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Upturn AI Summary - About
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc(SPCE)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SPCE
10/30/2026: SPCE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Virgin Galactic Holdings is an aerospace company focused on providing suborbital spaceflight experiences for individuals and researchers. Its primary strength lies in its unique air-launch technology and established brand presence within the niche space tourism market. The core investment story centers on the upcoming deployment of its Delta Class spaceships, which are intended to provide the scale and flight frequency required for commercial viability. However, the company faces significant risks, including high cash burn, intense competition from well-funded private entities, and ongoing execution challenges. It is best suited for speculative growth investors, with progress on flight reliability and fleet scaling being the key developments to monitor.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers high-risk, high-reward exposure to space exploration but remains in an early, pre-profitable stage. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | The stock can exhibit high volatility, which may appeal to momentum traders during news-driven upturns. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company lacks current earnings or positive cash flow, making it unsuitable for traditional value metrics. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay dividends and requires all capital for reinvestment. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Extreme volatility and regulatory risk make this an unsuitable choice for risk-averse investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is susceptible to sharp price swings based on flight results and market sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | High | High speculative valuations can lead to significant downside if milestones are not met. |
| Competition risk (Spaceflight services) | High | Well-funded private rivals may achieve greater scale or lower costs faster. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company is still proving the commercial viability of its core business model. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | No income generation is expected for the foreseeable future. |
| Execution risk | High | Complex engineering and safety requirements pose constant operational hurdles. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -68.02% | Avg. Invested days 17 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/30/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 391.12M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.51 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.51 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5.3M shares | Beta 2.87 | 52 Weeks Range 2.13 - 8.90 | Updated Date 10/31/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 2.13 - 8.90 | Updated Date 10/31/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.01 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Spaceflight Services | Ticket sales for suborbital flights and research payload missions. | Revenue is generated by selling seats on spaceships, which is currently in a very early stage of scaling. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 377.84M | Price to Sales(TTM) 376.8 |
Enterprise Value 377.84M | Price to Sales(TTM) 376.8 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 364.01 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.14 | Shares Outstanding 151.60M | Shares Floating 150.87M |
Shares Outstanding 151.60M | Shares Floating 150.87M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.39 | Percent Institutions 36.46 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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