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Velocity Financial Llc (VEL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/27/2025: VEL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $21.33
1 Year Target Price $21.33
1 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
0 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 60.76% | Avg. Invested days 46 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 686.41M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.75 | 1Y Target Price 21.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.75 | 1Y Target Price 21.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 1.21 | 52 Weeks Range 16.12 - 20.98 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 16.12 - 20.98 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.93 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 39.36% | Operating Margin (TTM) 77.26% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.32% | Return on Equity (TTM) 13.65% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.75 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 5889597440 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.86 |
Enterprise Value 5889597440 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.86 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 26.5 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 36491500 | Shares Floating 3835989 |
Shares Outstanding 36491500 | Shares Floating 3835989 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.8 | Percent Institutions 96.04 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 2 | Target Price 21.33 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 1 |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy 1 | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 | |
Strong Sell 1 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Velocity Financial Llc
Company Overview
History and Background
Velocity Financial, Inc. was founded in 2004. It focuses on originating and managing small balance commercial (SBC) loans. Over time, it has grown into a significant player in the non-bank lending sector, particularly for commercial real estate.
Core Business Areas
- Small Balance Commercial (SBC) Loans: Velocity Financial specializes in originating and servicing SBC loans, which are typically smaller loans for commercial properties. These loans often target borrowers who may not qualify for traditional bank financing.
- Loan Servicing: The company also provides loan servicing for its originated loans, ensuring proper management and collection of payments.
- Real Estate Investments: Velocity Financial invests in real estate through its lending activities and managing its portfolio of SBC loans.
Leadership and Structure
Velocity Financial is led by its CEO and supported by a management team overseeing various departments such as lending, servicing, finance, and operations. The company has a board of directors providing oversight and governance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- SBC Loans for Multifamily Properties: SBC loans for multi-family properties represent a large portion of Velocity Financial's business. Data for 2023 showed this area driving the most volume of loan originations. Competitors include Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) and Ready Capital (RC).
- SBC Loans for Commercial Properties: Loans for commercial properties, including office, retail, and industrial spaces, are also a key product. Exact market share data is variable, but is often reported in annual earnings. Competitors include Starwood Property Trust (STWD) and Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The SBC lending market is characterized by high demand from borrowers seeking financing for smaller commercial properties. The market is competitive, with a mix of banks, credit unions, and non-bank lenders.
Positioning
Velocity Financial is positioned as a specialized non-bank lender focusing on SBC loans, which allows it to cater to borrowers who are underserved by traditional financial institutions. Its competitive advantage lies in its expertise in SBC lending and its ability to provide flexible financing solutions.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The SBC lending market is estimated to be several billion dollars annually. Velocity Financial captures a portion of this TAM by focusing on specific segments like multifamily and commercial real estate. They're positioned to grow with an increasing demand for alternative lending.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Specialized expertise in SBC lending
- Strong relationships with borrowers and brokers
- Flexible financing solutions
- Efficient loan origination and servicing platform
Weaknesses
- Reliance on external funding sources
- Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations
- Concentration risk in certain property types
- Smaller scale compared to larger financial institutions
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Increased demand for SBC loans
- Partnerships with other lenders
- Technological innovation to enhance efficiency
Threats
- Increased competition from other lenders
- Economic downturn affecting commercial property values
- Changes in regulatory environment
- Rising interest rates impacting borrower demand
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ARR
- RC
- STWD
- BXMT
Competitive Landscape
Velocity Financial differentiates itself through its focus on smaller loan sizes and its expertise in underwriting commercial real estate loans for borrowers who may not qualify for traditional bank financing. However, larger competitors have more resources and broader product offerings.
Major Acquisitions
No recent material acquisitions found.
- Year:
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: No acquisitions found in the public domain.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth can be analyzed by examining the company's revenue and loan origination volume over the past several years. This is often detailed in annual reports.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are typically based on analyst estimates and company guidance. This is information unavailable without the need to dynamically query the web.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives are often discussed in investor presentations, press releases, and SEC filings.
Summary
Velocity Financial is a specialized non-bank lender focusing on SBC loans with a flexible financing approach. Its strengths include specialized expertise and strong relationships; however, it is sensitive to interest rate fluctuations and relies on external funding. Opportunities exist in expanding its geographic reach and partnering with other lenders, but threats include increasing competition and economic downturns. Overall the company is in a good position, but needs to carefully manage its risks.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Velocity Financial Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Analyst Reports (where available)
- Market Research Reports (on SBC Lending)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on available information and general market knowledge. It is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Market share estimates are approximate.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Velocity Financial Llc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Westlake Village, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-01-17 | Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director Mr. Christopher D. Farrar | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Mortgage Finance | Full time employees 309 | Website https://www.velfinance.com |
Full time employees 309 | Website https://www.velfinance.com |
Velocity Financial, Inc. operates as a real estate finance company in the United States. It originates, securitizes, and manages a portfolio of loans, which are secured by real estate, including investor 1-4 unit residential rental properties; residential apartments combined with office or retail space; and loans for multi-family, mixed use, and commercial properties. The company also provides warehouse and other properties. It offers its products through a network of independent mortgage brokers and direct borrower relationships. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Westlake Village, California
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