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TREX 
Trex Company Inc (TREX)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/31/2025: TREX (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Number of Analysts
18 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $68.41
1 Year Target Price $68.41
| 6 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 10 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 30.03% | Avg. Invested days 49 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/31/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.18B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 27.77 | 1Y Target Price 68.41 |
Price to earnings Ratio 27.77 | 1Y Target Price 68.41 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 18 | Beta 1.49 | 52 Weeks Range 47.03 - 80.74 | Updated Date 11/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 47.03 - 80.74 | Updated Date 11/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.74 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-10-27 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.6305 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 16.53% | Operating Margin (TTM) 26.41% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 11.3% | Return on Equity (TTM) 19.81% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 27.77 | Forward PE 20.24 | Enterprise Value 5914457427 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.59 |
Enterprise Value 5914457427 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.59 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.24 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 19.02 | Shares Outstanding 107234320 | Shares Floating 106629518 |
Shares Outstanding 107234320 | Shares Floating 106629518 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.66 | Percent Institutions 109.74 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Trex Company Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Trex Company Inc. was founded in 1996 as a subsidiary of Mobil Corporation, later becoming an independent publicly traded company. It pioneered the wood-alternative decking industry, focusing on environmentally friendly composite materials made from recycled plastic film and reclaimed wood fibers. Significant milestones include rapid growth in market share and continuous product innovation.
Core Business Areas
- Residential Products: Manufactures and distributes composite decking, railing, and outdoor lighting solutions for residential applications. Key products include Trex Transcend, Trex Select, and Trex Enhance decking lines.
- Commercial Products: Offers decking and railing solutions for commercial projects, including boardwalks, docks, and outdoor living spaces. Focuses on durability and low maintenance.
- Trex Fencing: Provides fencing products for residential applications, offering a durable and low-maintenance alternative to traditional wood fences.
Leadership and Structure
Bryan Fairbanks serves as the President and CEO. The company operates with a functional organizational structure, with departments focused on sales, marketing, manufacturing, research and development, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Trex Transcend Decking: High-performance composite decking known for its durability, stain resistance, and aesthetic appeal. It has the highest price point among the Trex decking products. Competitors include TimberTech (AZEK), Fiberon, and Deckorators. Data for market share specifically for the 'Trex Transcend' product is not publicly available.
- Trex Enhance Decking: More affordable composite decking option that provides a balance of performance and value. Competitors include TimberTech (AZEK), Fiberon, and Deckorators. Data for market share specifically for the 'Trex Enhance' product is not publicly available.
- Trex Railing: Composite railing systems designed to complement Trex decking. Competitors include TimberTech (AZEK), Fortress Building Products, and RDI Railing.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The composite decking market is experiencing strong growth driven by increasing demand for low-maintenance, durable, and sustainable outdoor living products. Factors influencing the market include rising housing starts, remodeling activity, and environmental awareness.
Positioning
Trex is the market leader in composite decking, holding a significant market share due to its brand recognition, product quality, and extensive distribution network. Its competitive advantages include its established brand, vertically integrated manufacturing process, and commitment to sustainability.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global composite decking market is expected to reach $8.5 billion by 2028. Trex is well-positioned to capture a substantial portion of this TAM, leveraging its established brand and extensive distribution network.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong Brand Recognition
- Vertically Integrated Manufacturing
- Extensive Distribution Network
- Commitment to Sustainability
- Market Leadership
Weaknesses
- Higher Price Point Compared to Wood Decking
- Sensitivity to Economic Downturns
- Dependence on Recycled Materials Availability
Opportunities
- Expanding into New Geographic Markets
- Developing Innovative New Products
- Increasing Focus on Commercial Applications
- Capitalizing on the Growing Demand for Outdoor Living Spaces
Threats
- Increased Competition from Other Composite Decking Manufacturers
- Fluctuations in Raw Material Costs
- Economic Downturns Affecting Consumer Spending
- Changes in Building Codes and Regulations
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AZEK (AZEK)
- Fiberon (FORTRESS)
- Deckorators (STERIS)
Competitive Landscape
Trex has a significant advantage over its competitors due to its brand recognition, scale, and vertically integrated manufacturing process. However, AZEK and Fiberon are formidable competitors with strong product offerings and established distribution networks.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Trex has demonstrated strong historical growth driven by increasing demand for composite decking and successful product innovation.
Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on a wide range of factors including revenue projections for various business areas. However, analysts generally expect Trex to continue to grow at a healthy rate due to the increasing demand for composite decking and its strong market position.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding manufacturing capacity, launching new product lines, and investing in marketing and sales efforts.
Summary
Trex Company Inc. is a strong market leader in the composite decking industry, driven by its brand recognition, sustainable products, and efficient manufacturing. However, the company remains susceptible to economic downturns and commodity fluctuations. To remain competitive, Trex will need to manage these factors and continue innovating and expanding its product offerings. It's essential to look out for the availability of sustainable materials in the future.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- Company Website
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change. Consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. Market share figures are estimates and may not reflect precise data.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Trex Company Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Winchester, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1999-04-08 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Bryan Horix Fairbanks | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Building Products & Equipment | Full time employees 1838 | Website https://www.trex.com |
Full time employees 1838 | Website https://www.trex.com | ||
Trex Company, Inc. manufactures and sells composite decking and railing products in the United States. The company offers decking products and accessories that can be used for protection against fading, staining, mold, and scratching, including Trex Transcend, which are decking products that can also be used as cladding; Trex Signature; Trex Transcend Lineage; Trex Select; Trex Enhance; Trex Hideaway fastener collection; and Trex DeckLighting, an outdoor lighting system that includes a post cap, deck rail, riser, a soffit, and a recessed deck lights. It also offers railing products, such as Trex Signature X-Series Railing, Trex Signature aluminum railing, Trex Transcend Railing, Trex Select Railing, Trex Select T-Rail, Trex Enhance Railing; and fencing products, which includes Trex Seclusions that consists of structural posts, bottom rails, pickets, top rails, and decorative post caps. In addition, the company acts as a licensor in various licensing agreements with third parties to manufacture and sell products under the Trex name, including Trex Outdoor Furniture; Trex RainEscape, an above joist deck drainage system; Trex Protect joist, beam and rim tape, a self-adhesive butyl tape that protects wooden deck framing/substructure elements; Trex RainEscape Soffit Light, a plug-and-play LED Soffit light that is installed in the under-deck ceiling of a two-story deck; Trex Seal Ledger Flashing Tape, butyl flashing tape with an aluminum liner; Trex Pergola, Pergolas made from low maintenance cellular PVC and all-aluminum product; Trex Lattice outdoor boards; Trex Cornhole boards; Trex Blade, a specialty saw blade for wood-alternative composite decking; Trex SpiralStairs; and Trex Outdoor Kitchen cabinetry. It sells its products through wholesale distributors, retail lumber dealers, and Home Depot and Lowe's stores. Trex Company, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Winchester, Virginia.
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