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USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: USAR (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $17.33
1 Year Target Price $17.33
3 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
0 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -8.86% | Avg. Invested days 82 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.32B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 18 | 1Y Target Price 17.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio 18 | 1Y Target Price 17.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 5.56 - 20.00 | Updated Date 07/22/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 5.56 - 20.00 | Updated Date 07/22/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.76 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-11 | When After Market | Estimate -0.13 | Actual -0.08 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) - | Return on Equity (TTM) 35.96% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 18 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1386732812 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 1386732812 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 26.53 | Shares Outstanding 96348400 | Shares Floating 51175617 |
Shares Outstanding 96348400 | Shares Floating 51175617 | ||
Percent Insiders 41.74 | Percent Institutions 19 |
Upturn AI SWOT
USA Rare Earth, Inc.
Company Overview
History and Background
USA Rare Earth, Inc. is a privately held company focused on developing domestic rare earth and critical mineral resources. It was founded in 2019 with the acquisition of the Round Top Heavy Rare Earth and Critical Minerals Project in Texas. The company is rapidly evolving from exploration to production.
Core Business Areas
- Rare Earth Mining and Processing: Exploration, mining, and processing of rare earth elements (REEs) and other critical minerals, primarily from the Round Top project.
- Magnet Production: Developing a domestic supply chain for permanent magnets, crucial components for electric vehicles, wind turbines, and defense applications.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by a team with experience in mining, finance, and government relations. Key personnel include CEO and board members. Specific leadership team details and organizational structure require access to private company information and are therefore not available for public disclosure.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Rare Earth Oxides (REOs): The planned product is separated REOs for use in various industries. Market share is currently negligible as production is not yet at full capacity. Competitors include Lynas Rare Earths, MP Materials, and Chinese producers.
- Permanent Magnets: Planned production of neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB) magnets. Market share is currently negligible as production is not yet at full capacity. Competitors include Hitachi Metals, TDK Corporation, and Chinese magnet manufacturers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The rare earth industry is characterized by high demand driven by the growth of electric vehicles, renewable energy, and defense applications. Supply is currently dominated by China, creating geopolitical risks and driving the need for diversified supply chains. Critical minerals like lithium, cobalt and nickel are needed for battery production for electric vehicles
Positioning
USA Rare Earth aims to become a vertically integrated, domestic supplier of rare earth elements and permanent magnets, reducing U.S. reliance on foreign sources. Its Round Top project is a significant resource with a diverse range of REEs. The companies main competitive advantages will be its domestic source and integrated supply chain. Its market share is close to zero as of the end of 2023.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global rare earth market is projected to reach tens of billions of dollars annually. USA Rare Earth is positioning itself to capture a significant share of the U.S. and global markets, particularly for materials used in electric vehicles and renewable energy.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large domestic resource (Round Top)
- Vertically integrated strategy (mine to magnet)
- Focus on security of supply for U.S. market
- Government support for domestic rare earth production
Weaknesses
- Project is still under development
- High capital expenditure requirements
- Technological and operational risks
- Limited current revenue generation
Opportunities
- Growing demand for rare earth elements
- Government incentives and funding for domestic production
- Strategic partnerships with manufacturers and end-users
- Potential for expansion into other critical minerals
Threats
- Fluctuations in rare earth prices
- Competition from established producers (especially China)
- Environmental regulations and permitting challenges
- Technological advancements disrupting the market
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- MP Materials (MP)
- Lynas Rare Earths (LYC.AX)
- China Northern Rare Earth (600111.SS)
Competitive Landscape
USA Rare Earth's main competitive advantage is its location in the US. The company has several disadvantages due to being pre-revenue and not in full production yet. It's focusing on the US Market
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: The company is in a pre-revenue stage, focused on development and construction. Historical growth is based on project milestones achieved and capital raised.
Future Projections: Future growth is dependent on successful project completion, production ramp-up, and market conditions. Analyst estimates are not readily available for privately held companies, but projections anticipate significant revenue growth once production commences.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include securing financing for project development, advancing permitting processes, and establishing partnerships with potential customers.
Summary
USA Rare Earth is a developmental stage company with a promising resource and strategy to capitalize on the growing demand for rare earth elements. While the project faces risks associated with development and competition, its focus on domestic supply and vertical integration provides a strong foundation for future growth. The company needs to secure adequate funding, navigate regulatory hurdles, and execute its development plan effectively to achieve its goals. The company's location in the United States provides a geopolitical advantage. The company will need to move towards production to generate value.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- USA Rare Earth Inc. website
- Industry reports on rare earth elements
- Company press releases
- Publicly available industry data and market analysis reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and limited information of a privately held company. Financial data is estimated and may not be precise. Market share data is based on industry estimates and may vary. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About USA Rare Earth, Inc.
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Stillwater, OK, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2023-07-17 | CEO & Director Mr. Joshua Ballard CFA | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Full time employees 30 | Website https://www.usare.com |
Full time employees 30 | Website https://www.usare.com |
USA Rare Earth, Inc. engages in mining, processing, and supplying rare earths and other critical minerals in the United States. It explores for neodymium, dysprosium, terbium, gallium, beryllium, lithium, and other critical minerals. The company holds interests in the Round Top Mountain located near Sierra Blanca, Texas. USA Rare Earth, Inc. was founded in 2019 and is based in Stillwater, Oklahoma.

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