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TAL Education Group(TAL)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TAL
09/15/2026: TAL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
TAL Education Group is a provider of extracurricular enrichment and learning hardware based in China, currently operating through a significant business transformation. Following stringent regulatory changes in 2021 that disrupted its core tutoring model, the company has successfully pivoted toward quality-oriented educational services and consumer learning technology. Its primary growth opportunity lies in leveraging its established brand to sell smart educational hardware and AI-integrated learning tools to families. However, the company faces substantial risks, including a highly sensitive regulatory landscape, demographic challenges, and intense competition from tech firms. TAL may appeal to growth investors monitoring its turnaround, though it is not a suitable choice for low-risk or dividend-focused portfolios.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company is in a turnaround phase rather than a hyper-growth phase, making growth prospects uncertain. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum depends on periodic positive signals or breakthroughs in the new hardware/enrichment segments. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The stock trades based on long-term turnaround potential rather than classic value metrics. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay dividends and focuses entirely on reinvestment. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Regulatory and operational risks make this stock unsuitable for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is highly sensitive to regulatory announcements and shifts in market sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuations are highly speculative due to the uncertainty surrounding long-term earnings growth. |
| Competition risk (AI/Hardware competition) | Medium / high | Rapid entry of tech giants into educational hardware poses a persistent threat to margins. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business model is undergoing structural transformation which impacts historical quality metrics. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no dividend income for investors. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Successfully scaling new business models requires precise execution in a difficult regulatory environment. |
Price Behavior
Flat / Range-Bound
The stock price has been trading within a narrow range with minimal directional movement.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -46.72% | Avg. Invested days 22 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/15/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.52B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.34 | 1Y Target Price 16.12 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.34 | 1Y Target Price 16.12 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5.3M shares | Beta 0.14 | 52 Weeks Range 8.88 - 13.37 | Updated Date 09/16/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 8.88 - 13.37 | Updated Date 09/16/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.6 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Learning Services | Extracurricular enrichment, science, and humanities courses for students. | This is the core service revenue stream for the company. |
| Learning Hardware | Smart tablets, learning devices, and related digital peripherals. | A key growth pillar aimed at recurring hardware and software revenue. |
| Geography: China | All major revenue generating activities are currently concentrated in China. | The company has very high exposure to Chinese regulatory and demographic trends. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.34 | Forward PE 9.21 | Enterprise Value 3.99B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.04 |
Enterprise Value 3.99B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.04 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.25 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.01 | Shares Outstanding 407.23M | Shares Floating 361.03M |
Shares Outstanding 407.23M | Shares Floating 361.03M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.01 | Percent Institutions 65.4 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About TAL Education Group
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2010-10-20 | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Bangxin Zhang | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Education & Training Services | Full time employees 26100 | Website https://www.100tal.com |
Full time employees 26100 | Website https://www.100tal.com | ||
TAL Education Group provides smart learning solutions in the People's Republic of China. It offers learning services through Xueersi Peiyou small classes, personalized premium services, and online course offerings. The company also develops and provides learning content solutions for learners across print, digital and device-based formats, including print books, books integrated with digital learning experiences, learning devices, and mobile applications. In addition, it offers online education services, including live class and pre-recorded course content through www.xueersi.com. Further, the company engages in development and sale of software, network, and learning devices; investment management and consulting services. TAL Education Group was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
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