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Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: SPCE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $4.12
1 Year Target Price $4.12
| 2 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 4 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 2 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -77.31% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 199.08M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.12 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.12 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9 | Beta 2.02 | 52 Weeks Range 2.18 - 6.64 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 2.18 - 6.64 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.84 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -18127.67% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -20.49% | Return on Equity (TTM) -98.87% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 227355771 | Price to Sales(TTM) 119.86 |
Enterprise Value 227355771 | Price to Sales(TTM) 119.86 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 136.88 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.14 | Shares Outstanding 63200245 | Shares Floating 63042876 |
Shares Outstanding 63200245 | Shares Floating 63042876 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.46 | Percent Institutions 20.62 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. was founded in 2004 by Sir Richard Branson as part of the Virgin Group. Its mission is to democratize space travel. Key milestones include the development of SpaceShipTwo, its suborbital spaceplane, and the first successful test flight to space in December 2018. The company went public through a SPAC merger with Social Capital Hedosophia in 2019. Virgin Galactic is a pioneer in the nascent commercial spaceflight industry, aiming to provide suborbital spaceflights to private individuals and researchers.
Core Business Areas
- Spaceflight Services: Offering suborbital spaceflights to private individuals (tourism) and researchers, providing a few minutes of weightlessness and views of Earth from space.
- Astronaut Training and Preparation: Providing comprehensive training and preparation for customers undertaking spaceflights.
- Vehicle Development and Manufacturing: Designing, building, and maintaining its fleet of reusable spacecraft and carrier aircraft.
Leadership and Structure
Virgin Galactic is led by a management team with experience in aerospace, technology, and finance. The specific leadership team members and their roles can be found in the company's investor relations materials and SEC filings. The company is structured around its engineering, operations, and commercial divisions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Suborbital Spaceflight (Space Tourism): This is the flagship offering, targeting affluent individuals seeking a unique space experience. Competitors in the broader space tourism sector, though not direct suborbital competitors currently, include companies like SpaceX (orbital) and potentially future entrants. Market share data is not readily available as this is an emerging market. Revenue is currently minimal and primarily from deposits.
- Suborbital Research Flights: Providing payload opportunities for scientific research, microgravity experiments, and technology demonstrations. This segment competes with other microgravity research platforms and potential future governmental or private space stations. Market share is also nascent.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The commercial spaceflight industry, particularly suborbital space tourism, is in its infancy. It is characterized by high development costs, technological innovation, regulatory hurdles, and significant market potential driven by increasing interest in space and technological advancements. The industry is poised for growth as technology matures and costs decrease.
Positioning
Virgin Galactic is a first-mover in the commercial suborbital space tourism market. Its key competitive advantages include its proprietary air-launch system (which is safer and more efficient than vertical launch for suborbital flights) and its established brand recognition through the Virgin Group. However, it faces significant challenges in scaling operations and achieving profitability.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for space tourism is estimated to be in the billions of dollars, with projections varying widely. Virgin Galactic is positioned to capture a significant portion of the early suborbital space tourism market, but faces competition from other emerging players and the eventual development of orbital tourism options. The TAM for suborbital research is also substantial, driven by scientific and commercial interests in microgravity.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Pioneering technology and proprietary air-launch system.
- Strong brand recognition and association with Richard Branson.
- First-mover advantage in the suborbital space tourism market.
- Experienced engineering and technical team.
- Growing backlog of customer reservations.
Weaknesses
- History of delays and development challenges.
- High operational costs and unproven profitability at scale.
- Limited flight cadence and capacity.
- Reliance on a single core technology.
- Perceived high ticket price.
Opportunities
- Growing demand for unique travel experiences.
- Expansion into research and scientific payloads.
- Potential for technological advancements to reduce costs.
- Partnerships with governments and research institutions.
- Development of higher flight cadences and larger fleets.
Threats
- Intensifying competition from other space tourism companies.
- Regulatory changes and evolving safety standards.
- Unforeseen technical failures or accidents.
- Economic downturns impacting discretionary spending.
- Public perception and safety concerns.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Blue Origin (Not publicly traded)
- SpaceX (Not publicly traded)
Competitive Landscape
Virgin Galactic's direct competitors in the suborbital space tourism market are limited and largely privately held, making direct market share comparisons difficult. Blue Origin is its most direct competitor, with its New Shepard system. SpaceX, while primarily focused on orbital missions, has aspirations for space tourism. Virgin Galactic's advantage lies in its established brand and initial operational progress in suborbital tourism. Its disadvantage is its current limited flight capacity and financial burn rate compared to privately funded entities.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, growth has been characterized by technological development, successful flight test milestones, and the build-up of a customer reservation list. Revenue growth has been gradual, reflecting the transition from development to commercial service.
Future Projections: Analyst projections often focus on the potential for significant revenue growth as flight cadence increases and ticket prices potentially decrease over the long term. However, profitability timelines are uncertain and depend on overcoming operational and technological challenges.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include achieving key flight milestones, increasing flight rates, expanding astronaut training facilities, and securing additional funding. The company is focused on scaling its operations to meet reservation demand and expand its service offerings.
Summary
Virgin Galactic is a pioneering company in the emerging suborbital space tourism market, boasting strong brand recognition and proprietary technology. Its main strengths lie in its first-mover advantage and innovative air-launch system. However, the company faces significant weaknesses including a history of delays, high operational costs, and unproven profitability. Opportunities exist in the growing demand for unique experiences and technological advancements, but threats from intensifying competition, regulatory shifts, and potential accidents loom large.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. Investor Relations website
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial news outlets and market data providers
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Data is based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive or perfectly up-to-date. Investment decisions should be made in consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Tustin, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2019-10-28 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Michael A. Colglazier | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Aerospace & Defense | Full time employees 744 | Website https://www.virgingalactic.com |
Full time employees 744 | Website https://www.virgingalactic.com | ||
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., an aerospace and space travel company, focuses on the development, manufacture, and operation of spaceships and related technologies. It engages in the design and development, manufacturing, ground and flight testing, spaceflight operation, and post-flight maintenance of spaceflight systems for private individuals, researchers, and government agencies. The company is headquartered in Tustin, California.

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