Willis Lease Finance Corporation logo

Willis Lease Finance Corporation(WLFC)

upturn advisory logo
EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
2-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$46.86
11/06/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for WLFC

11/06/2026: WLFC (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Willis Lease Finance Corporation is a specialized provider of commercial aircraft engine leasing and technical support services. The company has a leading position in the secondary engine market, utilizing its integrated shop services to differentiate itself from larger generalist lessors. Its growth strategy centers on expanding its technical service capabilities and maintaining a modern, efficient asset portfolio. However, the company faces risks from high financial leverage, industry cyclicality, and potential interest rate volatility. The stock may best suit value-oriented investors who understand the complexities of the aviation maintenance cycle and who are looking for exposure to the aviation services sector.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers growth through asset expansion but is constrained by high capital requirements.
Momentum investorMixed fitThe stock can exhibit momentum tied to aviation industry sentiment but requires a positive market outlook.
Value investorStrong fitThe company often trades at reasonable valuations relative to its asset base and book value.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not prioritize regular dividend payouts to shareholders.
Low-risk investorWeak fitAviation leasing is inherently cyclical and subject to high debt and geopolitical risk.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock price is highly sensitive to changes in the aviation sector and interest rate environments.
Valuation riskMediumValuations are heavily dependent on the book value and marketability of the engine portfolio.
Competition riskHighLarge lessors with lower costs of capital pose a constant competitive threat.
Business qualityMediumThe business provides essential services but is susceptible to cyclical downturns.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect income from dividends.
Execution riskMediumSuccess depends on accurately managing engine lifecycles and asset utilization rates.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 181.68%
Avg. Invested days 58
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/06/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
WLFC receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
WLFC has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, moderate earnings growth (+4.7%) and solid revenue growth (+18.7%) are partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -35.7%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
WLFC's financial health is supported by solid profitability, including gross margin of 65.7% and operating margin of 32.3%. Cash strength is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is WLFC's strongest growth driver at +55.8% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+18.7%, solid) is also solid, while earnings growth (+4.7%, moderate) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 59.8% and approximately 43.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 54.05% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

M3F, Inc. 9.85%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 7.89%
BlackRock Inc 4.27%
Renaissance Technologies Corp 2.80%
Copeland Capital Management, LLC 2.73%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
WLFC generates approximately $657 of gross profit, $323 of operating income, and $-357 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins and weak cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is weak.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 29.17%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
WLFC has a relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze Risk

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 991.66M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 13.95
1Y Target Price 70.5
Price to earnings Ratio 13.95
1Y Target Price 70.5
Volume (30-day avg) 252.0K shares
Beta 0.72
52 Weeks Range 36.39 - 81.35
Updated Date 11/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 36.39 - 81.35
Updated Date 11/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.14%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.36

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Engine LeasingRental income from short-term and long-term leases of commercial aircraft engines.The company earns money primarily by renting out engines to airlines that need them.
Aviation ServicesMaintenance, repair, and technical management fees.The company also earns fees by servicing and maintaining the engines it leases.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-03
When Before Market
Estimate 0.6
Actual 0.47

Profitability

Profit Margin 9.67%
Operating Margin (TTM) 18.94%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.06%
Return on Equity (TTM) 10.27%

Valuation

Trailing PE 13.95
Forward PE 6.91
Enterprise Value 3.51B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.21
Enterprise Value 3.51B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.21
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.23
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.7
Shares Outstanding 21.16M
Shares Floating 9.14M
Shares Outstanding 21.16M
Shares Floating 9.14M
Percent Insiders 54.05
Percent Institutions 59.8

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.