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TAL
Upturn stock rating

TAL Education Group (TAL)

Upturn stock rating
$10.95
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY-6.24%
upturn advisory
SELL
SELL since 3 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/15/2025: TAL (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 3 days. Simulated Profits (-6.24%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

23 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $13.03

1 Year Target Price $13.03

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$13.03 Target price
52w Low $8.5
Current$10.95
52w High $15.3

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -30.4%
Avg. Invested days 25
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/15/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.66B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 64.41
1Y Target Price 13.03
Price to earnings Ratio 64.41
1Y Target Price 13.03
Volume (30-day avg) 23
Beta 0.12
52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 15.30
Updated Date 10/15/2025
52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 15.30
Updated Date 10/15/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.17

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-10-23
When Before Market
Estimate 0.16
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 4.33%
Operating Margin (TTM) 2.5%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 0.32%
Return on Equity (TTM) 2.88%

Valuation

Trailing PE 64.41
Forward PE 28.65
Enterprise Value 3752965793
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.76
Enterprise Value 3752965793
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.76
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.56
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 131.59
Shares Outstanding 461046181
Shares Floating 137477673
Shares Outstanding 461046181
Shares Floating 137477673
Percent Insiders 0.01
Percent Institutions 60.03

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

TAL Education Group

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

TAL Education Group, founded in 2003, began as a small after-school tutoring service in Beijing. It rapidly expanded across China, focusing on K-12 education. The company went public on the NYSE in 2010.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • K-12 After-School Tutoring: Provides tutoring services to students in kindergarten through 12th grade, covering subjects like math, science, and languages. Focuses on improving academic performance and test scores.
  • Online Education: Offers online courses and learning platforms for K-12 students, providing remote learning opportunities and access to educational resources.
  • Content Development: Creates and distributes educational content, including textbooks, workbooks, and digital learning materials.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team consists of senior executives with backgrounds in education and technology. The organizational structure is based on a functional model, with departments focusing on different aspects of the business.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Xueersi Peiyou (After-School Tutoring): TAL's flagship after-school tutoring program, focusing on math, physics, and chemistry. Pre-crackdown estimates placed market share at around 5%. Competitors include New Oriental Education and Gaotu Techedu (formerly GSX Techedu).
  • Xueersi Online School: An online learning platform offering live and recorded courses for K-12 students. The company experienced growth during the pandemic. Competitors include Yuanfudao and Zuoyebang.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The private education industry in China was heavily impacted by regulatory changes in 2021. The crackdown aimed to alleviate pressure on students and families, leading to significant restructuring and uncertainty in the sector.

Positioning

Prior to the regulations, TAL Education Group was one of the leading players in China's private education market. Post regulation, TAL has transitioned focus into non-profit services. Future is uncertain.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

Prior to regulations, the TAM for K-12 after-school tutoring in China was estimated to be hundreds of billions of USD. TAL held a small but significant portion and aims to maintain such going forward as a non-profit.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong Brand Recognition (pre-regulation)
  • Large Student Base (pre-regulation)
  • Experienced Teaching Staff (pre-regulation)
  • Established Online Platform (pre-regulation)

Weaknesses

  • Regulatory Risk
  • Dependence on Key Personnel
  • Intense Competition

Opportunities

  • Expansion into Non-Profit Educational Services
  • Development of Innovative Educational Products
  • Partnerships with Schools and Institutions

Threats

  • Increased Regulatory Scrutiny
  • Economic Slowdown in China
  • Changing Demographics

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

Competitive Landscape

TAL Education Group now operates in a significantly different competitive landscape. The impact of the regulations has reshaped the industry.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: TAL Education Group experienced rapid growth prior to the regulatory changes.

Future Projections: Future projections are highly uncertain due to the evolving regulatory environment.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include restructuring its business to comply with the new regulations and exploring new opportunities in non-profit education.

Summary

TAL Education Group faced significant challenges due to regulatory changes in China's private education sector. Prior to the regulations, it was a strong player but now has a new direction. The company is adapting by shifting towards non-profit educational services. The future trajectory depends on their execution of the new mandate.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Website
  • SEC Filings
  • Industry Reports
  • News Articles

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and current market conditions. The private education sector in China is subject to rapid change, and this information may not be current. Consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About TAL Education Group

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters -
IPO Launch date 2010-10-20
Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Bangxin Zhang
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Education & Training Services
Full time employees 23000
Full time employees 23000

TAL Education Group provides K-12 after-school tutoring services in the People's Republic of China. It provides learning services primarily through small classes services; personalized premium services and online course offerings; and learning content solutions, such as print books, smart books, mobile apps, and AI-driven learning devices. The company also operates www.xueersi.com, an online education platform; provides investment management and consulting services; develops and sells software and networks, as well as related consulting services; and sells educational materials and products. It offers its services under the Haoweilai and Think Academy brands. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.