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ADT Inc (ADT)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/10/2025: ADT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $9.58
1 Year Target Price $9.58
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -23.16% | Avg. Invested days 53 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.56B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 10.96 | 1Y Target Price 9.58 |
Price to earnings Ratio 10.96 | 1Y Target Price 9.58 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5 | Beta 0.95 | 52 Weeks Range 6.57 - 8.94 | Updated Date 12/10/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 6.57 - 8.94 | Updated Date 12/10/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.74% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.73 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.53% | Operating Margin (TTM) 25.65% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.13% | Return on Equity (TTM) 17.25% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 10.96 | Forward PE 8.79 | Enterprise Value 14301128888 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.28 |
Enterprise Value 14301128888 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.28 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.8 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.41 | Shares Outstanding 765018211 | Shares Floating 506734745 |
Shares Outstanding 765018211 | Shares Floating 506734745 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.64 | Percent Institutions 103.24 |
Upturn AI SWOT
ADT Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
ADT Inc. has a long and storied history in the security industry, tracing its roots back to 1874 when it was founded as the American District Telegraph Company. Over the decades, it evolved through numerous acquisitions and mergers, becoming a pioneer in alarm monitoring services. A significant milestone was its acquisition by Tyco International in 2010, and its subsequent separation from Tyco and return as an independent public company via an IPO in 2018. ADT has consistently adapted to technological advancements, from wired systems to smart home integrated security solutions.
Core Business Areas
- Residential Security: Provides a comprehensive range of security and smart home solutions for homeowners, including alarm systems, surveillance cameras, smart locks, and environmental sensors, all monitored by ADT's professional monitoring centers.
- Commercial Security: Offers tailored security systems for businesses of all sizes, encompassing access control, video surveillance, intrusion detection, and fire alarm systems, supported by dedicated commercial sales and installation teams.
- Partnerships and Other: Includes revenue from partnerships, such as its significant relationship with Amazon for integrated smart home and security offerings, and other smaller revenue streams.
Leadership and Structure
ADT Inc. is led by a management team with extensive experience in the security, technology, and service industries. The current CEO is Ryan M. Edgecombe. The company is structured to serve both residential and commercial customer segments, with dedicated teams for sales, installation, and customer service, all unified by its robust monitoring infrastructure.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- ADT Command & Control: An advanced security panel that acts as the central hub for smart home devices, offering features like voice control, mobile app integration, and professional monitoring. Competitors include Vivint, Brinks Home Security, and SimpliSafe. Market share for specific product lines is not publicly disclosed, but ADT is a leading provider in the overall home security market.
- ADT Video Surveillance: A range of high-definition security cameras for indoor and outdoor use, offering remote viewing and event recording. Competitors include Ring (Amazon), Google Nest, and Arlo. ADT aims to capture a significant share of the integrated security system market, where its cameras are part of a larger solution.
- ADT Smart Home Automation: Integration of smart locks, thermostats, lighting, and other connected devices that can be controlled through the ADT app or voice commands, enhancing convenience and security. Competitors include Vivint, SimpliSafe, and a wide array of individual smart home brands. ADT's competitive edge lies in its unified platform and professional monitoring.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The security and smart home industry is characterized by rapid technological innovation, increasing consumer demand for connected devices, and a growing emphasis on cybersecurity. The market is competitive, with established players, new entrants, and tech giants vying for market share. The trend towards DIY security solutions coexists with a strong demand for professionally installed and monitored systems.
