Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. logo

Third Coast Bancshares, Inc.(TCBX)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$39.81
11/09/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TCBX

11/09/2026: TCBX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. is a regional bank holding company centered on the growing Texas market, providing commercial and retail banking services. The company's core strength lies in its relationship-driven model and its successful execution of growth-focused acquisitions within high-activity economic hubs. While it offers a compelling growth story tied to Texas, it faces significant risks including geographic concentration and intense competition from larger, better-capitalized institutions. The company generally prioritizes reinvesting earnings into growth over paying dividends. This stock may suit investors seeking long-term exposure to the Texas economy, provided they can tolerate the volatility and risks inherent in smaller-cap regional banking.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company focuses on expanding its loan portfolio within the high-growth Texas market.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum appeal is conditional on the bank demonstrating consistent earnings growth above regional averages.
Value investorStrong fitThe stock may offer value for those betting on the long-term economic expansion of Texas.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company currently prioritizes capital retention for growth over cash dividend distributions.
Low-risk investorWeak fitRegional banking stocks carry inherent interest rate and credit cycle risks.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highSmall-cap banking stocks often experience greater price swings relative to market indices.
Valuation riskMediumValuation is sensitive to future earnings projections and the economic health of the Texas commercial sector.
Competition risk (regional banking)HighIntense competition for deposits and loans from larger, well-capitalized institutions can pressure margins.
Business qualityMediumWhile the franchise is growing, it lacks the historical track record and scale of larger competitors.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not rely on the stock for current dividend income at this stage of the company's growth.
Execution riskMediumSuccess depends on the effective management of loan portfolios and the integration of future acquisitions.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 14.42%
Avg. Invested days 43
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/09/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
TCBX receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, solid company fundamentals, and solid quantitative characteristics. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
TCBX has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+39.1%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 13.1%) are partially offset by moderate revenue growth (+8.5%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
TCBX's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (13.1% of revenue). Liquidity is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is TCBX's strongest growth driver at +44.3% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, earnings growth (+39.1%, strong) is also strong, while revenue growth (+8.5%, moderate) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 62.4% and approximately 91.4% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 8.19% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 6.94%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 3.65%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 3.54%
Adage Capital Partners Gp LLC 3.16%
Kennedy Capital Management Inc 2.75%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
TCBX generates approximately $553 of gross profit, $232 of operating income, and $131 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Solid margins and moderate cash conversion support the rating, although capital efficiency remains solid.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 19.89%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
TCBX has a high-quality, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 646.36M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 9.87
1Y Target Price 47.35
Price to earnings Ratio 9.87
1Y Target Price 47.35
Volume (30-day avg) 115.7K shares
Beta 0.66
52 Weeks Range 35.73 - 46.35
Updated Date 11/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 35.73 - 46.35
Updated Date 11/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.92

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Net Interest IncomeInterest earned on commercial and consumer loans minus interest paid on deposits.The primary way the bank makes money is by charging more for loans than it pays for customer deposits.
Non-Interest IncomeService fees, treasury management fees, and other banking transaction charges.The bank also generates revenue through various fees charged for business and retail banking services.
Geography: TexasPrimary operational and lending activities within the state of Texas.The bank's performance is highly leveraged to the health of the Texas economy.

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-21
When After Market
Estimate 0.98
Actual 1.06

Profitability

Profit Margin 31.03%
Operating Margin (TTM) 37.94%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.27%
Return on Equity (TTM) 12.66%

Valuation

Trailing PE 9.87
Forward PE 9.23
Enterprise Value 446.78M
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.66
Enterprise Value 446.78M
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.66
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.29
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 16.71M
Shares Floating 15.27M
Shares Outstanding 16.71M
Shares Floating 15.27M
Percent Insiders 8.19
Percent Institutions 62.41

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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