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Swvl Holdings Corp (SWVL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/17/2025: SWVL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $125
1 Year Target Price $125
0 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
1 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 80.46% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 34.50M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 125 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 125 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1 | Beta 0.86 | 52 Weeks Range 2.40 - 7.50 | Updated Date 09/17/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.40 - 7.50 | Updated Date 09/17/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.57 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-09-08 | When - | Estimate - | Actual 0.04 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -21.8% | Operating Margin (TTM) -4.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -19.74% | Return on Equity (TTM) -423.39% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 30445025 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.78 |
Enterprise Value 30445025 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.78 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.58 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.07 | Shares Outstanding 9964340 | Shares Floating 5458966 |
Shares Outstanding 9964340 | Shares Floating 5458966 | ||
Percent Insiders 27.57 | Percent Institutions 0.3 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Swvl Holdings Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Swvl was founded in 2017 in Egypt and initially focused on providing bus transportation services in emerging markets. Through acquisitions and expansion, it aimed to become a global provider of tech-enabled mass transit solutions. The company went public via a SPAC merger in 2022.
Core Business Areas
- B2C: Swvl offers app-based bus and ride-sharing services directly to consumers, providing affordable and convenient transportation options in urban areas. This includes daily commutes and intercity travel.
- B2B: Swvl provides transportation solutions for businesses and organizations, including employee transportation, school bus services, and event transportation. This involves customized routes and dedicated vehicles.
- TaaS (Transportation as a Service): Swvl offers its technology platform and operational expertise to other transportation providers, enabling them to optimize their services and expand their reach.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership structure typically includes a CEO, CFO, CTO, and other key executives responsible for various business functions. The organizational structure consists of functional departments such as operations, technology, marketing, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Swvl Daily: Provides fixed-route bus services for daily commuters, offering a reliable and affordable alternative to traditional transportation. Market share data is difficult to pinpoint accurately due to the fragmented nature of the mass transit market. Competitors include local bus operators, ride-hailing services (Uber, Lyft), and public transportation.
- Swvl Travel: Offers intercity bus travel options, connecting major cities with comfortable and convenient transportation. Market share data is similarly fragmented. Competitors include traditional bus companies, airlines, and train services.
- Swvl Business: Provides tailored transportation solutions for businesses, including employee shuttles and event transportation. The market share varies by region and industry. Competitors include corporate transportation providers and traditional charter bus companies.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The mass transit industry is undergoing a transformation driven by technology, urbanization, and increasing demand for sustainable transportation solutions. Key trends include the rise of ride-sharing, the adoption of electric vehicles, and the integration of smart city technologies.
Positioning
Swvl aims to position itself as a leading provider of tech-enabled mass transit solutions in emerging markets. Its competitive advantages include its technology platform, its focus on affordability, and its ability to scale rapidly.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global mass transit market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Swvl is positioned to capture a portion of this market by offering innovative and affordable transportation solutions in underserved regions. However, due to Swvl's status and volatility, it's difficult to apply the TAM across Swvl's business model. The recent delisting further hampers this.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Technology Platform
- Strong Brand Recognition in Core Markets
- Scalable Business Model
- Experienced Management Team (prior to significant restructuring)
Weaknesses
- High Cash Burn Rate
- Dependence on Emerging Markets
- Intense Competition
- Profitability Concerns
Opportunities
- Expansion into New Markets
- Strategic Partnerships
- Adoption of Electric Vehicles
- Integration with Smart City Initiatives
Threats
- Economic Downturns
- Regulatory Changes
- Competition from Established Players
- Geopolitical Risks
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- UBER
- LYFT
- GOGOX
Competitive Landscape
Swvl faces intense competition from established players with greater financial resources and brand recognition. Its advantages include its technology platform and its focus on affordability.
Major Acquisitions
Shotl
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Expand Swvl's offerings into on-demand transportation solutions.
Zeelo
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 100
- Strategic Rationale: Expand into the UK market and improve B2B offerings.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth was rapid in its early years, but slowed down significantly due to COVID and macroeconomic conditions.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are highly uncertain due to the company's financial difficulties and recent strategic changes.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include cost-cutting measures and strategic refocusing on core markets.
Summary
Swvl is a company that, while innovative in its initial concept, has faced significant challenges in achieving profitability and sustainable growth. The company's high cash burn rate, dependence on emerging markets, and intense competition have hampered its performance. Strategic refocusing and cost-cutting are crucial for its survival. Investors should carefully consider the risks associated with this stock.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Market Reports
- News Articles
- Financial Databases
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. The information is subject to change and may not be accurate.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Swvl Holdings Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-03-31 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Mostafa Kandil | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Railroads | Full time employees 284 | Website https://www.swvl.com |
Full time employees 284 | Website https://www.swvl.com |
Swvl Holdings Corp., a technology-driven disruptive mobility company, provides mass transit solutions in Egypt, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. It offers B2C product, which provides riders with a network of minibuses and other vehicles operating on fixed and semi-fixed routes throughout and between the cities it serves; and Swvl Business, a transport as a service and software as a service product for businesses, schools, municipal transit agencies, and other customers available through its Swvl platform. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates.

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