskHighWithout current revenue or earnings, it is difficult to justify valuations based on fundamental performance metrics.
Competition risk (Lithium producers)Medium / highEstablished players have massive scale and cost advantages that the company must overcome.
Business qualityLowThe company is currently a project-in-waiting rather than a cash-generating enterprise.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThe company is not positioned to provide any income to shareholders.
Execution riskHighSuccess depends entirely on the timely construction and profitable operation of a large, complex industrial facility.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -20.31%
Avg. Invested days 26
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/08/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
SDST receives a 2-star rating, reflecting soft or weak scores across the available pillars. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
SDST has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+33.8%) is partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin 0.0%), slightly negative revenue growth (+0.0%), soft profitability (net margin 0.0%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
SDST's financial health is supported by strong efficiency, including operating-expense and cost-of-revenue discipline (opex 0.0% of revenue). Profitability is weak (1 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is SDST's strongest growth driver at +33.8% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, free-cash-flow growth (+32.9%, solid) is also solid, while revenue growth (+0.0%, slightly negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 8.4% (soft) and 28.1% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable (soft). Insider ownership of 26.64% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 0.49%
Cetera Investment Advisers 0.36%
Luminus Management, LLC 0.34%
Geode Capital Management, LLC 0.18%
BRC Group Holdings Inc 0.10%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
SDST generates approximately $-0 of gross profit, $-0 of operating income, and $-0 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and strong capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.00%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
SDST has a relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Low VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze Risk

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.04M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 20
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 20
Volume (30-day avg) 51.7M shares
Beta 0.69
52 Weeks Range 0.06 - 7.67
Updated Date 10/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 0.06 - 7.67
Updated Date 10/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.64

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Lithium RefiningProcessing lithium feedstock into battery-grade lithium hydroxide.The company plans to earn money by refining raw materials into high-value battery components.
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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 4.49M
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value 4.49M
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value to Revenue -
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 40.58M
Shares Floating 11.42M
Shares Outstanding 40.58M
Shares Floating 11.42M
Percent Insiders 26.64
Percent Institutions 8.38

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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