Positioning
ADT Inc. is a leading provider of security and smart home solutions in North America. Its key competitive advantages include its strong brand recognition, extensive network of authorized dealers and professional installers, a large installed base, and its 24/7 professional monitoring capabilities, which are critical for many customers. ADT differentiates itself by offering comprehensive, integrated systems rather than standalone devices.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for home and business security and automation is substantial and growing. Estimates vary, but it is in the tens of billions of dollars globally. ADT Inc. is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market, particularly in the North American residential and commercial security segments where it has a dominant presence. Its strategic partnerships, like the one with Amazon, also expand its reach into broader smart home ecosystems.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and trust
- Extensive network of authorized dealers and installers
- Large existing customer base and recurring revenue model
- 24/7 professional monitoring infrastructure
- Strategic partnerships (e.g., with Amazon)
Weaknesses
- Perception of higher cost compared to DIY alternatives
- Reliance on authorized dealers can lead to inconsistent customer experience
- Legacy systems and potential for technical debt
- Competition from tech giants entering the smart home space
Opportunities
- Growth in the smart home automation market
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Leveraging AI and advanced analytics for proactive security
- Acquisition of complementary technologies or service providers
- Increasing demand for integrated security and life safety solutions
Threats
- Intensifying competition from new entrants and existing players
- Rapid technological obsolescence
- Cybersecurity threats to connected devices
- Economic downturns impacting consumer discretionary spending
- Changes in regulatory landscape
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Vivint Smart Home, Inc. (VVNT)
- Brinks Home Security Holdings, Inc. (BHS)
- Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM)
- Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI)
Competitive Landscape
ADT possesses a significant advantage in brand recognition and a large, established customer base. Its extensive network of dealers and professional monitoring centers is a strong differentiator. However, competitors like Vivint offer integrated smart home solutions with potentially more modern interfaces, while Alarm.com excels in providing a robust platform for dealers and DIY solutions. Resideo focuses on connected home products and services, often through a different distribution model. ADT needs to continually innovate and adapt its service offerings to maintain its market leadership.
Major Acquisitions
Cloverleaf
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of a leading provider of residential security and smart home services in the UK to expand ADT's international presence and service offerings.
JM&A Group
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1400
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of a provider of F&I (Finance and Insurance) product solutions for auto dealerships, diversifying ADT's revenue streams beyond traditional security services.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: ADT has experienced consistent revenue growth, driven by its focus on both residential and commercial security. The company has also pursued growth through strategic partnerships and the integration of smart home technologies into its offerings.
Future Projections: Analyst projections typically anticipate continued revenue growth for ADT, fueled by the expanding smart home market and increased demand for integrated security solutions. Profitability improvements are also a key focus, with efforts to manage costs and leverage its scale. Projections often show positive EPS growth in the coming years, contingent on successful execution of strategic initiatives and market conditions.
Recent Initiatives: Expansion of its smart home offerings and integration with Amazon's ecosystem.,Focus on expanding its subscriber base through various channels.,Investments in technology to enhance its security platforms and customer experience.,Strategic alliances to broaden its service reach and capabilities.
Summary
ADT Inc. is a dominant force in the North American security and smart home market, leveraging its strong brand, extensive infrastructure, and recurring revenue model. Its continuous efforts to integrate smart home technologies and its strategic partnerships are key strengths driving revenue growth. However, the company faces significant competition and challenges related to profitability and adapting to evolving consumer preferences for DIY solutions. Continued investment in innovation and customer experience will be crucial for maintaining its market position and achieving sustainable long-term growth.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- ADT Inc. Investor Relations Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial news and data providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg)
- Industry research reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive. Financial data is subject to revision. Market share figures are estimates and can vary between sources. This is not financial advice, and investors should conduct their own due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About ADT Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Boca Raton, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-01-19 | CEO, President & Chairman Mr. James David DeVries | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Security & Protection Services | Full time employees 12800 | Website https://www.adt.com |
Full time employees 12800 | Website https://www.adt.com | ||
ADT Inc. provides security, interactive, and smart home solutions in the United States. It offers burglar and life safety alarms, smart security cameras, smart home automation systems, and video surveillance systems to detect intrusion; control access; sense movement, smoke, fire, carbon monoxide, leaks, temperature, and other environmental conditions and hazards; and address personal medical emergencies, such as injuries or unanticipated falls. The company also provides routine maintenance and the installation of upgraded or additional equipment; personal emergency response system products and services to sustain independent living; Google Nest doorbell, mesh Wi-Fi, and Google indoor and outdoor cameras; and application for self-setup DIY smart home security products. In addition, it offers Trusted Neighbor, which allows customers to grant access to their homes through the ADT+ app; and automation and smart home solutions, including remotely monitor and manage their environments through customized web portal via web-enabled devices, such as smart phones, smart phone applications, and through touchscreen panels in their homes. The company provides its products under the ADT, ADT Pulse, and ADT+ brand names. It offers its products and services to residential and small business security, and automation markets comprising owners and renters of single-family homes, apartments, and small businesses owners through customer referrals, door-to-door activities, network of field sales and service offices, third-party independent dealers, and authorized dealers. The company was formerly known as Prime Security Services Parent, Inc. and changed its name to ADT Inc. in September 2017. ADT Inc. was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.

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