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Waste Connections Inc (WCN)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: WCN (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Year Target Price $210.76
Year Target Price $210.76
11 | Strong Buy |
6 | Buy |
6 | Hold |
0 | Under performing |
2 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 8.28% | Avg. Invested days 46 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 48.04B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 76.19 | 1Y Target Price 210.76 |
Price to earnings Ratio 76.19 | 1Y Target Price 210.76 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 25 | Beta 0.62 | 52 Weeks Range 168.81 - 201.34 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 168.81 - 201.34 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.68% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.44 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.93% | Operating Margin (TTM) 18.31% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.96% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 76.19 | Forward PE 26.04 | Enterprise Value 56626813985 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.29 |
Enterprise Value 56626813985 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.29 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.24 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 24.54 | Shares Outstanding 258394000 | Shares Floating 257518272 |
Shares Outstanding 258394000 | Shares Floating 257518272 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.2 | Percent Institutions 89.51 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 210.76 | Buy 6 | Strong Buy 11 |
Buy 6 | Strong Buy 11 | ||
Hold 6 | Sell - | Strong Sell 2 | |
Strong Sell 2 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Waste Connections Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Waste Connections Inc. was founded in 1997. It grew rapidly through acquisitions, becoming a major player in the solid waste services industry across North America. A key milestone was the 2016 merger with Progressive Waste Solutions, solidifying its market position. Over time, it has focused on providing environmentally responsible waste solutions and expanding its service offerings.
Core Business Areas
- Solid Waste Collection: Collection of residential, commercial, and industrial solid waste. Services range from curbside pickup to large-scale industrial waste management.
- Transfer and Disposal: Operating transfer stations and landfills for the efficient handling and disposal of collected waste. This includes waste-to-energy projects.
- Recycling: Processing and marketing of recyclable materials, including paper, plastic, and metal. Promotes sustainable waste management practices.
- E&P Waste Treatment and Disposal: Provides specialized waste management services for the oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) industry, including fluid management and disposal.
Leadership and Structure
The CEO is Ronald J. Mittelstaedt. The organizational structure is hierarchical, with regional and district managers reporting to corporate leadership. Focus on decentralized operations with local management teams.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Solid Waste Collection: Primary revenue driver. Market share is fragmented, but Waste Connections has a significant portion, estimated around 15-20% in the markets it serves. Competitors include Waste Management, Republic Services, and local/regional haulers. Revenue is recurring, based on service contracts.
- Landfill Disposal: Disposal services contribute significantly to revenue. Waste Connections owns and operates a network of landfills. Competitors are similar to those in collection services. Market share depends on the location and landfill capacity. Revenue comes from tipping fees.
- Recycling Services: Provides recycling collection and processing services. It relies on processing recyclables into raw materials to be sold onto manufacturers. Market share depends on location. Competitors are similar to those in collection services.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The solid waste management industry is characterized by essential services, regulatory oversight, and increasing focus on sustainability. It's a relatively stable industry with consistent demand. Industry trends include increasing recycling rates, waste-to-energy technologies, and stricter environmental regulations.
Positioning
Waste Connections is positioned as a leading provider of integrated solid waste services, with a strong focus on secondary markets. Its competitive advantages include operational efficiency, decentralized management, and strategic acquisitions.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for solid waste management in North America is estimated to be over $80 billion annually. Waste Connections is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through organic growth and acquisitions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong market position in secondary markets
- Decentralized operating model
- Integrated service offerings
- Experienced management team
- Proven track record of acquisitions
Weaknesses
- Exposure to economic cycles
- Capital intensive nature of the business
- Dependence on landfill capacity
- Regulatory compliance costs
- Integration risks from acquisitions
Opportunities
- Increasing demand for waste management services
- Growing emphasis on sustainability and recycling
- Expansion into new markets
- Adoption of new technologies
- Further acquisitions of smaller competitors
Threats
- Increased competition
- Stricter environmental regulations
- Fluctuations in commodity prices (for recyclables)
- Economic downturns
- Rising fuel costs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- WM
- RSG
- GFL
Competitive Landscape
Waste Connections differentiates itself through its focus on secondary markets, decentralized management, and integrated service offerings. It competes primarily with Waste Management and Republic Services, as well as numerous smaller regional players.
Major Acquisitions
R360 Environmental Solutions
- Year: 2012
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1300
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded presence in the oilfield waste disposal market.
Progressive Waste Solutions
- Year: 2016
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2670
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded geographic footprint and service offerings.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Waste Connections has demonstrated strong historical growth through a combination of organic expansion and strategic acquisitions.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be driven by continued demand for waste management services, expansion into new markets, and further acquisitions. Analyst estimates dynamically changes and is available through financial news sites such as Yahoo Finance or Google Finance and financial sites.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include investments in recycling infrastructure and expansion of E&P waste services.
Summary
Waste Connections is a strong player in the solid waste management industry, particularly in secondary markets. Its decentralized management and strategic acquisitions have contributed to its growth. Regulatory pressures and economic cycles present challenges, but the company is well-positioned to capitalize on increasing demand for waste services and sustainable solutions.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings, press releases, market research reports, and financial news sources.
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Waste Connections Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Woodbridge, ON, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 1998-05-20 | Founder, CEO, President & Director Mr. Ronald J. Mittelstaedt | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Waste Management | Full time employees 23854 | Website https://www.wasteconnections.com |
Full time employees 23854 | Website https://www.wasteconnections.com |
Waste Connections, Inc. provides non-hazardous waste collection, transfer, disposal, and resource recovery services in the United States and Canada. It offers collection services to residential, commercial, municipal, industrial, and exploration and production (E&P) customers; landfill disposal services; and recycling services for various recyclable materials, including compost, cardboard, mixed paper, plastic containers, glass bottles, and ferrous and aluminum metals. The company owns and operates transfer stations that receive compact and/or load waste to be transported to landfills or treatment facilities through truck, rail, or barge; and intermodal services for the rail haul movement of cargo and solid waste containers in the Pacific Northwest through a network of intermodal facilities. In addition, it provides E&P waste treatment, recovery, and disposal services for waste resulting from oil and natural gas exploration and production activity, such as drilling fluids, drill cuttings, completion fluids, and flowback water; production wastes and produced water during a well's operating life; contaminated soils that require treatment during site reclamation; and substances, which require clean-up after a spill, reserve pit clean-up, or pipeline rupture. Further, the company offers leasing services. Waste Connections, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is based in Woodbridge, Canada.
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