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Upturn AI Summary - About
TAL Education Group(TAL)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TAL
10/27/2026: TAL (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 5 days. Simulated Profits (2.33%). Updated daily EoD!
TAL Education Group is a provider of K-12 non-academic tutoring and smart learning solutions in China. Following a major 2021 regulatory restructuring that ended its primary tutoring business, the company is rebuilding as a specialized provider of educational enrichment and technology products. Its strengths include a resilient brand and a focus on AI-integrated learning hardware, which serves as its primary growth opportunity. Investors should be aware of high regulatory, execution, and competitive risks, alongside the lack of dividend income. The stock may suit growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance who are looking to monitor the company’s ongoing transition and long-term business stability.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company is in a transformational growth phase, making it speculative for traditional growth investors. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is highly conditional on positive regulatory sentiment and consistent execution of the new business model. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The valuation reflects the significant regulatory risk, but business quality remains to be proven under the new model. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a regular dividend and focuses on reinvestment. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High regulatory and geopolitical risks make this stock unsuitable for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Policy shifts and earnings uncertainty contribute to frequent and sharp share price swings. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Determining a fair value is difficult given the recent structural changes to the core business. |
| Competition risk (AI/EdTech) | Medium | Rapid innovation from competitors in the AI and hardware space creates pressure to maintain market share. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company is rebuilding its franchise quality following the pivot away from its former primary revenue driver. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no dividend income for investors seeking steady cash flow. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Successfully transitioning the entire business model to comply with evolving regulations carries significant operational risk. |
Price Behavior
Steady Uptrend
The stock demonstrates consistent and steady upward price momentum.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -53.49% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/27/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.68B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.36 | 1Y Target Price 16.1 |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.36 | 1Y Target Price 16.1 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.6M shares | Beta 0.08 | 52 Weeks Range 8.88 - 13.37 | Updated Date 10/27/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 8.88 - 13.37 | Updated Date 10/27/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.61 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Learning Services | Non-academic enrichment programs, STEAM courses, and tutoring services. | This is the primary revenue stream focusing on extracurricular education for students. |
| Content and Hardware | Smart learning devices and digital educational content. | This area represents the company's bet on tech-enabled, at-home learning solutions. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.36 | Forward PE 8.04 | Enterprise Value 3.17B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.78 |
Enterprise Value 3.17B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.78 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.99 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.95 | Shares Outstanding 407.23M | Shares Floating 361.03M |
Shares Outstanding 407.23M | Shares Floating 361.03M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.09 | Percent Institutions 66.44 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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