Home 
Today's Top Picks 
Top Performers 
Watchlist 
My Robo Portfolios 
ETF Zone 
How It Works 
News - Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Revenue
- Valuation
Upturn AI Summary - About
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.(VIST)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for VIST
10/26/2026: VIST (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Vista Energy is an independent oil and gas company focused on the productive Vaca Muerta shale formation in Argentina. The company has demonstrated strong growth through efficient drilling and strategic acquisitions, such as its recent consolidation of Equinor assets. Its main investment appeal lies in its aggressive production expansion, currently targeting 250,000 BOE/day by 2030. However, investors must consider significant risks including commodity price volatility and the economic and political instability often associated with Argentina. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate sector-specific and regional risks, with key developments to monitor including pipeline infrastructure progress and production milestone achievements.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | Vista is a high-growth, pure-play shale producer focused on aggressive production scaling. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock has demonstrated strong upward price momentum tied to its production growth and positive earnings revisions. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | While trading at attractive P/E multiples relative to peers, the capital-intensive nature and regional risks require a nuanced view. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay dividends, prioritizing capital reinvestment. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High exposure to commodity price volatility and regional Argentine risk makes this unsuitable for conservative portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Revenue and profitability are directly tied to the volatile global price of crude oil. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | While currently attractive, the valuation is sensitive to analyst growth expectations and market sentiment. |
| Competition risk (Regional Shale) | Medium / high | Intense competition for acreage and labor in the Vaca Muerta basin could impact margins. |
| Business quality | Medium | Operational success in the basin is strong, but dependent on management's execution in a difficult political environment. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | The company does not provide a yield for income-focused investors. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Achieving the 2030 production targets requires consistent, large-scale drilling execution. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 3.41% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/26/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.28B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.9 | 1Y Target Price 91.73 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.9 | 1Y Target Price 91.73 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 936.3K shares | Beta -0.46 | 52 Weeks Range 43.71 - 81.44 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 43.71 - 81.44 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.56 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Upstream Production | Exploration and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and LPG from Vaca Muerta. | They make money primarily by pulling oil out of the ground and selling it to the global market. |
| Argentina Geography | Primary operations in the Neuquina Basin. | The company's performance is heavily tied to the stability and productivity of Argentina's oil fields. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-28 | When After Market | Estimate 2.79 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 23.56% | Operating Margin (TTM) 44.24% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 10% | Return on Equity (TTM) 29.8% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.9 | Forward PE 6.27 | Enterprise Value 11.60B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.35 |
Enterprise Value 11.60B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.35 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.29 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.85 | Shares Outstanding 110.62M | Shares Floating 89.76M |
Shares Outstanding 110.62M | Shares Floating 89.76M | ||
Percent Insiders 11.74 | Percent Institutions 61.32 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.
All company names, trademarks, logos, and brands are the property of their respective owners and are used for identification and informational purposes only. Use of these names, trademarks, and logos does not imply endorsement by their respective owners.