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TAL Education Group (TAL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/27/2025: TAL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Year Target Price $12.37
Year Target Price $12.37
12 | Strong Buy |
7 | Buy |
3 | Hold |
0 | Under performing |
1 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -19.62% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.51B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 76.36 | 1Y Target Price 12.29 |
Price to earnings Ratio 76.36 | 1Y Target Price 12.29 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 0.1 | 52 Weeks Range 7.34 - 15.30 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 7.34 - 15.30 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.14 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.76% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2.62% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.04% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.28% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 76.36 | Forward PE 27.17 | Enterprise Value 3220065401 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.89 |
Enterprise Value 3220065401 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.89 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.43 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 65.52 | Shares Outstanding 461046016 | Shares Floating 138332386 |
Shares Outstanding 461046016 | Shares Floating 138332386 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.01 | Percent Institutions 69.04 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.3 | Target Price 12.37 | Buy 7 | Strong Buy 12 |
Buy 7 | Strong Buy 12 | ||
Hold 3 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
TAL Education Group
Company Overview
History and Background
TAL Education Group, founded in 2003, initially focused on after-school tutoring for primary and secondary school students in China. It grew rapidly through expansion into new cities and online platforms, becoming a leading education provider. However, regulatory changes in 2021 significantly impacted its business model.
Core Business Areas
- K-12 Academic Tutoring: Previously the core business, offering after-school tutoring in various subjects for K-12 students, primarily in math, English, Chinese, physics, and chemistry. Due to regulatory changes in China, this has been largely curtailed.
- Online Education: Previously a significant segment providing online tutoring and educational resources. Also heavily impacted by the regulatory changes.
- Content and Technology Solutions: Focuses on developing and providing educational content, technology platforms, and learning solutions to other educational institutions and businesses. Pivoted focus after regulatory overhaul in China.
Leadership and Structure
Due to the rapidly changing situation of the company, the current leadership and structure are evolving. Public information regarding leadership structure is limited following significant restructuring.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Content Solutions: Focuses on creating educational content and providing technology-based learning solutions for educational institutions. Difficult to quantify the current market share with the recent restructuring. Competitors in this area include New Oriental and smaller EdTech startups.
- Technology Platforms: Developing and offering educational technology platforms to support online learning and teaching. Market share difficult to estimate post-restructuring. Competitors include 17zuoye and Yuanfudao.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The Chinese education sector has been subject to significant regulatory changes in recent years. The for-profit tutoring industry has been severely restricted, and businesses are now focused on compliance and alternative models.
Positioning
TAL Education Group is currently transitioning its business model to adapt to the new regulatory environment, shifting its focus to technology solutions and content provision rather than direct tutoring. The company's future positioning depends on its ability to execute this strategic shift.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The educational technology and content market in China is estimated to be worth billions of dollars. TAL is attempting to position itself to capture a portion of this, but specific financial projections are speculative in the current environment.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established Brand Recognition
- Extensive Content Library
- Technological Expertise
- Experienced Workforce
Weaknesses
- Regulatory Uncertainty
- Restricted Business Model
- Reputational Damage
- Financial Strain
Opportunities
- Expansion into Educational Technology
- Partnerships with Educational Institutions
- Development of New Educational Products
- Overseas Expansion
Threats
- Increased Competition
- Further Regulatory Changes
- Economic Slowdown
- Technological Disruption
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- New Oriental (EDU)
Competitive Landscape
TAL Education Group faces intense competition from other education companies, especially as it transitions to new business areas. The regulatory environment creates significant challenges for all players.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Previously experienced significant growth driven by the K-12 tutoring market.
Future Projections: Future growth is highly uncertain and dependent on the successful implementation of the new business strategy.
Recent Initiatives: Focus on technology solutions, content provision, and exploring overseas markets.
Summary
TAL Education Group is currently undergoing a significant transformation due to regulatory changes in China. Its future hinges on its ability to successfully pivot to technology solutions and content provision. The financial outlook remains uncertain, and the company faces significant challenges in a highly competitive and regulated market. The company's long-term viability depends on adapting to the changed landscape. The company will need to look out for further regulatory changes.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Industry Reports
- Financial News Articles
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. The data is based on publicly available information and may be subject to change. Market share estimates are approximate and may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About TAL Education Group
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2010-10-20 | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Bangxin Zhang | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Education & Training Services | Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.100tal.com |
Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.100tal.com |
TAL Education Group provides K-12 after-school tutoring services in the People's Republic of China. It provides learning services primarily through small classes services; personalized premium services and online course offerings; and learning content solutions, such as print books, smart books, mobile apps, and AI-driven learning devices. The company also operates www.xueersi.com, an online education platform; provides investment management and consulting services; develops and sells software and networks, as well as related consulting services; and sells educational materials and products. It offers its services under the Haoweilai and Think Academy brands. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
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