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TAL Education Group (TAL)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/30/2025: TAL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $14.46
1 Year Target Price $14.46
| 12 | Strong Buy |
| 7 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -36.36% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.69B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 39.29 | 1Y Target Price 14.46 |
Price to earnings Ratio 39.29 | 1Y Target Price 14.46 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 23 | Beta 0.05 | 52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 15.30 | Updated Date 12/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 15.30 | Updated Date 12/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.28 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.45% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.16% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.89% | Return on Equity (TTM) 4.76% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 39.29 | Forward PE 20.41 | Enterprise Value 3812187923 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.52 |
Enterprise Value 3812187923 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.52 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.44 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 49.51 | Shares Outstanding 461046181 | Shares Floating 129472710 |
Shares Outstanding 461046181 | Shares Floating 129472710 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.01 | Percent Institutions 56.19 |
Upturn AI SWOT
TAL Education Group
Company Overview
History and Background
TAL Education Group (TAL) was founded in 2001 in Beijing, China. Initially, it started as a small tutoring center for college entrance exams. Over the years, it has grown into a leading provider of personalized learning services in China. Key milestones include its listing on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in 2010, significant expansion of its service offerings beyond K-12 tutoring, and strategic investments in educational technology. The company has navigated regulatory changes in China's private tutoring sector, leading to significant restructuring and a pivot towards more diversified and technology-driven educational services.
Core Business Areas
- Xueersi Online School ( Xueersi Online): This is TAL's primary online learning platform offering K-12 academic tutoring and enrichment courses. It utilizes interactive online classrooms, AI-powered personalized learning plans, and a vast library of educational content. It is a major contributor to revenue.
- Firstleap: This segment focuses on early childhood education, offering programs for preschoolers and kindergarteners, emphasizing foundational skills and cognitive development.
- TAL AI Education (Smart Education): This segment is dedicated to the research and development of AI-powered educational tools and platforms, including intelligent tutoring systems, educational robots, and smart hardware solutions for schools and individuals.
- Global Education and Technology (GET): This segment encompasses TAL's international education initiatives, including overseas study consulting, language training, and cultural exchange programs.
Leadership and Structure
TAL Education Group is led by a senior management team with extensive experience in education and technology. The specific leadership structure has evolved due to regulatory changes, but typically includes a Chairman, CEO, CFO, and heads of various business units. The company operates under a holding company structure, with various subsidiaries managing its diverse educational offerings.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Xueersi Online (Academic Tutoring): Offers comprehensive K-12 online tutoring in subjects like Mathematics, English, and Chinese. It boasts a large student base and significant revenue contribution. Competitors include companies like ByteDance (Guguyoujia), New Oriental (Koolearn), and various smaller online education platforms.
- Firstleap (Early Childhood Education): Provides curriculum and learning materials for young children, focusing on interactive and play-based learning. Competitors include local kindergartens and other early childhood education providers.
- AI-Powered Learning Tools: Includes intelligent tutoring systems, adaptive learning platforms, and educational robots. This is a growing area with competition from tech giants and specialized AI education companies.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The private education and tutoring industry in China has undergone significant transformation due to government regulations aimed at reducing academic burden and promoting equity. The industry is shifting towards online learning, vocational training, and educational technology. There's a growing emphasis on quality, personalized learning, and the integration of AI. The market is highly competitive and subject to evolving regulatory frameworks.
Positioning
TAL Education Group is a well-established player in China's education sector, particularly known for its strong brand recognition in K-12 tutoring and its early adoption of online learning and educational technology. Its key competitive advantages include a robust curriculum, experienced teaching staff, and a significant investment in AI and technological innovation. The company's ability to adapt to regulatory changes and its diversified offerings position it for continued relevance.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the education and tutoring market in China is substantial, estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of USD. However, TAL's direct addressable market has been impacted by regulatory shifts. The company is positioned to capture a significant share of the redefined market focusing on online learning, educational technology, and supplementary, non-academic enrichment programs. Its current positioning is focused on adapting to the new landscape rather than dominating the traditional tutoring segment.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and reputation in China's education sector.
- Extensive experience in curriculum development and pedagogical expertise.
- Significant investment in and development of educational technology and AI.
- Diversified service offerings beyond traditional K-12 tutoring.
- Experienced management team with a track record of navigating market changes.
Weaknesses
- Past reliance on K-12 academic tutoring, which faced significant regulatory headwinds.
- Dependence on the Chinese market, making it vulnerable to domestic policy shifts.
- Need to continuously innovate and adapt to rapidly evolving educational technology and market demands.
- Brand perception may still be tied to pre-regulation tutoring models for some segments.
Opportunities
- Growth in online and blended learning models.
- Increasing demand for vocational training and lifelong learning.
- Expansion into international markets for educational services and technology.
- Leveraging AI for personalized learning and educational resource optimization.
- Partnerships and collaborations with schools and educational institutions.
Threats
- Continued or new regulatory interventions in the education sector.
- Intense competition from domestic and international ed-tech companies.
- Economic slowdown impacting consumer spending on education.
- Rapid technological obsolescence of educational tools and platforms.
- Shifts in consumer preferences and demand for educational services.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU)
- Gaotu Techedu Inc. (GOTU)
Competitive Landscape
TAL competes in a highly dynamic and regulated market. Its advantages lie in its technological capabilities and diversified offerings. However, it faces strong competition from established players like New Oriental and Gaotu, as well as emerging ed-tech startups. The regulatory environment remains a significant factor shaping the competitive landscape for all players.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, TAL experienced rapid growth driven by the booming private tutoring market in China. However, recent years have seen a contraction in its traditional business due to regulatory crackdowns. The company is now in a phase of strategic transformation, seeking new avenues for growth.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for TAL are contingent on its ability to successfully transition and scale its new business initiatives in online learning, educational technology, and non-academic enrichment. Analyst estimates often vary, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding regulatory impacts and market acceptance of new models. Growth is expected to be driven by technology adoption and diversification.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include a strong push into AI-driven education, the development of new online learning platforms, and a focus on vocational and skills-based training. The company is also exploring international expansion opportunities and partnerships to diversify its revenue base and mitigate risks associated with the Chinese market.
Summary
TAL Education Group is a resilient education company that has navigated significant regulatory headwinds by diversifying its business model. Its strengths lie in its technological infrastructure, AI capabilities, and established brand. However, it faces ongoing threats from regulatory uncertainty and intense competition. The company's future success hinges on its ability to capitalize on emerging opportunities in online learning and educational technology, while mitigating risks associated with market shifts.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 20-F)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Wall Street Journal)
- Industry Research Reports
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Financial data and market share figures are subject to change and may not be completely up-to-date. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About TAL Education Group
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2010-10-20 | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Bangxin Zhang | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Education & Training Services | Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.100tal.com |
Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.100tal.com | ||
TAL Education Group provides K-12 after-school tutoring services in the People's Republic of China. It provides learning services primarily through small classes services; personalized premium services and online course offerings; and learning content solutions, such as print books, smart books, mobile apps, and AI-driven learning devices. The company also operates www.xueersi.com, an online education platform; provides investment management and consulting services; develops and sells software and networks, as well as related consulting services; and sells educational materials and products. It offers its services under the Haoweilai and Think Academy brands. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

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