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Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2025: TFPM (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 24 days. Simulated Profits (2.37%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $34.67
1 Year Target Price $34.67
| 5 | Strong Buy |
| 4 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 49.23% | Avg. Invested days 52 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.88B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 32.89 | 1Y Target Price 34.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio 32.89 | 1Y Target Price 34.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 0.05 | 52 Weeks Range 14.91 - 35.86 | Updated Date 01/1/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 14.91 - 35.86 | Updated Date 01/1/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.67% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.01 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 59.43% | Operating Margin (TTM) 58.42% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.28% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.08% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 32.89 | Forward PE 28.17 | Enterprise Value 6868723153 | Price to Sales(TTM) 20.01 |
Enterprise Value 6868723153 | Price to Sales(TTM) 20.01 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 19.97 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.17 | Shares Outstanding 206561506 | Shares Floating 68846950 |
Shares Outstanding 206561506 | Shares Floating 68846950 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.55 | Percent Institutions 88.92 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TSX: TFPM, NYSE: TFPM) is a precious metals streaming company founded in 2016 by a team of experienced mining finance professionals. Its core strategy involves acquiring interests in producing and late-stage development mining assets, generating revenue through royalty and stream agreements. The company has rapidly grown through strategic acquisitions of revenue-generating assets and by providing flexible financing solutions to mining companies.
Core Business Areas
- Royalty and Stream Agreements: Triple Flag's primary business involves entering into agreements with mining companies. Under these agreements, Triple Flag provides upfront capital in exchange for the right to purchase a percentage of the mine's output (a stream) or a percentage of the revenue (a royalty) at a pre-determined price or rate over the life of the mine. This business model provides Triple Flag with a predictable revenue stream and exposure to precious metals without the operational risks associated with mining.
Leadership and Structure
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. is led by a seasoned management team with extensive experience in mining, finance, and capital markets. Key executives include [Founder/CEO Name], [COO Name], and [CFO Name]. The company is structured to efficiently manage its portfolio of streaming and royalty assets, with dedicated teams for deal origination, technical due diligence, legal, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Precious Metal Streams: Triple Flag's primary offering is its 'streams', which grant the company the right to purchase a specified percentage of a mine's precious metal production (gold, silver, etc.) at a fixed cost or a formula-based price, often below market rates. This provides a stable and profitable revenue source. Competitors include Royal Gold, Franco-Nevada, and Osisko Gold Royalties.
- Precious Metal Royalties: The company also engages in 'royalties', where it receives a percentage of the revenue generated from a mine's production. This offers exposure to commodity price fluctuations and can provide upside potential. Competitors include the same companies as those for streams: Royal Gold, Franco-Nevada, and Osisko Gold Royalties.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The precious metals streaming and royalty sector is a growing segment within the mining industry. It provides an alternative financing mechanism for mining companies, allowing them to fund projects without diluting equity or taking on traditional debt. The industry is influenced by global commodity prices, exploration success, and the overall health of the mining sector.
Positioning
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. is positioned as a significant player in the precious metals streaming and royalty space. Its competitive advantages include its experienced management team, a diversified portfolio of high-quality, revenue-generating assets, and its ability to structure complex and flexible financing solutions. The company focuses on acquiring assets with proven reserves and established production.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for precious metal streams and royalties is substantial and continues to grow as more mining companies seek alternative financing. While precise TAM figures are difficult to quantify due to the bespoke nature of these agreements, the global mining industry's capital expenditure and the market for royalty and stream financings represent billions of dollars annually. Triple Flag is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market by leveraging its expertise and capital.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Experienced and reputable management team with deep industry knowledge.
- Diversified portfolio of high-quality, revenue-generating precious metal assets.
- Flexible and creative financing solutions offered to mining partners.
- Low operational overhead compared to traditional mining companies.
- Access to capital for future acquisitions and growth.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on the performance and operational stability of its mining partners.
- Exposure to commodity price volatility for precious metals.
- Limited operational control over the mining assets.
- Potential for dilution if equity financing is required for larger acquisitions.
Opportunities
- Acquisition of new, high-quality streaming and royalty assets.
- Expansion into new geographical regions or commodities.
- Increasing demand for alternative financing solutions in the mining sector.
- Potential for asset optimization and value enhancement within its portfolio.
- Leveraging market volatility to acquire attractive assets at favorable terms.
Threats
- Downturn in precious metal prices.
- Operational issues or mine closures at partner assets.
- Changes in government regulations or taxation in mining jurisdictions.
- Increased competition for attractive streaming and royalty deals.
- Macroeconomic instability impacting global markets.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD)
- Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV)
- Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd (OR) (US listing often through ADS)
Competitive Landscape
Triple Flag competes in a market dominated by a few large, established players like Franco-Nevada and Royal Gold. Its competitive advantages lie in its agility, ability to structure unique deals, and a highly experienced team. However, larger competitors may have greater access to capital and a more established track record. The success of its partners' operations and gold/silver prices are critical factors for all players.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. has experienced significant growth since its inception, primarily driven by its strategic acquisitions of producing and near-production streaming and royalty assets. The company has a track record of successfully integrating new assets into its portfolio and demonstrating increasing revenue and cash flow.
Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be fueled by continued acquisitions of attractive precious metal streaming and royalty agreements. Analyst projections will likely focus on potential new deals, the performance of existing assets, and the company's ability to secure financing for further expansion. Growth will also depend on the market for precious metals.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely involve the pursuit of new acquisition targets, the optimization of existing agreements, and potentially strengthening relationships with key mining partners. The company may also be exploring opportunities to diversify its commodity exposure or geographical footprint.
Summary
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. is a well-positioned precious metals streaming and royalty company with a strong management team and a diversified portfolio of revenue-generating assets. Its business model offers stable cash flows with lower operational risk than traditional mining. The company's growth is driven by strategic acquisitions, and it benefits from the increasing demand for alternative mining finance. However, it remains susceptible to commodity price fluctuations and the operational performance of its mining partners.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company investor relations materials
- Financial news and data providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv)
- Industry analysis reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Market share data is an estimation and may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Toronto, ON, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-09-30 | CEO & Director Mr. Sheldon Vanderkooy | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Other Precious Metals & Mining | Full time employees - | Website https://www.tripleflagpm.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.tripleflagpm.com | ||
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., a precious metals streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing precious metals, streams, royalties, and other mineral interests in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Honduras, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States. It has a portfolio of streams and royalties providing exposure to copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead, and zinc. The company was founded in 2016 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

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