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TAL Education Group (TAL)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/15/2025: TAL (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 3 days. Simulated Profits (-6.24%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $13.03
1 Year Target Price $13.03
12 | Strong Buy |
7 | Buy |
3 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -30.4% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.66B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 64.41 | 1Y Target Price 13.03 |
Price to earnings Ratio 64.41 | 1Y Target Price 13.03 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 23 | Beta 0.12 | 52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 15.30 | Updated Date 10/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 15.30 | Updated Date 10/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.17 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-10-23 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.16 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.33% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.5% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.32% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.88% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 64.41 | Forward PE 28.65 | Enterprise Value 3752965793 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.76 |
Enterprise Value 3752965793 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.76 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.56 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 131.59 | Shares Outstanding 461046181 | Shares Floating 137477673 |
Shares Outstanding 461046181 | Shares Floating 137477673 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.01 | Percent Institutions 60.03 |
Upturn AI SWOT
TAL Education Group
Company Overview
History and Background
TAL Education Group, founded in 2003, began as a small after-school tutoring service in Beijing. It rapidly expanded across China, focusing on K-12 education. The company went public on the NYSE in 2010.
Core Business Areas
- K-12 After-School Tutoring: Provides tutoring services to students in kindergarten through 12th grade, covering subjects like math, science, and languages. Focuses on improving academic performance and test scores.
- Online Education: Offers online courses and learning platforms for K-12 students, providing remote learning opportunities and access to educational resources.
- Content Development: Creates and distributes educational content, including textbooks, workbooks, and digital learning materials.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team consists of senior executives with backgrounds in education and technology. The organizational structure is based on a functional model, with departments focusing on different aspects of the business.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Xueersi Peiyou (After-School Tutoring): TAL's flagship after-school tutoring program, focusing on math, physics, and chemistry. Pre-crackdown estimates placed market share at around 5%. Competitors include New Oriental Education and Gaotu Techedu (formerly GSX Techedu).
- Xueersi Online School: An online learning platform offering live and recorded courses for K-12 students. The company experienced growth during the pandemic. Competitors include Yuanfudao and Zuoyebang.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The private education industry in China was heavily impacted by regulatory changes in 2021. The crackdown aimed to alleviate pressure on students and families, leading to significant restructuring and uncertainty in the sector.
Positioning
Prior to the regulations, TAL Education Group was one of the leading players in China's private education market. Post regulation, TAL has transitioned focus into non-profit services. Future is uncertain.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
Prior to regulations, the TAM for K-12 after-school tutoring in China was estimated to be hundreds of billions of USD. TAL held a small but significant portion and aims to maintain such going forward as a non-profit.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong Brand Recognition (pre-regulation)
- Large Student Base (pre-regulation)
- Experienced Teaching Staff (pre-regulation)
- Established Online Platform (pre-regulation)
Weaknesses
- Regulatory Risk
- Dependence on Key Personnel
- Intense Competition
Opportunities
- Expansion into Non-Profit Educational Services
- Development of Innovative Educational Products
- Partnerships with Schools and Institutions
Threats
- Increased Regulatory Scrutiny
- Economic Slowdown in China
- Changing Demographics
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
Competitive Landscape
TAL Education Group now operates in a significantly different competitive landscape. The impact of the regulations has reshaped the industry.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: TAL Education Group experienced rapid growth prior to the regulatory changes.
Future Projections: Future projections are highly uncertain due to the evolving regulatory environment.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include restructuring its business to comply with the new regulations and exploring new opportunities in non-profit education.
Summary
TAL Education Group faced significant challenges due to regulatory changes in China's private education sector. Prior to the regulations, it was a strong player but now has a new direction. The company is adapting by shifting towards non-profit educational services. The future trajectory depends on their execution of the new mandate.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Website
- SEC Filings
- Industry Reports
- News Articles
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and current market conditions. The private education sector in China is subject to rapid change, and this information may not be current. Consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About TAL Education Group
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2010-10-20 | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Bangxin Zhang | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Education & Training Services | Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.100tal.com |
Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.100tal.com |
TAL Education Group provides K-12 after-school tutoring services in the People's Republic of China. It provides learning services primarily through small classes services; personalized premium services and online course offerings; and learning content solutions, such as print books, smart books, mobile apps, and AI-driven learning devices. The company also operates www.xueersi.com, an online education platform; provides investment management and consulting services; develops and sells software and networks, as well as related consulting services; and sells educational materials and products. It offers its services under the Haoweilai and Think Academy brands. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

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