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Upturn stock rating
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Velocity Financial Llc (VEL)

Upturn stock rating
$18.04
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/15/2025: VEL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

3 Analysts rated it

Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.

1 Year Target Price $21.33

1 Year Target Price $21.33

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$21.33 Target price
52w Low $16.12
Current$18.04
52w High $20.98

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 38.97%
Avg. Invested days 45
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/15/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 695.74M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 8.13
1Y Target Price 21.33
Price to earnings Ratio 8.13
1Y Target Price 21.33
Volume (30-day avg) 3
Beta 1.08
52 Weeks Range 16.12 - 20.98
Updated Date 10/18/2025
52 Weeks Range 16.12 - 20.98
Updated Date 10/18/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.21

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 41.55%
Operating Margin (TTM) 61.53%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.43%
Return on Equity (TTM) 15.1%

Valuation

Trailing PE 8.13
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 6323847680
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.56
Enterprise Value 6323847680
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.56
Enterprise Value to Revenue 25.3
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 38438579
Shares Floating 5695829
Shares Outstanding 38438579
Shares Floating 5695829
Percent Insiders 2.66
Percent Institutions 97.4

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Velocity Financial Llc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Velocity Financial, Inc. was founded in 2004. It is a commercial real estate finance company focused on originating and managing small balance commercial (SBC) loans. They operate primarily in the United States, focusing on providing financing solutions for investors and small business owners.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Small Balance Commercial Loans: Origination, underwriting, closing, and servicing of commercial mortgage loans, primarily for properties with loan amounts between $200,000 and $5 million. Focus is on properties such as multifamily, mixed-use, office, retail, and warehouse/industrial.
  • Securitization: Aggregating originated loans and securitizing them through the issuance of commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS).
  • Loan Servicing: Providing servicing for the loans they originate and securitize, including collection, disbursement, and loan administration.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

As of 2024, the company is led by a board of directors and an executive management team. The structure is typical of a publicly traded finance company, with departments focusing on loan origination, underwriting, servicing, finance, and operations.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Small Balance Commercial (SBC) Loans: SBC loans are Velocity Financial's core product. Market share data specific to Velocity Financial is difficult to pinpoint due to the fragmented nature of the SBC lending market, but they are considered a significant player. Competitors include banks, credit unions, mortgage REITs and other specialty finance companies.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The SBC lending market is large and fragmented, driven by demand from small business owners and real estate investors seeking financing for properties. The market is influenced by macroeconomic factors, interest rate environment, and regulatory changes.

Positioning

Velocity Financial is a specialized lender focusing on SBC loans. Its competitive advantage lies in its expertise in underwriting and servicing these loans, and its ability to securitize them. They focus on niche areas where larger banks may not be as active.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for SBC lending in the U.S. is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Velocity Financial is positioned to capture a portion of this market by focusing on specific niches and providing tailored financing solutions.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Specialized Expertise in SBC Lending
  • Securitization Capabilities
  • Strong Underwriting Process
  • Experienced Management Team

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on Securitization Markets
  • Sensitivity to Interest Rate Changes
  • Small Company Size Compared to Larger Banks
  • Concentration in Commercial Real Estate Sector

Opportunities

  • Expanding Geographic Reach
  • Developing New Loan Products
  • Increasing Loan Servicing Portfolio
  • Capitalizing on Regulatory Changes

Threats

  • Increased Competition
  • Economic Downturn
  • Rising Interest Rates
  • Changes in Real Estate Values

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • AREC
  • BXMT
  • STWD
  • KREF
  • LADR

Competitive Landscape

Velocity Financial competes with larger banks, credit unions, and other specialty finance companies. Its advantages include specialized expertise in SBC lending and a strong underwriting process. Disadvantages include smaller size and reliance on securitization markets.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth is assessed by analyzing revenue, net income, and loan origination volume trends over the past few years. It's based on published historical financials.

Future Projections: Future growth projections are based on analyst estimates, market trends, and company-specific initiatives. Requires access to analyst reports and company guidance.

Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include expanding loan product offerings, increasing geographic presence, and enhancing technology platforms.

Summary

Velocity Financial is a specialized lender focused on SBC loans with solid underwriting and securitization capabilities. It is vulnerable to interest rate fluctuations and must navigate fierce competition. Expansion of services and geography will be key to future growth. Keeping an eye on any increase of competition and economic downturn is a must.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Website
  • SEC Filings
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Reports

Disclaimers:

The data and analysis provided are for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share estimates are approximate and based on available data and industry reports. Actual performance may vary.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Velocity Financial Llc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Westlake Village, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-01-17
Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director Mr. Christopher D. Farrar
Sector Financial Services
Industry Mortgage Finance
Full time employees 309
Full time employees 309

Velocity Financial, Inc. operates as a real estate finance company in the United States. It originates, securitizes, and manages a portfolio of loans, which are secured by real estate, including investor 1-4 unit residential rental properties; residential apartments combined with office or retail space; and loans for multi-family, mixed use, and commercial properties. The company also provides warehouse and other properties. It offers its products through a network of independent mortgage brokers and direct borrower relationships. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Westlake Village, California