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Vista Gold Corporation (VGZ)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: VGZ (5-star) is a SELL. SELL since 4 days. Simulated Profits (-7.05%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $3
1 Year Target Price $3
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 58.42% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 256.20M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1 | Beta 1.14 | 52 Weeks Range 0.55 - 2.47 | Updated Date 01/10/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 0.55 - 2.47 | Updated Date 01/10/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.07 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -32.5% | Return on Equity (TTM) -44.33% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 6.75 | Enterprise Value 243749580 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 243749580 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -9.4 | Shares Outstanding 126209108 | Shares Floating 110262587 |
Shares Outstanding 126209108 | Shares Floating 110262587 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.76 | Percent Institutions 19.41 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Vista Gold Corporation
Company Overview
History and Background
Vista Gold Corporation is a junior exploration and development company focused on acquiring, exploring, and advancing gold mineral properties. Founded in 1985, it has primarily operated in North America and South America, with a long-standing focus on developing gold projects from early-stage exploration through to feasibility studies. A significant milestone was the acquisition and advancement of the Mt. Todd gold project in Tasmania, Australia, which has been a core asset for many years.
Core Business Areas
- Gold Exploration and Development: Vista Gold focuses on discovering and developing gold deposits. This involves geological surveying, drilling, resource estimation, metallurgical testing, and feasibility studies to assess the economic viability of its projects.
- Project Advancement: The company's strategy often involves advancing its projects to a stage where they are attractive for joint ventures, partnerships, or outright sale to larger mining companies. This de-risking process is key to its business model.
Leadership and Structure
Vista Gold Corporation is led by a management team with experience in mineral exploration and finance. Its organizational structure is lean, reflecting its focus on project development rather than large-scale mining operations. Key leadership positions typically include a CEO, CFO, and VP of Exploration. The company is publicly traded and operates under a board of directors.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Mt. Todd Gold Project (Tasmania, Australia): This is Vista Gold's flagship asset. It is a significant undeveloped gold project with a defined mineral resource and a completed feasibility study. Its competitors are other undeveloped gold projects globally and existing gold mines whose output impacts global gold prices. Market share for a single undeveloped project is not applicable in the traditional sense, but its resource size contributes to the global gold supply potential.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The gold mining industry is cyclical and heavily influenced by global economic conditions, inflation, geopolitical events, and central bank policies. Junior exploration and development companies like Vista Gold operate in a high-risk, high-reward segment, aiming to discover and advance new gold resources. The industry is characterized by fluctuating commodity prices, stringent environmental regulations, and the need for significant capital investment.
Positioning
Vista Gold is positioned as a junior gold developer, focusing on advancing its projects through the exploration and feasibility stages. Its competitive advantage lies in its experienced management team and its flagship Mt. Todd project, which has undergone substantial technical work. The company seeks to de-risk its assets to attract further investment or a potential acquisition.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for gold is global and vast, representing the total market value of all gold mined and available. Vista Gold, as a developer, targets a subset of this TAM by focusing on the discovery and development of new gold reserves. Its potential contribution to the TAM is realized if its projects are successfully brought into production.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Significant undeveloped gold resource at Mt. Todd.
- Completed feasibility study for Mt. Todd, de-risking the project.
- Experienced management team with a track record in mineral development.
- Strategic focus on advancing projects to attract partnerships or acquisition.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on a single major project (Mt. Todd).
- Limited revenue generation as it is primarily an exploration company.
- Vulnerability to fluctuating gold prices and capital market conditions.
- Long development timelines common in the mining sector.
Opportunities
- Potential for gold price appreciation.
- Acquisition interest from larger mining companies for its advanced projects.
- Further exploration success to expand the resource base at Mt. Todd.
- Partnerships or joint ventures to fund project development.
- Exploration of other potential assets.
Threats
- Downturn in gold prices.
- Regulatory changes and environmental challenges in Tasmania.
- Competition for capital and talent within the junior mining sector.
- Difficulty in securing future financing for development.
- Geopolitical risks impacting global commodity markets.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD)
- Newmont Corporation (NEM)
- Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV)
- Eldorado Gold Corporation (EGO)
- Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC)
Competitive Landscape
Vista Gold competes in a space with established major gold producers and numerous other junior exploration companies. Its key differentiator is its advanced Mt. Todd project. However, it lacks the scale, production, and financial power of major producers. Its primary competition comes from other undeveloped gold projects seeking investment and from other junior explorers vying for investor capital. Its advantage lies in its specific project focus and de-risked status, while its disadvantage is its size and lack of diversified production.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Vista Gold's historical growth has been characterized by its strategic acquisitions and advancements of mineral properties, particularly the Mt. Todd project. Its growth is measured by the progression of these projects through the development pipeline, increasing resource estimates, and successful feasibility studies.
Future Projections: Future projections are highly speculative and depend on successful project development, favorable market conditions for gold, and potential corporate transactions (e.g., acquisition). Analyst estimates, if available, would focus on project milestones and potential valuations upon reaching certain development stages.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely involve continued exploration and engineering work at the Mt. Todd project to optimize its economics and potentially engage with strategic partners or potential acquirers. This could include updated resource estimates, metallurgical improvements, and environmental impact assessments.
Summary
Vista Gold Corporation is a junior gold explorer with a significant undeveloped asset in the Mt. Todd project. Its strength lies in this advanced project and its experienced team, offering potential for future development or acquisition. However, it faces challenges common to its sector, including reliance on a single asset, fluctuating gold prices, and the long, capital-intensive nature of mining development. Success hinges on continued project advancement and favorable market conditions.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations (Vista Gold Corporation)
- Financial News and Analysis Websites (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg)
- Industry Reports on Gold Mining and Exploration
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market share data for junior explorers is estimated and comparative to larger players for context. Numerical financial data for Vista Gold is typically represented as zero or negative and is not detailed here due to its nature as a pre-production company.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Vista Gold Corporation
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters Englewood, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1990-04-30 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Frederick H. Earnest B.Sc. | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Gold | Full time employees 13 | Website https://www.vistagold.com |
Full time employees 13 | Website https://www.vistagold.com | ||
Vista Gold Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operate as a development-stage company in the gold mining industry in Australia. The company's flagship asset is the 100% owned Mt Todd gold project located in Northern Territory, Australia. Vista Gold Corp. was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Englewood, Colorado.

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