Upturn unsubscribed user
$1.14/ day, billed weekly
Cancel anytime
(Ad-Free, Unlimited access)​
NO CREDIT CARD REQUIRED
VEL
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

Velocity Financial Llc (VEL)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$18.81
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY-2.03%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 11 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

06/27/2025: VEL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

3 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $21.33

1 Year Target Price $21.33

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$21.33Target price
Low$16.12
Current$18.81
high$20.98

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 60.76%
Avg. Invested days 46
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 686.41M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 9.75
1Y Target Price 21.33
Price to earnings Ratio 9.75
1Y Target Price 21.33
Volume (30-day avg) 3
Beta 1.21
52 Weeks Range 16.12 - 20.98
Updated Date 06/30/2025
52 Weeks Range 16.12 - 20.98
Updated Date 06/30/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.93

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 39.36%
Operating Margin (TTM) 77.26%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.32%
Return on Equity (TTM) 13.65%

Valuation

Trailing PE 9.75
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 5889597440
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.86
Enterprise Value 5889597440
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.86
Enterprise Value to Revenue 26.5
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 36491500
Shares Floating 3835989
Shares Outstanding 36491500
Shares Floating 3835989
Percent Insiders 2.8
Percent Institutions 96.04

Analyst Ratings

Rating 2
Target Price 21.33
Buy 1
Strong Buy 1
Buy 1
Strong Buy 1
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell 1
Strong Sell 1

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Velocity Financial Llc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Velocity Financial, Inc. was founded in 2004. It focuses on originating and managing small balance commercial (SBC) loans. Over time, it has grown into a significant player in the non-bank lending sector, particularly for commercial real estate.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Small Balance Commercial (SBC) Loans: Velocity Financial specializes in originating and servicing SBC loans, which are typically smaller loans for commercial properties. These loans often target borrowers who may not qualify for traditional bank financing.
  • Loan Servicing: The company also provides loan servicing for its originated loans, ensuring proper management and collection of payments.
  • Real Estate Investments: Velocity Financial invests in real estate through its lending activities and managing its portfolio of SBC loans.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Velocity Financial is led by its CEO and supported by a management team overseeing various departments such as lending, servicing, finance, and operations. The company has a board of directors providing oversight and governance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • SBC Loans for Multifamily Properties: SBC loans for multi-family properties represent a large portion of Velocity Financial's business. Data for 2023 showed this area driving the most volume of loan originations. Competitors include Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) and Ready Capital (RC).
  • SBC Loans for Commercial Properties: Loans for commercial properties, including office, retail, and industrial spaces, are also a key product. Exact market share data is variable, but is often reported in annual earnings. Competitors include Starwood Property Trust (STWD) and Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT).

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The SBC lending market is characterized by high demand from borrowers seeking financing for smaller commercial properties. The market is competitive, with a mix of banks, credit unions, and non-bank lenders.

Positioning

Velocity Financial is positioned as a specialized non-bank lender focusing on SBC loans, which allows it to cater to borrowers who are underserved by traditional financial institutions. Its competitive advantage lies in its expertise in SBC lending and its ability to provide flexible financing solutions.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The SBC lending market is estimated to be several billion dollars annually. Velocity Financial captures a portion of this TAM by focusing on specific segments like multifamily and commercial real estate. They're positioned to grow with an increasing demand for alternative lending.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Specialized expertise in SBC lending
  • Strong relationships with borrowers and brokers
  • Flexible financing solutions
  • Efficient loan origination and servicing platform

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on external funding sources
  • Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations
  • Concentration risk in certain property types
  • Smaller scale compared to larger financial institutions

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Increased demand for SBC loans
  • Partnerships with other lenders
  • Technological innovation to enhance efficiency

Threats

  • Increased competition from other lenders
  • Economic downturn affecting commercial property values
  • Changes in regulatory environment
  • Rising interest rates impacting borrower demand

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • ARR
  • RC
  • STWD
  • BXMT

Competitive Landscape

Velocity Financial differentiates itself through its focus on smaller loan sizes and its expertise in underwriting commercial real estate loans for borrowers who may not qualify for traditional bank financing. However, larger competitors have more resources and broader product offerings.

Major Acquisitions

No recent material acquisitions found.

  • Year:
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions):
  • Strategic Rationale: No acquisitions found in the public domain.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth can be analyzed by examining the company's revenue and loan origination volume over the past several years. This is often detailed in annual reports.

Future Projections: Future growth projections are typically based on analyst estimates and company guidance. This is information unavailable without the need to dynamically query the web.

Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives are often discussed in investor presentations, press releases, and SEC filings.

Summary

Velocity Financial is a specialized non-bank lender focusing on SBC loans with a flexible financing approach. Its strengths include specialized expertise and strong relationships; however, it is sensitive to interest rate fluctuations and relies on external funding. Opportunities exist in expanding its geographic reach and partnering with other lenders, but threats include increasing competition and economic downturns. Overall the company is in a good position, but needs to carefully manage its risks.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Velocity Financial Investor Relations
  • SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Analyst Reports (where available)
  • Market Research Reports (on SBC Lending)

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on available information and general market knowledge. It is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Market share estimates are approximate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Velocity Financial Llc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Westlake Village, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-01-17
Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director Mr. Christopher D. Farrar
Sector Financial Services
Industry Mortgage Finance
Full time employees 309
Full time employees 309

Velocity Financial, Inc. operates as a real estate finance company in the United States. It originates, securitizes, and manages a portfolio of loans, which are secured by real estate, including investor 1-4 unit residential rental properties; residential apartments combined with office or retail space; and loans for multi-family, mixed use, and commercial properties. The company also provides warehouse and other properties. It offers its products through a network of independent mortgage brokers and direct borrower relationships. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Westlake Village, California