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TMC the metals company Inc (TMC)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/07/2026: TMC (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $8.8
1 Year Target Price $8.8
| 2 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 619.62% | Avg. Invested days 47 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.86B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.85 | 52 Weeks Range 1.02 - 11.35 | Updated Date 01/7/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 1.02 - 11.35 | Updated Date 01/7/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.79 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -58.93% | Return on Equity (TTM) -364.03% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 2843187121 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 2843187121 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.07 | Shares Outstanding 413492045 | Shares Floating 220825427 |
Shares Outstanding 413492045 | Shares Floating 220825427 | ||
Percent Insiders 48.86 | Percent Institutions 11.61 |
Upturn AI SWOT
TMC the metals company Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) was founded in 2010, initially as Deep Sea Mining Corporation. Its evolution has been driven by the ambition to develop and commercialize deep-sea polymetallic nodule collection and processing. A significant milestone was its merger with Woven Planet Holdings, Inc. (a subsidiary of Toyota) and a SPAC (Peridot Acquisition Corp.) in 2021, which led to its public listing under the ticker TMC. The company is focused on the sustainable collection of polymetallic nodules from the ocean floor.
Core Business Areas
- Exploration and Resource Development: TMC holds exploration rights to significant areas of the Clarion-Clipperton Zone (CCZ) in the Pacific Ocean, a region rich in polymetallic nodules. This segment involves surveying, sampling, and assessing the economic viability of these mineral deposits.
- Nodule Collection System Development: The company is developing a proprietary system for collecting polymetallic nodules from the seafloor. This includes the design and engineering of riser and collection technologies.
- Metallurgical Processing and Metal Production: TMC aims to process the collected nodules to extract critical metals such as nickel, copper, cobalt, and manganese. This involves developing specialized metallurgical processes.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team is headed by CEO and Co-Founder Gerard Barron. The company operates with a management team experienced in deep-sea exploration, engineering, and project development. Its organizational structure is designed to manage the complex, multi-disciplinary nature of its deep-sea mining operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Polymetallic Nodules: Untapped reserves of polymetallic nodules from the CCZ. Market share is currently nascent as the company is in the development phase. Competitors in the broader deep-sea mining space include various national and private entities exploring similar resources, but TMC is a leader in developing a commercial-scale nodule collection system.
- Critical Metals (Nickel, Copper, Cobalt, Manganese): Future products are expected to be refined metals derived from nodule processing. Market share data is not yet applicable as production has not commenced. Competitors are traditional land-based mining operations and other emerging deep-sea mining players.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The deep-sea mining industry is in its nascent stages, characterized by significant technological challenges, environmental concerns, and regulatory uncertainties. It aims to tap into vast mineral resources on the ocean floor, potentially providing critical metals essential for the energy transition.
Positioning
TMC is positioning itself as a leader in the commercialization of deep-sea polymetallic nodule mining. Its competitive advantages lie in its extensive exploration rights in the CCZ, proprietary technology development for nodule collection, and a stated commitment to a more sustainable and lower-carbon footprint for metal production compared to some land-based operations. However, it faces significant hurdles related to technological readiness, environmental impact assessment, and regulatory approvals.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the metals TMC intends to extract (nickel, copper, cobalt, manganese) is substantial, driven by global demand for electric vehicles, renewable energy infrastructure, and other industrial applications. Estimates for the global demand for these metals run into hundreds of billions of dollars annually. TMC is positioned to tap into a portion of this TAM through its unique resource base, but its market share is entirely dependent on its ability to overcome significant development and regulatory hurdles.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Significant exploration rights in the Clarion-Clipperton Zone (CCZ), one of the world's largest known deposits of polymetallic nodules.
- Proprietary technology development for nodule collection and processing.
- Potential for a lower carbon footprint and reduced environmental impact compared to some land-based mining.
- Experienced leadership team with expertise in relevant fields.
Weaknesses
- Currently in the development and pre-commercialization phase, with no revenue from mineral extraction.
- High capital expenditure required for technology development, infrastructure, and operations.
- Technological and operational risks associated with deep-sea mining.
- Reliance on future regulatory approvals from the International Seabed Authority (ISA) and national governments.
Opportunities
- Growing global demand for critical metals driven by the energy transition.
- Potential to become a significant supplier of nickel, cobalt, and copper.
- Advancements in deep-sea technology and robotics.
- Partnerships and collaborations to de-risk and accelerate development.
Threats
- Significant environmental concerns and opposition from environmental groups.
- Regulatory uncertainties and potential delays or denial of mining licenses.
- Competition from land-based mining operations and advancements in recycling technologies.
- Fluctuations in global commodity prices.
- Geopolitical risks and international governance challenges.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Demands for nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese are met by existing land-based mining companies such as Vale S.A. (VALE), BHP Group Ltd (BHP), Glencore plc (GLNCY), and Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX).
- In the direct deep-sea mining exploration space, competitors include companies like UK Seabed Resources Ltd. (a subsidiary of Lockheed Martin), and various entities backed by national governments and research institutions.
- Advancements in metal recycling and alternative material development also pose indirect competitive threats.
Competitive Landscape
TMC's primary advantage is its focus on polymetallic nodules in the CCZ, which offer a unique combination of metals. Its stated advantage of lower environmental impact compared to some terrestrial mining is a key differentiator. However, it faces significant disadvantages in terms of technological maturity, operational execution risk, and the extensive regulatory approval process. Traditional mining giants have established infrastructure, supply chains, and proven operational track records that TMC lacks. Indirect competition from recycling and alternative materials is also a factor.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, TMC's 'growth' has been in terms of the expansion of its exploration claims, advancements in its technological development, and the securing of capital to fund these endeavors. It has not experienced revenue or profit growth in the traditional sense.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are highly speculative and depend on successful navigation of regulatory approvals, commercialization of its nodule collection and processing technology, and market acceptance of its products. Analyst estimates are likely focused on potential future market penetration and revenue generation once operations commence, but these are subject to significant uncertainty.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives would include the ongoing development and testing of its nodule collection system, securing strategic partnerships, advancing environmental studies, and engaging with regulatory bodies like the International Seabed Authority (ISA) to progress towards an exploitation license.
Summary
TMC the metals company Inc. is a pioneering but high-risk venture in the nascent deep-sea mining sector, aiming to extract critical metals from polymetallic nodules. Its strengths lie in its extensive exploration rights and proprietary technology development. However, it faces immense challenges including technological hurdles, significant capital requirements, and substantial environmental and regulatory uncertainties. The company's success hinges on its ability to navigate these complexities and commence commercial operations, making it a speculative investment.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
- Industry analysis reports on deep-sea mining
- Financial news and market data providers
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated based on publicly available information and should not be considered investment advice. The deep-sea mining industry is subject to significant risks and uncertainties. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About TMC the metals company Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Vancouver, BC, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-09-10 | CEO & Chairman of the Board Mr. Gerard Barron | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Full time employees 47 | Website https://metals.co |
Full time employees 47 | Website https://metals.co | ||
TMC the metals company Inc., a deep-sea minerals exploration company, focuses on the collection, processing, and refining of polymetallic nodules found on the seafloor in California. It primarily explores for nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese products. The company holds exploration and commercial rights in two polymetallic nodule contract areas in the Clarion Clipperton Zone of the Pacific Ocean. Its products are used in electric vehicles (EV) and energy storage markets; manganese alloy production required for steel production; and EV wiring, energy transmission, and other applications. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

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