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Upturn AI SWOT - About
Origin Agritech Ltd (SEED)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: SEED (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
Analysts rated it
Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.
1 Year Target Price $0
1 Year Target Price $0
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 62.67% | Avg. Invested days 51 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 06/30/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.47M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 1.8 | 52 Weeks Range 0.98 - 4.99 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.98 - 4.99 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.08 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -6.65% | Operating Margin (TTM) -34.1% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -26.13% | Return on Equity (TTM) -371.99% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 10163863 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.08 |
Enterprise Value 10163863 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.08 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.78 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.6 | Shares Outstanding 7179480 | Shares Floating 5926749 |
Shares Outstanding 7179480 | Shares Floating 5926749 | ||
Percent Insiders 17.67 | Percent Institutions 2.54 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price - | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Origin Agritech Ltd
Company Overview
History and Background
Origin Agritech Ltd. was founded in 1997. It is an agricultural technology company focusing on crop seed breeding and biotechnology research.
Core Business Areas
- Seed Development and Production: Focuses on developing, producing, and marketing genetically modified (GM) and conventional crop seeds, particularly corn.
- Biotechnology Research: Conducts research and development in agricultural biotechnology, including gene editing and molecular breeding.
- Sales and Distribution: Sales and distribution of seeds to farmers in China.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by a board of directors and a management team with experience in agricultural biotechnology and business management. Details on specific individuals are subject to change.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- GM Corn Seeds: Origin Agritech's primary product is genetically modified corn seeds. Market share data is difficult to obtain precisely due to the complex regulatory environment in China and the limited information publicly available. Competitors include Syngenta (now owned by ChemChina), Bayer, and local Chinese seed companies.
- Conventional Corn Seeds: Origin Agritech also offers conventional corn seeds. Market share data is difficult to obtain precisely due to the complex regulatory environment in China and the limited information publicly available. Competitors include Syngenta (now owned by ChemChina), Bayer, and local Chinese seed companies.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The agricultural seed industry is characterized by significant R&D investment, intellectual property protection, and regulatory oversight. GM seeds are subject to particularly strict regulations. China's seed market is large and growing, but also highly competitive.
Positioning
Origin Agritech aims to be a leading provider of advanced seed technologies in China. Its competitive advantage lies in its proprietary GM technology and research capabilities, though regulatory approval poses a significant challenge.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Chinese seed market is estimated to be worth billions of dollars annually. Origin Agritech's position depends on regulatory approvals for its GM seeds. The TAM is very large, with the corn seed market being a substantial portion.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary GM technology
- Strong R&D capabilities
- Established presence in China
- Potential for high growth in the Chinese market
Weaknesses
- Dependence on regulatory approvals
- Limited commercialization of GM products
- Competition from larger multinational companies
- Volatility in financial performance
Opportunities
- Increasing demand for high-yielding crops in China
- Potential for partnerships with other agricultural companies
- Expansion into other crops
- Government support for agricultural innovation
Threats
- Strict regulatory environment for GM crops
- Competition from illegal GM seeds
- Fluctuations in commodity prices
- Economic slowdown in China
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BAYRY
- Corteva, Inc. (CTVA)
- Syngenta (Privately held by ChemChina)
Competitive Landscape
Origin Agritech faces significant competition from larger, more established companies with greater resources and broader product portfolios. Its success depends on its ability to develop and commercialize innovative GM technologies and navigate the complex regulatory landscape in China.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been uneven and dependent on regulatory approvals. Difficult to quantify without reliable financial data.
Future Projections: Future projections depend on successful commercialization of GM seeds, which are subject to regulatory approval and market acceptance.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives typically involve ongoing research and development efforts and attempts to obtain regulatory approvals.
Summary
Origin Agritech is a risky investment due to its reliance on regulatory approvals for GM crops in China and its competition with much larger companies. Its proprietary technology offers potential, but its financial performance has been uneven. The company's future hinges on its ability to successfully commercialize its GM seed products and navigate the regulatory challenges of the Chinese market. They are a leader in the space but rely heavily on approvals to thrive. The company needs to show strength in areas that are not reliant on government approval in order to be seen as strong
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC filings
- Company press releases
- Industry reports
- Reuters
- Bloomberg
Disclaimers:
The data provided is based on publicly available information and may not be entirely accurate or complete. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share data is estimated and may vary. The Chinese regulatory environment is dynamic and can change rapidly.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Origin Agritech Ltd
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2004-05-05 | CEO & Director Mr. Weibin Yan | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Agricultural Inputs | Full time employees 68 | Website https://originagritech.com |
Full time employees 68 | Website https://originagritech.com | ||
Origin Agritech Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an agricultural biotechnology in the People's Republic of China. The company engages in the development, production, and distribution of hybrid crop seeds, as well as the development of hybrid seed technology. Further, it engages in crop seed breeding and genetic improvement, and related technical services. Its products include corn, canola, soybean, and rice seeds. In addition, it operates an e-commerce platform. The company has a collaboration agreement with the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, the National Maize Improvement Center, Henan Agriculture University, China Agricultural University, and Zhejiang University for seed genetic modifications and biotechnologies. Origin Agritech Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
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