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Swvl Holdings Corp (SWVL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/27/2025: SWVL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Year Target Price $81.25
Year Target Price $81.25
0 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
1 | Hold |
0 | Under performing |
0 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 81.76% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 41.38M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 125 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 125 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 0.94 | 52 Weeks Range 2.40 - 8.05 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.40 - 8.05 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.65 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -60.08% | Operating Margin (TTM) -50.89% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -28.61% | Return on Equity (TTM) -423.39% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 37622080 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.4 |
Enterprise Value 37622080 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.4 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.12 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.07 | Shares Outstanding 9898520 | Shares Floating 5393107 |
Shares Outstanding 9898520 | Shares Floating 5393107 | ||
Percent Insiders 27.75 | Percent Institutions 0.23 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 81.25 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Swvl Holdings Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
Swvl Holdings Corp. was founded in 2017. Initially focused on bus transportation in Cairo, Egypt, it expanded to other emerging markets and developed technology for mass transit solutions. It went public via SPAC in 2022.
Core Business Areas
- Swvl Bus: Provides scheduled bus routes in various cities, aiming to offer convenient and affordable transportation.
- Swvl Travel: Offers intercity travel options, connecting cities with bus services.
- Swvl B2B: Provides Transportation as a Service to corporate and goverment clients.
Leadership and Structure
Key leaders include Mostafa Kandil (CEO) and senior management overseeing operations, technology, and finance. The organizational structure features distinct teams for each business segment, reporting to the executive leadership.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Swvl Bus: Swvl Bus offers intra-city transportation. Market share is difficult to quantify due to fragmented nature, and depends per market location. Competitors include ride-sharing apps like Uber, Lyft, traditional public transport, and other bus service providers.
- Swvl Travel: Swvl Travel offers inter-city transport. Market share is also variable. Competitors are traditional bus operators, train services, and airlines.
- Swvl B2B: Swvl B2B provides Transportation as a Service to corporate and goverment clients, it is difficult to quantify market share due to individual contract amounts and duration. Competitors include other Transportation as a Service companies.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The mass transit industry is undergoing digital transformation, with technology enabling efficient route planning, booking, and payment. Increasing urbanization and demand for affordable transportation drive growth.
Positioning
Swvl aims to be a technology-driven mass transit provider, focusing on emerging markets. Its competitive advantage lies in its tech platform and targeted approach to solving transit challenges.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global mass transit market is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars. Swvl targets a portion of this TAM by focusing on specific regions and demographics within emerging markets. TAM is expected to grow, given population growth and urbanizaton.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Technology platform
- Presence in emerging markets
- Focus on mass transit
- Partnerships with local operators
Weaknesses
- Limited profitability
- High cash burn
- Dependence on external funding
- Exposure to regulatory risks
Opportunities
- Expansion to new markets
- Partnerships with governments and corporations
- Increased adoption of digital transit solutions
- Development of new transportation products
Threats
- Competition from established ride-hailing companies
- Economic downturns in target markets
- Regulatory changes
- Fluctuations in fuel prices
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- UBER
- LYFT
- DIDI
Competitive Landscape
Swvl faced significant competition from larger, well-established ride-hailing companies. Its competitive edge was to target developing markets and by offering more affordable transport.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth was initially rapid in terms of market expansion and user acquisition. However, profitability remained a challenge.
Future Projections: Future projections are uncertain, especially as Swvl has de-listed from the NASDAQ.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives prior to de-listing included cost-cutting measures and efforts to achieve profitability.
Summary
Swvl showed promise as a technology-driven mass transit provider in emerging markets, but faced challenges related to profitability and competition. Its reliance on external funding and volatile market conditions contributed to its struggles. Swvl's strategic focus on emerging markets and partnerships could potentially drive future growth, but profitability and cash flow management are critical for long-term sustainability. However, having de-listed from the NASDAQ, future sustainability is questionable.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Industry reports
- News articles
Disclaimers:
The information provided is based on available data and should not be considered financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Swvl Holdings Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-03-31 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Mostafa Kandil | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Railroads | Full time employees 284 | Website https://www.swvl.com |
Full time employees 284 | Website https://www.swvl.com |
Swvl Holdings Corp., a technology-driven disruptive mobility company, provides mass transit solutions in Egypt, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. It offers B2C product, which provides riders with a network of minibuses and other vehicles operating on fixed and semi-fixed routes throughout and between the cities it serves; and Swvl Business, a transport as a service and software as a service product for businesses, schools, municipal transit agencies, and other customers available through its Swvl platform. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates.
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