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TH International Limited (THCH)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/28/2025: THCH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -70.33% | Avg. Invested days 19 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 93.15M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 0.53 | 52 Weeks Range 2.15 - 5.15 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.15 - 5.15 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.65 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-06-03 | When Before Market | Estimate - | Actual -0.5632 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -23.98% | Operating Margin (TTM) -23.59% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.18% | Return on Equity (TTM) -972.66% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 326451319 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.07 |
Enterprise Value 326451319 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.07 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.72 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.13 | Shares Outstanding 32010500 | Shares Floating 23857816 |
Shares Outstanding 32010500 | Shares Floating 23857816 | ||
Percent Insiders 11.96 | Percent Institutions 58.75 |
Upturn AI SWOT
TH International Limited
Company Overview
History and Background
TH International Limited, operating as Tim Hortons China, was founded in 2018 as a joint venture between Cartesian Capital Group and Tim Hortons. It focuses on expanding the Tim Hortons brand in China, leveraging the coffee culture boom in the region. They went public via SPAC merger with Silver Crest Acquisition Corp in September 2022.
Core Business Areas
- Coffee and Beverages: Primarily involves the sale of coffee, tea, and other beverages in Tim Hortons locations across China.
- Baked Goods and Food: Includes the sale of donuts, muffins, sandwiches, and other food items.
- Franchising and Licensing: Manages franchise operations and licensing agreements to expand its footprint across China.
- Merchandise and Retail: Offers branded merchandise and retail products for sale in its stores and online.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team comprises experienced executives in the restaurant and retail industries, with a board of directors overseeing strategic decisions. Organizational structure follows a hierarchical model with regional managers and store-level staff reporting to central management.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Coffee and Espresso Drinks: Various coffee beverages, including lattes, cappuccinos, and Americanos. Competitors include Starbucks (SBUX), Luckin Coffee (LKNCY), and Costa Coffee. Market share information is not readily available but they are trying to compete against these giants.
- Donuts and Baked Goods: Signature donuts and muffins. Competitors include local bakeries and other quick-service restaurants. No definitive market share data is available.
- Sandwiches and Paninis: Breakfast and lunch sandwiches. Competitors include McDonald's (MCD), KFC (YUM), and other sandwich shops. Again, no definitive market share data is available.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
China's coffee market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing urbanization, rising disposable incomes, and changing consumer preferences. The quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry is highly competitive, with both domestic and international players vying for market share.
Positioning
Tim Hortons China aims to establish a strong presence in the Chinese coffee market by offering a combination of familiar Tim Hortons products and localized menu items. Their competitive advantage lies in their brand recognition, franchise model, and targeted marketing efforts.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Chinese coffee market is estimated to be worth billions of dollars annually. TH International Limited is positioning itself to capture a significant portion of this TAM through aggressive expansion and strategic partnerships.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established brand recognition of Tim Hortons
- Strong franchise model
- Localized menu offerings
- Aggressive expansion strategy
- Partnerships with local companies
Weaknesses
- Relatively new entrant in the Chinese market
- High competition from established players
- Dependence on franchise partners
- Supply chain challenges in China
- Limited brand awareness compared to global competitors in China
Opportunities
- Expanding into new cities and regions in China
- Developing new products and services tailored to the Chinese market
- Leveraging digital channels for marketing and sales
- Forming strategic alliances with local partners
- Capitalizing on the growing coffee culture trend in China
Threats
- Intense competition from local and international players
- Changing consumer preferences
- Regulatory changes
- Economic downturns
- Geopolitical risks
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- SBUX
- LKNCY
Competitive Landscape
Tim Hortons China faces stiff competition from established players like Starbucks and Luckin Coffee. It seeks to differentiate itself through its brand heritage, franchise model, and localized menu offerings.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been based on rapid store expansion in China.
Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on store expansion, market penetration, and consumer acceptance. Analyst estimates vary depending on economic conditions and company performance.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new cities, launching new products, and strengthening partnerships.
Summary
TH International Limited (Tim Hortons China) is a relatively new entrant in the rapidly growing Chinese coffee market. It faces intense competition from established players. The company is aggressively expanding its store network and localizing its menu. Its success hinges on effective execution, brand building, and strategic partnerships amidst a competitive landscape.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- News Articles
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Market conditions and company performance may change, affecting the accuracy of the data. Consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About TH International Limited
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-09-29 | CEO & Director Mr. Yongchen Lu | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 1568 | Website https://www.timschina.com |
Full time employees 1568 | Website https://www.timschina.com |
TH International Limited operates Tim Hortons coffee shops in mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau. It offers brewed tea, coffee, milk tea, lemonade, hot chocolate, and coffee drinks. It is also involved in franchise related business. The company is based in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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