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Swvl Holdings Corp (SWVL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: SWVL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $125
1 Year Target Price $125
0 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
1 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 80.46% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 40.19M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 125 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 125 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1 | Beta 0.87 | 52 Weeks Range 2.40 - 7.50 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.40 - 7.50 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.65 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -60.08% | Operating Margin (TTM) -50.89% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -28.61% | Return on Equity (TTM) -423.39% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 36434258 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.34 |
Enterprise Value 36434258 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.34 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.05 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.07 | Shares Outstanding 9898520 | Shares Floating 5393107 |
Shares Outstanding 9898520 | Shares Floating 5393107 | ||
Percent Insiders 27.75 | Percent Institutions 0.23 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Swvl Holdings Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
Swvl Holdings Corp. was founded in 2017. It began as a bus-hailing app in Egypt and expanded to offer various transportation solutions. It went public via a SPAC merger in 2022. However, the company has struggled to achieve profitability, leading to significant restructuring efforts.
Core Business Areas
- Mass Transit Solutions: Provides tech-enabled mass transit solutions, connecting commuters with buses and vans on fixed or dynamic routes. This is their core product.
- TaaS (Transportation as a Service): Offers transportation solutions for businesses and organizations, including employee transportation and school bus services.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team includes key executives in areas such as operations, technology, and finance. The organizational structure is evolving as the company restructures to achieve profitability.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Swvl Bus: Tech-enabled mass transit solutions. The market share is hard to pin down precisely, as it competes within a broader market, but it's likely single digit. Competitors include ride-hailing services (Uber, Lyft in some markets, local transportation operators), and traditional bus services.
- Swvl School: Transportation solutions for schools and educational institutions. Market Share is difficult to determine but can be in single digit percentage. Competitors include other TaaS providers, school bus companies, and private transportation services.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The transportation industry is undergoing significant transformation with the rise of technology-enabled solutions, ride-sharing, and the increasing demand for flexible and convenient transportation options. Post-pandemic, demand for mass transit faces challenges.
Positioning
Swvl aims to position itself as a provider of affordable and reliable transportation solutions, particularly in emerging markets. However, competition is intense, and profitability remains a challenge.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for mass transit and TaaS is estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars globally. Swvl is positioned to capture a small segment of this TAM, primarily focusing on specific geographic markets and niche solutions. However, capturing substantial market share will require significant investment and operational efficiency.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Technology platform for route optimization
- Partnerships with local transportation providers
- Focus on emerging markets
- TaaS solutions for businesses
Weaknesses
- Lack of profitability
- High cash burn rate
- Intense competition
- Reliance on external funding
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Growing demand for sustainable transportation
- Partnerships with government entities
- Technological advancements in autonomous vehicles
Threats
- Economic downturns
- Changes in government regulations
- Increased competition from ride-hailing services
- Technological disruption by new players
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- UBER
- LYFT
- DIIDIY
Competitive Landscape
Swvl faces significant competition from established ride-hailing giants like Uber and Lyft, as well as local transportation providers. Swvl's competitive advantage lies in its focus on emerging markets and its tech-enabled mass transit solutions. However, profitability is a major concern.
Major Acquisitions
Shotl
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 65
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition was designed to increase market share across Europe with access to new client segments
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been mixed, with rapid expansion followed by restructuring and cost-cutting measures.
Future Projections: Future projections are highly uncertain, depending on the company's ability to achieve profitability and secure additional funding.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include cost reduction measures, restructuring of operations, and focusing on core markets.
Summary
Swvl Holdings Corp. is a company facing significant challenges. While it has a strong technology platform and a focus on emerging markets, it struggles with profitability and intense competition. The company needs to demonstrate its ability to achieve financial sustainability to attract investors and secure its long-term future. The recent cost reduction measures could help if it is enough for it to be sustainable.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Market Research Reports
- Industry News Articles
- Third Party Financial Data Providers
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on available information and estimates and should not be considered investment advice. Financial data is subject to change. Market share estimations are approximations.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Swvl Holdings Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-03-31 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Mostafa Kandil | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Railroads | Full time employees 284 | Website https://www.swvl.com |
Full time employees 284 | Website https://www.swvl.com |
Swvl Holdings Corp., a technology-driven disruptive mobility company, provides mass transit solutions in Egypt, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. It offers B2C product, which provides riders with a network of minibuses and other vehicles operating on fixed and semi-fixed routes throughout and between the cities it serves; and Swvl Business, a transport as a service and software as a service product for businesses, schools, municipal transit agencies, and other customers available through its Swvl platform. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates.

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