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Sutro Biopharma(STRO)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$9.33
10/23/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for STRO

10/23/2026: STRO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Sutro Biopharma is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing cancer therapies using its proprietary cell-free protein synthesis platform. The firm is recognized for its technical precision in engineering antibody-drug conjugates, which are a major area of focus in oncology. Its primary investment story rests on the potential clinical success of its lead candidates, including Luvelta. However, investors face significant risks related to clinical trial outcomes, a high cash burn rate, and intense competition from much larger, well-capitalized pharmaceutical firms. The stock is most suitable for investors comfortable with high-risk, high-reward profiles and should be monitored closely for data readouts and ongoing partnership milestones.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers high-growth potential linked to clinical success but carries substantial risk of volatility.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum is highly conditional on clinical trial data readouts and positive news cycles.
Value investorWeak fitAs a loss-making clinical-stage firm, there are no traditional earnings-based valuation metrics.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay dividends and prioritizes cash for R&D.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe high inherent risk of clinical-stage biotechnology makes this unsuitable for low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighStock price is extremely sensitive to clinical trial outcomes and biotech sector sentiment.
Valuation riskHighDetermining fair value is difficult given the lack of current commercial revenue.
Competition risk (Big Pharma dominance)HighEstablished companies hold significant market share and resources in the ADC space.
Business qualityMediumWhile the platform technology is well-regarded, the business model is unproven at a commercial scale.
Dividend incomeLow / noneNo income is generated for shareholders.
Execution riskHighSuccessfully managing clinical trials and regulatory pathways is complex and prone to delay.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Highly Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Highly Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -9.22%
Avg. Invested days 29
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/23/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
STRO receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
STRO has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+16.0%) and strong revenue growth (+65.2%) are partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -174.6%), weak profitability (net margin -186.5%), modest insider ownership of 2.26%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
STRO's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 43.6%). Cash strength is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is STRO's strongest growth driver at +65.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, earnings growth (+16.0%, solid) is also solid, while free-cash-flow growth (+8.1%, moderate) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 99.0% and approximately 64.9% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 2.26% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Perceptive Advisors LLC 7.87%
Bvf Inc 7.55%
Affinity Asset Advisors, LLC 7.07%
BlackRock Inc 6.77%
Samsara BioCapital, LLC 6.41%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
STRO generates approximately $929 of gross profit, $-1,024 of operating income, and $-1,746 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 2-star rating, with weak cash conversion and strong capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.05%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
STRO has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 170.62M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 47.23
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 47.23
Volume (30-day avg) 345.6K shares
Beta 1.5
52 Weeks Range 7.15 - 43.85
Updated Date 10/22/2026
52 Weeks Range 7.15 - 43.85
Updated Date 10/22/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -16.46

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Collaboration and Licensing RevenueMilestone payments and royalties from partnership agreements involving the cell-free platform.Revenue is not from commercial drug sales, but from corporate partners paying for access to Sutro's technology.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 10.03
Enterprise Value 113.89M
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.73
Enterprise Value 113.89M
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.73
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.48
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 41.71
Shares Outstanding 16.58M
Shares Floating 10.76M
Shares Outstanding 16.58M
Shares Floating 10.76M
Percent Insiders 2.26
Percent Institutions 99.01

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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