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Velocity Financial Llc (VEL)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/15/2025: VEL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $21.33
1 Year Target Price $21.33
1 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
0 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 38.97% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 695.74M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.13 | 1Y Target Price 21.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.13 | 1Y Target Price 21.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 1.08 | 52 Weeks Range 16.12 - 20.98 | Updated Date 10/18/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 16.12 - 20.98 | Updated Date 10/18/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.21 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 41.55% | Operating Margin (TTM) 61.53% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.43% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.1% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.13 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 6323847680 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.56 |
Enterprise Value 6323847680 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.56 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 25.3 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 38438579 | Shares Floating 5695829 |
Shares Outstanding 38438579 | Shares Floating 5695829 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.66 | Percent Institutions 97.4 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Velocity Financial Llc

Company Overview
History and Background
Velocity Financial, Inc. was founded in 2004. It is a commercial real estate finance company focused on originating and managing small balance commercial (SBC) loans. They operate primarily in the United States, focusing on providing financing solutions for investors and small business owners.
Core Business Areas
- Small Balance Commercial Loans: Origination, underwriting, closing, and servicing of commercial mortgage loans, primarily for properties with loan amounts between $200,000 and $5 million. Focus is on properties such as multifamily, mixed-use, office, retail, and warehouse/industrial.
- Securitization: Aggregating originated loans and securitizing them through the issuance of commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS).
- Loan Servicing: Providing servicing for the loans they originate and securitize, including collection, disbursement, and loan administration.
Leadership and Structure
As of 2024, the company is led by a board of directors and an executive management team. The structure is typical of a publicly traded finance company, with departments focusing on loan origination, underwriting, servicing, finance, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Small Balance Commercial (SBC) Loans: SBC loans are Velocity Financial's core product. Market share data specific to Velocity Financial is difficult to pinpoint due to the fragmented nature of the SBC lending market, but they are considered a significant player. Competitors include banks, credit unions, mortgage REITs and other specialty finance companies.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The SBC lending market is large and fragmented, driven by demand from small business owners and real estate investors seeking financing for properties. The market is influenced by macroeconomic factors, interest rate environment, and regulatory changes.
Positioning
Velocity Financial is a specialized lender focusing on SBC loans. Its competitive advantage lies in its expertise in underwriting and servicing these loans, and its ability to securitize them. They focus on niche areas where larger banks may not be as active.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for SBC lending in the U.S. is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Velocity Financial is positioned to capture a portion of this market by focusing on specific niches and providing tailored financing solutions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Specialized Expertise in SBC Lending
- Securitization Capabilities
- Strong Underwriting Process
- Experienced Management Team
Weaknesses
- Reliance on Securitization Markets
- Sensitivity to Interest Rate Changes
- Small Company Size Compared to Larger Banks
- Concentration in Commercial Real Estate Sector
Opportunities
- Expanding Geographic Reach
- Developing New Loan Products
- Increasing Loan Servicing Portfolio
- Capitalizing on Regulatory Changes
Threats
- Increased Competition
- Economic Downturn
- Rising Interest Rates
- Changes in Real Estate Values
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AREC
- BXMT
- STWD
- KREF
- LADR
Competitive Landscape
Velocity Financial competes with larger banks, credit unions, and other specialty finance companies. Its advantages include specialized expertise in SBC lending and a strong underwriting process. Disadvantages include smaller size and reliance on securitization markets.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth is assessed by analyzing revenue, net income, and loan origination volume trends over the past few years. It's based on published historical financials.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are based on analyst estimates, market trends, and company-specific initiatives. Requires access to analyst reports and company guidance.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include expanding loan product offerings, increasing geographic presence, and enhancing technology platforms.
Summary
Velocity Financial is a specialized lender focused on SBC loans with solid underwriting and securitization capabilities. It is vulnerable to interest rate fluctuations and must navigate fierce competition. Expansion of services and geography will be key to future growth. Keeping an eye on any increase of competition and economic downturn is a must.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Website
- SEC Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Reports
Disclaimers:
The data and analysis provided are for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share estimates are approximate and based on available data and industry reports. Actual performance may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Velocity Financial Llc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Westlake Village, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-01-17 | Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director Mr. Christopher D. Farrar | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Mortgage Finance | Full time employees 309 | Website https://www.velfinance.com |
Full time employees 309 | Website https://www.velfinance.com |
Velocity Financial, Inc. operates as a real estate finance company in the United States. It originates, securitizes, and manages a portfolio of loans, which are secured by real estate, including investor 1-4 unit residential rental properties; residential apartments combined with office or retail space; and loans for multi-family, mixed use, and commercial properties. The company also provides warehouse and other properties. It offers its products through a network of independent mortgage brokers and direct borrower relationships. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Westlake Village, California

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