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Vista Gold Corporation (VGZ)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/05/2025: VGZ (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Outstanding Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, have historically outperformed the market, making them a top-tier choice for investors.
Number of Analysts
1 Analysts rated it
Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.
1 Year Target Price $3
1 Year Target Price $3
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 70.43% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/05/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 191.53M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1 | Beta 1.16 | 52 Weeks Range 0.47 - 2.46 | Updated Date 11/6/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.47 - 2.46 | Updated Date 11/6/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.07 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-10-23 | When After Market | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -31.41% | Return on Equity (TTM) -49.21% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 6.75 | Enterprise Value 255928343 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 255928343 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -9.4 | Shares Outstanding 125181090 | Shares Floating 106711872 |
Shares Outstanding 125181090 | Shares Floating 106711872 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.78 | Percent Institutions 23.02 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Vista Gold Corporation
Company Overview
History and Background
Vista Gold Corp. (VGZ) is a gold project developer focused on advancing the Mt Todd gold project in Northern Territory, Australia. Founded in 2003, it has evolved from exploration to project development.
Core Business Areas
- Gold Project Development: Developing the Mt Todd gold project, including resource estimation, engineering, and permitting.
Leadership and Structure
Frederick H. Earnest is the President and CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with executive management and a board of directors.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Mt Todd Gold Project: Flagship project; no current market share as it is not yet in production. Competitors include other gold mining companies with producing mines or advanced development projects. Market share is future potential production capacity relative to the entire gold market.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The gold mining industry is driven by global demand for gold, influenced by economic conditions, inflation, and geopolitical stability.
Positioning
Vista Gold is positioned as a development-stage company with a large, undeveloped gold resource. Its competitive advantage lies in the size and potential economics of the Mt Todd project.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global gold market is trillions of dollars. Vista Gold is positioning itself for a share of this through the Mt Todd project.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large gold resource at Mt Todd
- Favorable mining jurisdiction (Northern Territory, Australia)
- Experienced management team
- Simplified permitting process
Weaknesses
- Project not yet in production
- Dependent on financing for development
- Sensitivity to gold price fluctuations
- Geopolitical uncertainty
Opportunities
- Rising gold prices
- Strategic partnerships or joint ventures
- Expansion of Mt Todd resource
- Improved mining technology
Threats
- Falling gold prices
- Permitting delays
- Increased operating costs
- Environmental regulations
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NEM (Newmont Corporation)
- GOLD (Barrick Gold Corporation)
- AU (AngloGold Ashanti)
Competitive Landscape
Vista Gold competes with larger, established gold mining companies for investment and project development opportunities. Its advantage lies in the potential of the Mt Todd project, but its disadvantage is its lack of current production and capital.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth is measured by the advancement of the Mt Todd project, not revenue generation.
Future Projections: Future growth depends on securing financing, completing permitting, and commencing production at Mt Todd. Analyst estimates focus on the potential valuation of the project.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include updating the feasibility study, securing permits, and exploring financing options.
Summary
Vista Gold is a development-stage company focused on advancing the Mt Todd gold project. Its strength lies in the large resource and favorable jurisdiction, but it faces challenges securing financing and navigating permitting. Future success depends on successfully bringing Mt Todd into production, which is subject to gold prices, financing and permitting.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Vista Gold Corporation's SEC Filings
- Company Website
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and represents an opinion. It is not financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Vista Gold Corporation
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters Englewood, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1990-04-30 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Frederick H. Earnest B.Sc. | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Gold | Full time employees 13 | Website https://www.vistagold.com |
Full time employees 13 | Website https://www.vistagold.com | ||
Vista Gold Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operate as a development-stage company in the gold mining industry in Australia. The company's flagship asset is the 100% owned Mt Todd gold project located in Northern Territory, Australia. Vista Gold Corp. was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Englewood, Colorado.
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