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Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/01/2025: TFPM (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 3 days. Simulated Profits (3.54%). Updated daily EoD!
Upturn Star Rating
Above Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.
Number of Analysts
10 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $33.67
1 Year Target Price $33.67
| 5 | Strong Buy |
| 4 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 50.93% | Avg. Invested days 49 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/01/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.96B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 33.27 | 1Y Target Price 33.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio 33.27 | 1Y Target Price 33.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta -0.03 | 52 Weeks Range 14.37 - 34.50 | Updated Date 12/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 14.37 - 34.50 | Updated Date 12/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.67% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.01 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-04 | When - | Estimate 0.21 | Actual 0.24 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 59.43% | Operating Margin (TTM) 58.42% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.28% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.08% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 33.27 | Forward PE 32.47 | Enterprise Value 6950878078 | Price to Sales(TTM) 20.24 |
Enterprise Value 6950878078 | Price to Sales(TTM) 20.24 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 20.21 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.44 | Shares Outstanding 206561506 | Shares Floating 68737472 |
Shares Outstanding 206561506 | Shares Floating 68737472 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.58 | Percent Institutions 88.91 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp was founded in 2016. It quickly grew to become a leading precious metals royalty and streaming company through strategic acquisitions and partnerships with mining operators.
Core Business Areas
- Royalties and Streams: Triple Flag provides upfront financing to mining companies in exchange for a percentage of future production or revenue from a mine. This provides them exposure to metal prices and production without operating the mine directly.
Leadership and Structure
Shaun Usmar is the Chief Executive Officer. The company operates with a board of directors and a management team overseeing various aspects of the business, including investments, finance, and legal.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gold Streams: Triple Flag's gold streams constitute a significant portion of its revenue. They receive a percentage of gold production from various mines. Competitors include Franco-Nevada and Wheaton Precious Metals.
- Silver Streams: Similar to gold streams, Triple Flag also has silver streams. These provide exposure to silver prices and production. Competitors include Franco-Nevada and Wheaton Precious Metals.
- Other Metals Streams and Royalties: The company diversifies into other precious and base metals. Competitors include Osisko Gold Royalties and Sandstorm Gold.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The precious metals streaming and royalty industry is competitive, with major players consolidating their portfolios. The sector offers mining companies alternative financing options and investors exposure to the metals market without direct mining operational risks.
Positioning
Triple Flag is a mid-tier player, distinguished by its diversified portfolio and focus on quality assets. Its competitive advantage lies in its disciplined investment approach and strong relationships with mining operators.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for precious metals royalties and streams is substantial, tied to the overall size of the mining industry which fluctuates with metal prices and mining activity. Triple Flag captures a portion of this market through strategic investments and its diversified portfolio.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified portfolio of royalties and streams
- Experienced management team
- Strong relationships with mining operators
- Disciplined investment approach
Weaknesses
- Smaller market capitalization compared to industry leaders
- Exposure to geopolitical risks associated with mining projects
- Dependence on the operational success of mining partners
Opportunities
- Acquisition of additional high-quality royalties and streams
- Expansion into new commodities and geographies
- Potential for higher metal prices to boost revenue
- Increased demand for alternative financing options in the mining sector
Threats
- Decline in metal prices
- Operational problems at mining partners' assets
- Changes in mining regulations and taxation
- Increased competition from other streaming and royalty companies
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- FNV
- WPM
- OR
Competitive Landscape
Triple Flag is smaller than Franco-Nevada and Wheaton Precious Metals, but it has a diversified portfolio and focuses on high-quality assets. Osisko Gold Royalties is a similar sized peer with a growth oriented strategy. TFPM's competitive edge stems from agility, specialized focus, and strategic asset selection.
Major Acquisitions
Northparkes Mine Stream
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 300
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded exposure to copper and gold production from a long-life, low-cost mine.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Triple Flag has grown through strategic acquisitions and expansions of existing agreements.
Future Projections: Future growth is expected to come from new royalty and streaming deals and increasing production at existing assets. Analyst estimates vary depending on metal price forecasts and company performance.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include acquiring new streaming agreements and expanding existing agreements with operating mines.
Summary
Triple Flag is a well-positioned mid-tier royalty and streaming company with a diversified portfolio. Its strengths include a disciplined investment approach and strong relationships, but it faces risks related to metal prices and operational performance of its partners. Future growth depends on successful acquisitions and increasing production at its assets. Overall, it is a relatively strong company that must continue to strategically acquire quality royalties and streams.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on thorough research and consultation with a financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Toronto, ON, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-09-30 | CEO & Director Mr. Sheldon Vanderkooy | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Other Precious Metals & Mining | Full time employees - | Website https://www.tripleflagpm.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.tripleflagpm.com | ||
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., a precious metals streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing precious metals, streams, royalties, and other mineral interests in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Honduras, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States. It has a portfolio of streams and royalties providing exposure to copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead, and zinc. The company was founded in 2016 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
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