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Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/16/2025: SPCE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $4.08
1 Year Target Price $4.08
2 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
4 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
2 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -70.66% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 190.63M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.08 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.08 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9 | Beta 2.13 | 52 Weeks Range 2.18 - 8.19 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.18 - 8.19 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -8.13 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -17227.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -20.53% | Return on Equity (TTM) -91.98% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 142554094 | Price to Sales(TTM) 112.27 |
Enterprise Value 142554094 | Price to Sales(TTM) 112.27 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 83.95 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.14 | Shares Outstanding 57591000 | Shares Floating 57429134 |
Shares Outstanding 57591000 | Shares Floating 57429134 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.17 | Percent Institutions 14.69 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. was founded in 2004 by Richard Branson. Its mission is to become the worldu2019s first commercial spaceline, offering suborbital spaceflights to private individuals and researchers. Significant milestones include the development of SpaceShipTwo, test flights, and eventual commercial operations beginning in 2024.
Core Business Areas
- Human Spaceflight: Providing suborbital spaceflights for tourists and researchers. This is the primary revenue-generating activity, involving the operation of SpaceShipTwo and its carrier aircraft.
- Engineering and Manufacturing: Developing and manufacturing spacecraft and related technologies for future spaceflight programs and potential government contracts.
Leadership and Structure
Michael Colglazier serves as the CEO. The company has a hierarchical structure with departments focused on engineering, operations, commercial activities, and finance. Branson remains a significant shareholder.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Suborbital Spaceflights: Virgin Galactic's primary offering is suborbital spaceflights for paying customers. Ticket prices have ranged from $250,000 to $450,000 per seat. Market share is emerging but currently niche with limited competition and high barriers to entry. Competitors include Blue Origin (privately held).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The space tourism industry is in its nascent stages, characterized by high development costs, regulatory hurdles, and significant technological challenges. There is a growing interest in space exploration and commercialization.
Positioning
Virgin Galactic is positioned as a pioneer in commercial space tourism, targeting high-net-worth individuals and researchers. Their competitive advantage lies in its brand recognition, established technology, and early mover advantage.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
Estimates for the space tourism market vary widely, with some projecting a multi-billion dollar market in the next decade. Virgin Galactic is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market, especially among high-end consumers.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- First-mover advantage in space tourism
- Proprietary technology (SpaceShipTwo)
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- High operational costs
- Unproven business model at scale
- Reliance on a single spacecraft type
- History of delays and technical challenges
- Negative cash flow
- Dilution of shareholders through stock offerings
Opportunities
- Expansion of spaceflight offerings (e.g., point-to-point travel)
- Government contracts for space research and development
- Partnerships with tourism companies and airlines
- Development of new spacecraft technologies
Threats
- Competition from Blue Origin and other space tourism companies
- Economic downturn impacting demand for luxury travel
- Potential for accidents and safety concerns impacting reputation
- Regulatory changes impacting spaceflight operations
- High insurance costs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Blue Origin (privately held)
- SPCE
Competitive Landscape
Virgin Galactic's advantage lies in its established brand and operational experience. Its disadvantage is its higher cost structure. Blue Origin has significantly greater capital invested.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been characterized by R&D investment rather than revenue generation. Actual revenue has been minimal prior to the start of commercial operations.
Future Projections: Future growth is predicated on scaling spaceflight operations, reducing costs, and attracting more customers. Analyst estimates vary widely, depending on the assumed rate of commercialization.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include increasing the frequency of spaceflights, developing new spacecraft, and securing partnerships with various entities to expand its reach.
Summary
Virgin Galactic holds a prominent position in the burgeoning space tourism industry. However, substantial losses and significant equity dilution cloud the outlook. Successful scaling of commercial operations, reducing costs, and managing competition from entities with more capital will be critical for future success. Regulatory hurdles, technological risk, and the high cost of tickets remain key factors.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Company Investor Relations
- Analyst Reports
- Industry News Articles
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on your own due diligence and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market share data are estimates based on available information.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Tustin, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2019-10-28 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Michael A. Colglazier | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Aerospace & Defense | Full time employees 744 | Website https://www.virgingalactic.com |
Full time employees 744 | Website https://www.virgingalactic.com |
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., an aerospace and space travel company, focuses on the development, manufacture, and operation of spaceships and related technologies. It engages in the design and development, manufacturing, ground and flight testing, spaceflight operation, and post-flight maintenance of spaceflight systems for private individuals, researchers, and government agencies. The company is headquartered in Tustin, California.

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